Book Your FREE Investment Assessment 👉: https://follio.com.au/contact-us/?utm_source=YouTube&utm_medium=podcast&utm_id=Episode+80📊 National Investment Report: https://441711975.hs-sites-ap1.com/follio-property-podcast-content-subscriber?utm_source=YouTube&utm_medium=newsletter&utm_id=Episode+80The 2026 Federal Budget has rewritten the rulebook for Australian property investors and most haven't adjusted their strategy yet. In this episode of the Follio Property Podcast, Reece Beddall and Lachlan Delahunty break down exactly which asset classes will thrive and which will burn your cash in a post-budget market where negative gearing benefits have been slashed and borrowing capacity has dropped by $200,000.If you're investing in Australian property in 2026, the rules have changed. The RBA has held rates at 4.35% with inflation still running too hot, and the recent Federal Budget has reshaped the playbook for property investors across Australia. Banks are already lowering fixed mortgage rates, signalling rate cuts ahead but the real story is how the budget's changes to negative gearing are transforming buyer behaviour across the Australian housing market.In this episode, Lachlan Delahunty and Reece Beddall analyse the asset classes that matter right now: houses versus units versus apartments, land banking strategies, regional property markets, and commercial property investing. Lachlan defines the critical distinction between units and apartments (high-rise airspace with no scarcity).What You'll Learn:✅ Why the 2026 Budget has made land banking strategies far less viable for Australian property investors ✅ The critical difference between units and apartments and why it determines your capital growth ✅ How negative gearing changes have reduced borrowing capacity by up to $200,000 ✅ Why regional and lifestyle property markets face the most pain post-budget ✅ The hidden traps in commercial property yields and how to verify advertised returns ✅ Which asset classes Lachlan Delahunty recommends in a high-rate, post-budget environment ✅ The replacement cost argument that makes units at $450K more attractive than building at $850K+Timestamps:00:00 Introduction02:14 RBA Holds at 4.35% & Investors Sentiment Shift05:32 Land Banking & Upgrade Sites: No Longer Viable07:34 $200K Borrowing Capacity Wipeout08:43 New Post-Budget Playbook: Location, Land, Asset Type10:49 Units vs Apartments Defined11:12 Why Units Are Outperforming Houses16:35 Regional & Lifestyle Markets Face the Most Pain22:52 Commercial Property Yield TrapsAbout The Follio Property PodcastEach week, Reece Beddall and Lachlan Delahunty break down the biggest conversations shaping Australian property. From market cycles to debt, strategy, data, and real-world insights — we make property simple, honest, and practical.📍 Visit Our Website: https://follio.com.au/📩 Contact Us: [email protected]📲 Follow Us on Social:Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/folliopropertypod/TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@folliopropertypodSpotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/4Akt4N53zsb4ldzFNlTwad?si=AFEgYOAiSh2QGbK8AfFLywLachlan Delahunty: https://www.linkedin.com/in/lachlandelahunty/Reece Beddall: https://www.linkedin.com/in/reece-beddall-294557b3/Executive Producer: Jonathan Fernandeshttps://www.linkedin.com/in/jonathan-fernandes-a75a991b2/If you enjoy the episode, hit Like, Subscribe, and Comment to support the channel and join the conversation.#AustralianProperty #PropertyInvesting #RBA #NegativeGearing #CGT #CommercialProperty #RegionalProperty #FollioPropertyPodcast #PropertyStrategy #HousingMarketDisclaimer: This is for entertainment purposes - not financial advice. Speak to a qualified professional before making any financial or property decisions

