Here is a risk matrix that shows percentages across the top. The percentages at the top are the probability of a medical event occurring within the next year. So something like a seizure, which as was discussed in the last two posts has a 36% chance of occurring in the next year, would be in the middle column of 10-60%.
The severities are seen along the side and are as follows: a Fatal event would be something like a plane crash in which someone in the plane or on the ground dies, a Really Bad event would be like the plane crash landing in a way that causes significant injuries, but no one dies, a Bad event would be like something that causes an inflight emergency that requires immediate landing, but no significant injuries, and lastly a Not Too Bad event would be like a medical event that doesn’t cause any changes to the flight, but needs to be taken care of as soon as they land
The intersection of the 5 probability ranges across the top and the 4 severities along the side lead to 20 boxes numbered 1 through 20 with the most risk being attributed to box 1 as it has an almost 100% chance of occurring and if it did it would be fatal. And then the numbers are color coded with 1 through 5 being red indicating a high risk, 6 through 9 are orange indicating a serious risk, 10 though 17 are yellow, a medium risk, and 18 through 20 are green, a low risk.
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The views expressed in The Flight Shrink are those of the author and do not reflect the official policy or position of the Department of Defense, The United States Air Force, or any other organization with which Dr. Heacock is associated. The content of The Flight Shrink is not medical advice. The Flight Shrink is for informational purposes only and may not be applicable to all situations. Use of the information is at the reader’s own risk. Any recommendations of treatments, products, or services are made in general and may not apply to a specific person, situation, or illness. Please seek care from a medical professional if you have concerns for any physical or mental health symptoms.
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