The Axis

When does pragmatism become stupidity? Donald Trump’s decision to ease sanctions and purchase Russian diesel may look like a practical response to soaring fuel prices ahead of the U.S. midterms. But the wider consequences tell a different story. Washington is pressuring Ukraine to stop attacking Russian refineries, unsettling Europe, weakening its own sanctions strategy and potentially teaching Moscow that Western unity can be broken by domestic political pressure. Meanwhile, the deeper energy crisis originates largely in the disruption surrounding Iran and the Strait of Hormuz. The Axis asks whether America is solving an immediate problem—or sacrificing long-term strategic power for short-term political relief.

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 José Antonio Kast llegó al poder prometiendo orden, seguridad y eficacia. Pero la encuesta La Cosa Nostra de agosto de 2026 sugiere que el principal desafío de su gobierno puede no ser la izquierda, sino una ciudadanía volátil, desconfiada y cada vez menos dispuesta a esperar. La experiencia de Emmanuel Macron en Francia ofrece una advertencia: cuando una promesa de transformación no logra traducirse en mejoras visibles para la vida cotidiana, las expectativas pueden convertirse en una fuerza destructiva. En este análisis, The Axis explora el riesgo de que Kast no enfrente simplemente una oposición política, sino algo más profundo: una crisis de confianza en la capacidad misma del sistema para producir resultados.

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The American empire has long appeared solid: military bases, alliances, aircraft carriers, financial power, technological reach. But perhaps its real structure is more fragile than it seems. Like a spider web, it depends on countless threads — words such as victory, deterrence, leadership, security, and credibility — each helping sustain the meaning of American power.

The war with Iran is beginning to expose the tension inside that structure. Bases are damaged, forces are repositioned, supply lines are stretched, and withdrawals are described through increasingly careful language. The United States remains extraordinarily powerful, but the words used to describe that power are being asked to carry more and more weight.

What happens when the language of empire starts drifting away from its material reality?

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What happens when the fear of losing becomes so intense that the political opponent is no longer someone to defeat, but someone to remove? Trump’s remark about Iran being able to “take out” Los Angeles and San Diego may have been poorly phrased, but the language reveals something deeper. This analysis explores the meaning hidden inside those two words — take out — and asks whether political desperation, fear of defeat, and the erosion of democratic coexistence are producing a fantasy in which the adversary must simply disappear.

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¿Qué ocurre cuando un movimiento político que creía que la historia avanzaba en su dirección descubre que su protector puede ser políticamente mortal? Una derrota republicana en las elecciones de medio término en Estados Unidos no pondría fin a la presidencia de Trump ni revertiría automáticamente el giro hacia la derecha en América Latina. Pero sí podría debilitar el marco político, financiero y estratégico que ha reforzado a gobiernos como los de José Antonio Kast y Javier Milei, al tiempo que complicaría las ambiciones continentales del bolsonarismo en Brasil. Este análisis examina qué podrían perder Chile, Argentina y Brasil si el trumpismo comienza a perder su aura de inevitabilidad.

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After more than two decades, the last U.S. forces have left Iraq. But does the departure of American soldiers really mean the end of American power in the Middle East?

This analysis looks beyond the military withdrawal to examine a deeper transformation: from occupation and permanent ground presence toward sanctions, financial leverage, intelligence networks, naval power and strategic partnerships. Iraq may represent the end of one era of American power, while the confrontation with Iran reveals the emergence of another.

The soldiers have left. The architecture of influence may remain. 

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Argentina está fortaleciendo su vínculo con Estados Unidos, reduciendo su dependencia de Chile y reactivando con más fuerza la cuestión de las Malvinas. Pero 1982 deja una advertencia difícil de ignorar: estar cerca de Washington no significa necesariamente que Washington vaya a adoptar los conflictos de Buenos Aires como propios. En este análisis examinamos el Estrecho de Magallanes, el nuevo equilibrio del extremo sur, la relación Milei-Trump y una pregunta que vuelve desde la Guerra de las Malvinas: ¿hasta dónde llega realmente una alianza cuando entran en juego intereses mayores?

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What happens when power encounters a reflection it does not like?

Trump’s confrontation with the press and his confrontation with Iran are radically different in scale, but both reveal the same deeper problem: power does not always produce obedience. Journalists can resist, courts can intervene, and foreign states can refuse to submit.

This analysis explores the distinction between force and authority, coercion and recognition, and asks whether the growing need to demonstrate power may actually reveal its limits.

Chile habla de multipolaridad, soberanía y autonomía estratégica en Naciones Unidas, pero al mismo tiempo se incorpora al Escudo de las Américas, una iniciativa de seguridad impulsada por Estados Unidos. ¿Son ambas decisiones compatibles o estamos viendo el inicio de una tensión más profunda en la política exterior chilena?

En este análisis de The Axis exploramos esa paradoja: una política económica y diplomática cada vez más multipolar hacia el mundo, mientras la arquitectura de seguridad del país parece acercarse más a Washington. La pregunta de fondo no es simplemente con quién se alinea Chile hoy, sino cuánto espacio conservará para decidir por sí mismo mañana.

Donald Trump has spent years attacking socialism. Yet his government intervenes in prices, protects industries, acquires stakes in private companies, uses tariffs strategically, supports farmers and now even proposes direct payments to Americans.

So, is Trump becoming a socialist?

Perhaps that is the wrong question.

Behind the apparent contradiction lies a much larger transformation: after decades in which the free market was treated almost as an article of faith, insecurity, deindustrialization, economic crises and geopolitical instability are bringing the state back to the centre of capitalism.

Trump may not be creating this new order. He may simply be revealing that the old one is ending.

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