Book Your FREE Investment Assessment 👉: https://follio.com.au/contact-us/?utm_source=YouTube&utm_medium=podcast&utm_id=Episode+79📊 National Investment Report: https://441711975.hs-sites-ap1.com/follio-property-podcast-content-subscriber?utm_source=YouTube&utm_medium=newsletter&utm_id=Episode+79Australia just added 478,000 people in a single year while building only 175,000 new homes. The math doesn't work, and the result is the worst rental crisis in living memory. Leith Onselen joins the Follio Property Podcast to break down exactly why Labor's migration policy is crushing the Australian housing market, how the federal government's addiction to personal income tax revenue is driving the crisis, and the three policy changes that could turn it all around.In this episode, Leith Van Onselen delivers a comprehensive takedown of Australia's economic management. He argues that running migration "at just the most obscene rate into a supply restricted market" has crushed living standards and productivity, with per capita GDP going backwards in 10 of the last 15 quarters. The core problem is structural: 52% of federal revenue comes from personal income taxes, so Canberra has every incentive to pump population growth while the states carry the infrastructure bill. Onselen unpacks how the student visa system has become a backdoor migration channel, why parental visas cost taxpayers nearly $400,000 each, and how Australia's energy policy is accelerating deindustrialization at exactly the wrong time. For anyone invested in Australian property or simply trying to understand why rents keep climbing, this conversation connects the dots between immigration numbers, housing supply, and the political machinery that keeps the whole system running.In this episode, you’ll get to know:✅ The real numbers behind Australia's housing shortage: 478,000 arrivals vs 175,000 new homes✅ Why 10 of the last 15 quarters have seen negative per capita GDP growth despite overall economic growth✅ How the federal government's 52% income tax dependency fuels the migration machine✅ The student visa trade exposed: how it became a backdoor migration channelTimestamps:00:00 478,000 Migrants vs 175,000 Homes: Australia's Housing Crisis Equation05:41 Why the Australian Housing Market Is Trapped by 52% Income Tax Dependency12:30 Australia's Energy Policy Is Crashing Productivity and House Prices20:05 Why Under 130,000 Arrivals Could Save the Australian Property Market22:41 The Energy Overhaul That Could Reverse the Rental Crisis24:14 Norway vs Australia: How Sovereign Wealth Could End the Housing Shortage28:29 The Real Reason Rents Keep Rising: State vs Federal Cost-Shifting ExplainedFollow Leith Van Onselen:YouTube:  @Leithvo  Business: https://www.macrobusiness.com.au/About The Follio Property PodcastEach week, Reece Beddall and Lachlan Delahunty break down the biggest conversations shaping Australian property. From market cycles to debt, strategy, data, and real-world insights — we make property simple, honest, and practical.📍 Visit Our Website: https://follio.com.au/📩 Contact Us: [email protected]📲 Follow Us on Social:Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/folliopropertypod/TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@folliopropertypodSpotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/4Akt4N53zsb4ldzFNlTwad?si=AFEgYOAiSh2QGbK8AfFLywLachlan Delahunty: https://www.linkedin.com/in/lachlandelahunty/Reece Beddall: https://www.linkedin.com/in/reece-beddall-294557b3/Executive Producer: Jonathan Fernandeshttps://www.linkedin.com/in/jonathan-fernandes-a75a991b2/Disclaimer: This is for entertainment purposes - not financial advice. Speak to a qualified professional before making any financial or property decisions#AustralianHousingMarket #RentalCrisis #AustralianProperty #MigrationCrisis #HousingShortage #AustralianEconomy #PropertyMarket #RealEstateAustralia #HousingAffordability #AustralianPolitics #LeithOnselen #FollioPropertyPodcast

