The Dividend Cafe

The DC Today - Thursday, November 17, 2022


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Another volatile day with the Dow closing flat after being down nearly -400 points. More to say here:

MARKET ACTION

Dow: -7 points (-0.02%) – had been down over -300 points at the low and -400 pre-market
S&P: -0.31%
Nasdaq: -0.35%
10-Year Treasury Yield: 3.76% (+7 basis points)
Top-performing sector: Technology (+0.21%) and Energy (+0.12%)
Bottom-performing sector: Utilities (-1.79%)
WTI Crude Oil: $81.94/barrel (-4.26%)
Key Economic Points of the Day:

Weekly initial jobless claims came in at 222,000 – not a big move from the week before or variance from expectations

Single-family starts in new housing construction dropped to 855,000, down -6% on the month and -35% from post-COVID highs

ASK DAVID

“What do you think the impact would be on the stock and bond market if the Fed formally changed their inflation target from 2% to 3%? I assume it would be risk on for equities?”

~ Mike S.

Yes, it would be. But they won’t.

And they don’t need to – they basically already did in 2020 with their adjustment to the 2% standard (that is, they no longer target 2%, but rather an “average” of 2%, meaning they can let things run hot in perpetuity to “blend” to 2% depending on how the math before or after works. In other words, they gave themselves “flexibility.”

Links mentioned in this episode:

DividendCafe.com
TheBahnsenGroup.com

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