There's still time to beat the SMSF property ban, but the window is closing fast.In this episode, Reece Beddall and Lachlan Delahunty are joined by Katie Timms, partner at RSM and one of Australia's leading SMSF specialists, to reveal what most people get wrong about the incoming self-managed super fund lending changes, and why it may not be too late to act before the 10 August deadline.Then the conversation turns to the data nobody else is reporting honestly. With Sydney auction clearance rates officially at 47%, Lachlan exposes why the real number is closer to 25%, how that figure is actually collected, and what it tells you about where this market is really heading. Four of five capital cities are now falling, only Perth is holding, and the inflation read could change everything.This is property, made simple, honest, and practical.VALUE BREAKDOWN✅ The 10 August SMSF deadline explained, and why there may still be time to act✅ How fast you can actually set up an SMSF (the answer may surprise you)✅ The minimum super balance you need before this strategy makes sense✅ Why residential property in super is a defensive AND offensive play✅ The asset types that consistently go wrong in an SMSF, and how to avoid them✅ Why Sydney's "47%" clearance rate is really closer to 25%✅ How clearance rate data is actually collected (this will frustrate you)✅ Markets within markets: why some segments are still performing while headlines scream collapse✅ Brisbane, Adelaide and Perth: where the two-speed economy stands right now✅ Why the next inflation print could flip market sentiment overnight🕐 TIMESTAMPS00:00 Introduction02:32 The 10 August deadline explained03:51 How fast can you actually set one up?04:46 There's still time: the six-week window05:28 The minimum balance and what assets actually work09:43 Where SMSF property goes wrong (and right)18:18 Sydney exposed: why 47% is really 25%21:16 Melbourne, and the markets within markets23:48 Brisbane, Adelaide and Perth: the two-speed economy26:33 Inflation: the number that could change everything🏷️ KEY THEMESSMSF Property Ban | Self-Managed Super Fund Australia | Auction Clearance Rates | Sydney Property Market | Australian Property Market 2026 | Property Investment Strategy | Two-Speed Economy | Inflation Australia | Perth Property MarketFollow Katie TimmsWebsite: https://www.rsm.global/australia/people/katie-timmsLinkedIn: https://au.linkedin.com/in/katie-timms-7a353473About The Follio Property PodcastEach week, Reece Beddall and Lachlan Delahunty break down the biggest conversations shaping Australian property. From market cycles to debt, strategy, data, and real-world insights, we make property simple, honest, and practical.📍 Visit Our Website: https://follio.com.au/📩 Contact Us: [email protected]📲 Follow Us on Social:Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/folliopropertypod/TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@folliopropertypodSpotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/4Akt4N53zsb4ldzFNlTwad?si=AFEgYOAiSh2QGbK8AfFLywLachlan Delahunty: https://www.linkedin.com/in/lachlandelahunty/Reece Beddall: https://www.linkedin.com/in/reece-beddall-294557b3/Executive Producer: Jonathan Fernandeshttps://www.linkedin.com/in/jonathan-fernandes-a75a991b2/If you enjoy the episode, hit Like, Subscribe, and Comment to support the channel and join the conversation.Disclaimer: This is for entertainment purposes - not financial advice. Speak to a qualified professional before making any financial or property decisions#SMSF #SelfManagedSuperFund #SMSFProperty #AustralianPropertyMarket #PropertyInvestment #SydneyProperty #AuctionClearanceRates #PerthPropertyMarket #PropertyInvestor #FolioPropertyPodcast #TwoSpeedEconomy #InflationAustralia #AustralianHousingMarket2026 #PropertyPodcast #PropertyData #RealEstateAustralia #SMSFAustralia #PropertyStrategy

Book Your FREE Investment Assessment 👉: https://follio.com.au/contact-us/?utm_source=YouTube&utm_medium=video&utm_id=Ep+77📊 National Investment Report: https://441711975.hs-sites-ap1.com/follio-property-podcast-content-subscriber?utm_source=YouTube&utm_medium=newsletter&utm_id=Ep+77🚨 Attention Aussie Property Investors: The 2026 Budget may create the biggest property opportunities in years. Grab your FREE report from Australia's leading property experts and discover what's coming next.Sydney house prices are falling at the fastest rate since 2018 and the government isn't trying to stop it. In this episode, Reece Beddall and Lachlan Delahunty along with Redom Syed expose why the Australian government is betting on a Sydney property market correction before 2026 and why the next 6–12 months could be the best buying window Sydney has seen in 15 years.The Sydney property market in 2026 is shifting faster than most buyers and investors realise. House prices now sit at $1.6 million, down 4% in the last quarter alone, with auction clearance rates falling below 50% for the first time in years. This isn't just another cycle. Three rate rises, a government clampdown on investor lending, and post-budget uncertainty have combined to trigger what could become an 8%-plus aggregate price decline for Sydney. Borrowing power has fallen 30–40% over five years, and consumer confidence sits at historic lows. For Australian property investors and first-home buyers sitting on the sidelines, the question isn't whether Sydney will fall further, it's whether you'll recognise the window when it's open. The underlying housing shortage hasn't disappeared. Migration rates remain high. And the affordability index, which peaked at 61.5% in mid-2024 and now sits in the low 50s, is approaching levels that historically precede market rebounds. In this episode, we will cover:✅ The budget created "a bigger impact than the policy measures" ✅ The $2M–$5M trap✅ Auction clearance rates ✅ The affordability index✅ Borrowing power: how a decline changes things✅ The tale of 2–3 cities inside Sydney✅ Why Sydney's 2018 15% decline is the template for what happens next Timestamps:00:00 - Sydney Enters Buyer's Territory02:25 - Budget Fallout: Uncertainty Is the Real Weapon05:24 - 85% of Sellers At A Loss 10:21 - Affordability Index: The Metric That Predicts the Bottom16:58 - The 2018 15% Decline 18:09 - The $1 Trillion Wealth Wipeout 21:18 - Consumer Confidence, RBA Policy & Rate Cuts29:21 - Auction Clearance Rates33:04 - Spring 26: The Best Buying Window in 15 Years41:41 - Where Smart Money MovesAbout The Follio Property PodcastEach week, Reece Beddall and Lachlan Delahunty break down the biggest conversations shaping Australian property. From market cycles to debt, strategy, data, and real-world insights — we make property simple, honest, and practical.📍 Visit Our Website: https://follio.com.au/📩 Contact Us: [email protected]📲 Follow Us on Social:Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/folliopropertypod/TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@folliopropertypodSpotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/4Akt4N53zsb4ldzFNlTwad?si=AFEgYOAiSh2QGbK8AfFLywLachlan Delahunty: https://www.linkedin.com/in/lachlandelahunty/Reece Beddall: https://www.linkedin.com/in/reece-beddall-294557b3/Executive Producer: Jonathan Fernandeshttps://www.linkedin.com/in/jonathan-fernandes-a75a991b2/📲 Follow Us on Social:Instagram: / folliopropertypod TikTok: / folliopropertypod Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/4Akt4N5...Lachlan Delahunty: / lachlandelahunty Reece Beddall: / reece-beddall-294557b3 Follow Redom Syed:YouTube: ⁨@AusPropertyRedom⁩ Business: https://flintgroup.au/ If you enjoy the episode, hit Like, Subscribe, and Comment to support the channel and join the conversation.🔔 Subscribe for weekly Australian property investing insights, market analysis, and high-profile guests that cut through the noise.

Book Your FREE Investment Assessment 👉: https://follio.com.au/contact-us/The government just banned SMSF property lending. Here's our live reaction to the breaking news, with everything unpacked.In this breaking-news live reaction, Reece Beddall and Lachlan Delahunty unpack Labor's deal with the Greens to ban self-managed super funds from borrowing to buy residential property — what it means for investors, first home buyers, and the mum-and-dad Australians caught in the middle.But the SMSF ban is only part of the story. With Sydney auction clearance rates falling to a COVID-era low of 47% and headlines screaming collapse, Reece and Lachlan cut through the noise with the weekly data they track on the ground, revealing the markets within markets that are still recording positive growth while the national narrative says doom and gloom.VALUE BREAKDOWN✅ What the SMSF lending ban actually changes — and why it's less than 1% of lending✅ Why this is really about sentiment, not fundamentals✅ The grandfathering rules and the 60-day window explained✅ Why this is another handbrake on the mum-and-dad investor✅ Sydney and Melbourne: what 47% clearance rates really tell you✅ Markets within markets — why the upper quartile is dragging the headline figures✅ Why sub-$1M entry-level property has become the most competitive segment✅ The around-the-grounds data: Perth, Brisbane, Adelaide's first decline of the year✅ Why consumer sentiment just hit a multi-decade low — and who's actually still buying✅ The sophisticated investor mindset: being greedy when others are fearful🕐 TIMESTAMPS00:00 BREAKING: The SMSF lending ban explained01:48 Is this really about helping first home buyers?03:54 Grandfathering and the 60-day window04:41 Spruikers, loopholes and why the Greens pushed this10:31 Will it actually move property prices?13:53 The two-speed economy: Sydney and Melbourne data18:26 Why entry-level property is now the most competitive20:46 Around the grounds: Perth, Adelaide, Brisbane and regionals23:54 Sentiment: the lowest consumer confidence in 50 years27:35 Who's still buying — and the investor mindset that winsAbout The Follio Property PodcastEach week, Reece Beddall and Lachlan Delahunty break down the biggest conversations shaping Australian property. From market cycles to debt, strategy, data, and real-world insights — we make property simple, honest, and practical.📍 Visit Our Website: https://follio.com.au/📩 Contact Us: [email protected]📲 Follow Us on Social:Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/folliopropertypod/TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@folliopropertypodSpotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/4Akt4N53zsb4ldzFNlTwad?si=AFEgYOAiSh2QGbK8AfFLywLachlan Delahunty: https://www.linkedin.com/in/lachlandelahunty/Reece Beddall: https://www.linkedin.com/in/reece-beddall-294557b3/Executive Producer: Jonathan Fernandeshttps://www.linkedin.com/in/jonathan-fernandes-a75a991b2/#SMSFBan #SelfManagedSuperFund #AustralianPropertyMarket #PropertyInvestment #NegativeGearing #SydneyProperty #MelbourneProperty #AuctionClearanceRates #PerthPropertyMarket #PropertyInvestor #FolioPropertyPodcast #FirstHomeBuyer #AustralianHousingMarket2026 #MumAndDadInvestors #PropertyPodcast #SuperannuationAustralia #TwoSpeedEconomy #RealEstateAustralia #PropertyData #ConsumerSentiment

Book Your FREE Investment Assessment 👉: https://follio.com.au/contact-us/?utm_source=youtube&utm_medium=video&utm_campaign=ep75📊 National Investment Report: https://441711975.hs-sites-ap1.com/follio-property-podcast-content-subscriber?utm_source=YouTube&utm_medium=newsletter&utm_id=Ep+75Over 50,000 first-home buyers are now at risk as the Australian property market splits in two. Sydney house prices are falling at the fastest rate in 40 years while Perth continues its 26% annual boom. In this episode, property experts break down exactly what the 2026 Federal Budget means for investors, homeowners, and anyone looking to buy Australian property right now.The Australian property market is experiencing what experts are calling a two-speed economy. Sydney recorded a 0.9% decline in May alone, with auction clearance rates dropping below 50% and investor lending down 6.3%. Melbourne followed with a 0.7% decline, though rental yields at 4.47% are now the highest of any capital city. Meanwhile, Brisbane, Adelaide, and Perth are still posting positive monthly growth, with Perth leading the nation at 1.5% for the month and 26% over the past twelve months. This episode examines where the real estate Australia market is heading for the rest of 2026, which cities present the greatest risk of negative equity, and where the smart property investment opportunities still exist for buyers and investors.Here is exactly what we have covered in the podcast:✅ Sydney's 0.9% monthly decline and why auction clearance rates have fallen below 50% ✅ Melbourne's surprising rental yield lead at 4.47% and what the November election means for investors ✅ Perth's 26% annual growth and whether the market has peaked ✅ Brisbane's affordability ceiling and the risk of a decade-long stagnation ✅ Adelaide's slowing growth trajectory and the forecast for zero or negative movement ✅ How the 2026 Budget impacts first home buyers and investor lending across every capital city ✅ The widening gap between Sydney and Melbourne median house prices and what it signalsTimestamps:0:00 — First Home Buyers at Risk 1:11 — Budget Impact discussion 2:08 — Two-Speed Economy 2:45 — Sydney Auction Clearance Rates3:43 — Investor Lending drop5:49 — Melbourne Market10:25 — Brisbane Affordability Ceiling 13:01 — Perth 26% GrowthAbout The Follio Property PodcastEach week, Reece Beddall and Lachlan Delahunty break down the biggest conversations shaping Australian property. From market cycles to debt, strategy, data, and real-world insights — we make property simple, honest, and practical.📍 Visit Our Website: https://follio.com.au/📩 Contact Us: [email protected]📲 Follow Us on Social:Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/folliopropertypod/TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@folliopropertypodSpotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/4Akt4N53zsb4ldzFNlTwad?si=AFEgYOAiSh2QGbK8AfFLywLachlan Delahunty: https://www.linkedin.com/in/lachlandelahunty/Reece Beddall: https://www.linkedin.com/in/reece-beddall-294557b3/Executive Producer: Jonathan Fernandeshttps://www.linkedin.com/in/jonathan-fernandes-a75a991b2/If you enjoy the episode, hit Like, Subscribe, and Comment to support the channel and join the conversation.#realestateaustralia #propertyinvestmentaustralia #housingmarketaustralia #australianpropertymarket #sydneypropertymarket #firsthomebuyersaustralia

Get FREE Early Access to PropStac 👉: https://follio.com.au/propstac-waitlist/?utm_source=YouTube&utm_medium=newsletter&utm_id=Propstac+Waitlist+Ep+74📊 National Investment Report: https://441711975.hs-sites-ap1.com/follio-property-podcast-content-subscriber?utm_source=YouTube&utm_medium=newsletter&utm_id=Episode+74Most Australian property investors are driving blind into 2026, and the RBA's next move could be a brutal backflip that catches the unprepared off guard.In this episode of the Follio Property Podcast, Lachlan Delahunty and Reece Beddall break down the new Prop Stack portfolio management platform and tackle the hardest questions facing Australian property investors right now.The team also reveals their pick for the best investment opportunity for first-time investors, breaks down the key differences between transportable regional markets and remote regionals, and delivers their number one piece of advice for investors navigating the post-budget landscape.PropStac, the new portfolio tracking and market research platform, is built for investors who want to stop relying on spreadsheets and start making data-driven decisions, the platform offers portfolio dashboards, DIY market comparison charts, and access to vetted off-market investment opportunities across Australia.Here’s everything we have covered in this episode:✅ Why the 2026 rate trajectory could backflip and catch investors off guard ✅ Lachlan Delahunty's prediction: no more RBA rate hikes in 2026 ✅ Perth property market affordability analysis (houses 18%, units 46% remaining) ✅ Melbourne units identified as the best entry point for first-time investors ✅ Sydney property cycle: why the bottom is still ahead ✅ Transportable regionals vs remote regionals: the critical distinction ✅ Prop Stack portfolio management platform walkthrough and pilot program details ✅ Post-budget investment strategy: why knowing your numbers is non-negotiable ✅ Commercial property investment thresholds and the sub-$1.5M strata unit warningTIMESTAMPS:0:00 - 2026 Rate Backflip Warning1:05 - Prop Stack Platform Introduction3:29 - Portfolio Tracking & Market Research5:36 - Dashboard Walkthrough9:08 - Scenario Planner Demo13:43 - Off-Market Property Marketplace19:08 - Q&A: RBA Rate Forecast 202620:31 - Houses vs Units in 202621:35 - Rentvesting in Today's Market22:49 - Regional vs Remote Markets Explained24:10 - Gold Coast Market AnalysisAbout The Follio Property PodcastEach week, Reece Beddall and Lachlan Delahunty break down the biggest conversations shaping Australian property. From market cycles to debt, strategy, data, and real-world insights — we make property simple, honest, and practical.📍 Visit Our Website: https://follio.com.au/📩 Contact Us: [email protected]📲 Follow Us on Social:Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/folliopropertypod/TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@folliopropertypodSpotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/4Akt4N53zsb4ldzFNlTwad?si=AFEgYOAiSh2QGbK8AfFLywLachlan Delahunty: https://www.linkedin.com/in/lachlandelahunty/Reece Beddall: https://www.linkedin.com/in/reece-beddall-294557b3/Executive Producer: Jonathan Fernandeshttps://www.linkedin.com/in/jonathan-fernandes-a75a991b2/#AustralianPropertyMarket #RealEstateAustralia #AustralianHousingMarket #NegativeGearing #CapitalGainsTax #folliopropertypodcast Disclaimer: This is for entertainment purposes - not financial advice. Speak to a qualified professional before making any financial or property decisionsTrack: MoodMode - Upbeat Hip Hop Boom Bap Background MusicMusic provided by MoodMode

Book Your FREE Investment Assessment 👉: https://follio.com.au/contact-us/📊 National Investment Report: https://441711975.hs-sites-ap1.com/follio-property-podcast-content-subscriber?utm_source=YouTube&utm_medium=newsletter&utm_id=Episode+73Australia's property market is on the edge of its biggest correction in 40 years and most investors are still not prepared, as explained by the property expert Leith Van Onselen. He reveals exactly why falling borrowing capacity, poorly timed tax policy, and a looming recession are set to push property prices down by up to 10% across major capitals.The Australian real estate market has reached a dangerous inflection point. With the RBA at its highest cash rate in 15 years and investor borrowing capacity slashed by up to 30%, the widening gap between soaring property prices and the real capacity to pay cannot hold. The capital gains tax, property Australia reforms and negative gearing changes have landed at the worst possible moment, piling more downward pressure onto a market already at its cyclical peak.Australia is tracking dangerously close to New Zealand's trajectory, where identical policy changes triggered a sharp property crash before the incoming government reversed course. The 25-year supercycle of rising property values relative to incomes is likely over. Brisbane sits at its most overvalued level in 50 years relative to other capitals. The Melbourne property market is the cheapest major capital in 50 years. Consumer sentiment is near 50-year lows, construction costs are up 40% since the pandemic, and rental vacancy rates have hit their lowest point in recorded history.What you'll learn in this episode: ✅ Why Australia is heading for its biggest property correction in 40 years ✅ How capital gains tax and negative gearing changes have crushed investor borrowing capacity by up to 30%✅ The New Zealand precedent and what it signals for Australian property investment in 2025 ✅ Brisbane vs Melbourne: which capital is dangerously overvalued and which presents the hidden opportunity ✅ Why surging construction costs are deepening the rental crisis and stifling new supply ✅ What RBA rate cuts will and will not save for property investorsTimestamps:00:00 - Australia's Biggest Property Correction in 40 Years01:35 - Capital Gains Tax & Negative Gearing: The Policy Shock04:25 - The New Zealand Precedent12:21 - What Actually Moves Property Prices17:07 - Credit Availability & Borrowing Capacity Collapse19:14 - RBA Rate Cuts & Recession Risk24:29 - Brisbane vs Melbourne: Which Market Wins?33:15 - Is This Worse Than 2018?45:48 - Rental Crisis & Construction Collapse50:04 - Wrap Up & Part 2 PreviewFollow Leith Van Onselen:YouTube:  @Leithvo  Business: https://www.macrobusiness.com.au/About The Follio Property PodcastEach week, Reece Beddall and Lachlan Delahunty break down the biggest conversations shaping Australian property. From market cycles to debt, strategy, data, and real-world insights — we make property simple, honest, and practical.📍 Visit Our Website: https://follio.com.au/📩 Contact Us: [email protected]📲 Follow Us on Social:Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/folliopropertypod/TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@folliopropertypodSpotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/4Akt4N53zsb4ldzFNlTwad?si=AFEgYOAiSh2QGbK8AfFLywLachlan Delahunty: https://www.linkedin.com/in/lachlandelahunty/Reece Beddall: https://www.linkedin.com/in/reece-beddall-294557b3/Executive Producer: Jonathan Fernandeshttps://www.linkedin.com/in/jonathan-fernandes-a75a991b2/#AustralianPropertyMarket #RealEstateAustralia #AustralianHousingMarket #NegativeGearing #CapitalGainsTax #FollioPropertyPodcast

Book Your FREE Investment Assessment 👉: https://follio.com.au/contact-us/📊 National Investment Report: https://441711975.hs-sites-ap1.com/follio-property-podcast-content-subscriber?utm_source=YouTube&utm_medium=newsletter&utm_id=Episode+72Sydney's auction clearance rate just fell below 50% for the first time in six years. National clearance rates have hit their lowest point since COVID. The trend has officially flipped and the data reveals exactly where the Australian housing market is heading next.Australia is now running a two-speed property market. Sydney recorded a 0.9% monthly price fall in May, the biggest decline in the country, with a median house price sitting at $1.25 million. Melbourne posted a 0.7% fall, with clearance rates struggling at 53%. At the same time, CBA has slashed its growth forecast from 5% down to 3% for 2026 and 2027, citing mounting pressure on Australia's two largest cities.But while Sydney and Melbourne softened, Perth surged 1.5%, Brisbane climbed 0.8%, and Adelaide added 0.7% in the same month. Understanding which side of this split you are on is the difference between building equity and getting trapped. Reece Beddall and Lachlan Delahunty break down the Follio Sentiment Index, surveying over 2,000 property investment Australia 2026 participants, and the results are clear. Confidence in WA jumped from 5.8 to 6.7 and Queensland from 5.6 to 6.7, while Sydney sits neutral.

For those watching the Melbourne property market, units are now trading $200,000 below replacement cost with gross rental yields pushing 4.5%. As Warren Buffett put it: "Be greedy when others are fearful." With consumer confidence at a 50-year low and the RBA July meeting expected to hold, that window is right now.Here’s what we covered in this episode.✅ Why national auction clearance rates fell below 50% for the first time since COVID✅ Sydney's 0.9% monthly price fall and what it signals for homeowners and investors✅ CBA's revised forecast: 5% growth outlook cut to 3% for 2026 and 2027✅ Melbourne's hidden opportunity: 4.5% gross yields and units $200K below replacement costTimestamps:0:00 Auction Clearance Rates & Consumer Confidence0:52 Post-Budget Market Overview2:04 Big Bank Forecasts: CBA & Westpac2:48 Sydney & Melbourne Demand Signal4:48 CBA's Downgraded Forecast8:38 RBA Rate Decision Outlook11:11 Consumer Confidence at 50-Year Low11:40 Follio Sentiment Index15:12 WA & Queensland Confidence Rising20:49 Mortgage Prison & Distressed Sales23:27 Melbourne: Auction Rates & Price Decline26:28 Melbourne Rental Yields29:11 Where to Invest Now in AustraliaIf you are tracking the Australian real estate market and figuring out your next move, drop your city in the comments. Are you buying, holding, or waiting? Like if the data helped, and subscribe so you never miss a Follio market update.About The Follio Property PodcastEach week, Reece Beddall and Lachlan Delahunty break down the biggest conversations shaping Australian property. From market cycles to debt, strategy, data, and real-world insights — we make property simple, honest, and practical.📍 Visit Our Website: https://follio.com.au/📩 Contact Us: [email protected]📲 Follow Us on Social:Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/folliopropertypod/TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@folliopropertypod Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/4Akt4N53zsb4ldzFNlTwad?si=AFEgYOAiSh2QGbK8AfFLywLachlan Delahunty: https://www.linkedin.com/in/lachlandelahunty/Reece Beddall: https://www.linkedin.com/in/reece-beddall-294557b3/Executive Producer: Jonathan Fernandeshttps://www.linkedin.com/in/jonathan-fernandes-a75a991b2/#HousingMarket #RealEstateAustralia #AustralianPropertyInvestment #PropertyInvestmentAustralia2026 #Melbourne #Sydney #TheFollioPropertyPodcastDisclaimer: This is for entertainment purposes - not financial advice. Speak to a qualified professional before making any financial or property decisions

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Regional property markets in Queensland are sitting on a structural time bomb, and most investors holding assets in Gladstone, Mackay, or the Sunshine Coast have no idea how close they are to serious losses. Property expert Josh Coleman joins the Follio Property Podcast to reveal exactly why the combination of budget policy changes, investor-heavy buyer pools, and the collapse of the "greater fool theory" is about to reset regional values across Australia.The Australian property market 2026 looks radically different for anyone holding regional assets compared to just 18 months ago. Josh Coleman maps out the risk profile of every major Queensland regional market using hard data. Markets like Gladstone and Mackay, where investor transactions dominate at over 70%, have been propped up by speculative buyer chains rather than genuine occupier demand.The housing market in Australia 2026 is not uniformly at risk. Townsville, with its defence spending and diversified economy, carries a different risk profile to Mackay. Toowoomba's metropolitan character provides another buffer. But for most pure regional markets across Queensland property market corridors, the expert warning is clear: reduce exposure before the Senate finalises the policy.What we have covered in this episode:✅ Why regional Queensland is the highest-risk asset class in Australia right now ✅ The policy double-hit: losing both negative gearing AND capital gains benefits simultaneously ✅ How Gladstone and Mackay rely on speculative investor chains with no owner-occupier floor ✅ Why Townsville is more resilient than Mackay despite both being regional markets

TIMESTAMPS:

00:00 Intro

01:38 Post-Budget Sentiment: How Clients, Agents and Media Are Reacting

07:51 The Biggest Risks for Investors Under the New Conditions

08:21 Why Regional Markets Are the Most Dangerous Play Right Now

15:09 House and Land Packages and the Greenfield Estate Trap

17:35 Gold Coast: Boom, Bust and the Off-the-Plan Danger

20:42 Sunshine Coast vs Gold Coast: Which Market Has a Floor

23:42 Brisbane Post-Budget: Olympics Hype vs Structural Reality

24:03 Brisbane Eastern Suburbs: Why the Smart Money Is Here

27:19 Brisbane Market Segmentation: Which Tier to Target in 2026

33:38 Where to Invest in Brisbane Right Now

34:20 The Next Buyer Framework: How to Think About Your Exit Strategy

Follow Josh Coleman:BuyWise: https://www.buywiseproperty.com.au/LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/joshua-coleman-3334ba27/About

The Follio Property PodcastEach week, Reece Beddall and Lachlan Delahunty break down the biggest conversations shaping Australian property. From market cycles to debt, strategy, data, and real-world insights — we make property simple, honest, and practical.

📍 Visit Our

Website: https://follio.com.au/

📩 Contact Us: [email protected]

📲 Follow Us on Social:Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/folliopropertypod/TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@folliopropertypod Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/4Akt4N53zsb4ldzFNlTwad?si=AFEgYOAiSh2QGbK8AfFLywLachlan Delahunty: https://www.linkedin.com/in/lachlandelahunty/Reece Beddall: https://www.linkedin.com/in/reece-beddall-294557b3/

Executive Producer: Jonathan Fernandeshttps://www.linkedin.com/in/jonathan-fernandes-a75a991b2/

#AustralianPropertyMarket #RegionalPropertyInvestment #PropertyInvestmentAustralia #NegativeGearingAustralia #QueenslandPropertyMarket #FollioPropertyPodcast #brisbaneproperty #goldcoastproperty #propertyinvestment #propertyinvestor #propertymarketupdate

Disclaimer: This is for entertainment purposes - not financial advice. Speak to a qualified professional before making any financial or property decisions