The Football Analytics Show by The Power Rank and Ed Feng

Connor Allen, the sports betting manager at 4for4 and host of the Move The Line podcast, joins the show for a wide ranging conversation. Highlights include: How his NFL handicapping process involves analytics and watching games (6:34). An NFL player receiving yards prop (16:22). A week 8 NFL side (19:58). Desmond Ridder (24:20). Cincinnati at San Francisco (26:22). Houston at Carolina (28:36). Miami's defense (36:25). A surprise NFL prediction (40:00). Kansas City Chiefs (45:38). Seattle Seahawks (46:40).

The Football Analytics Show is presented by The Power Rank, a site devoted to predictive analytics for football betting. To get 5-Nugget Saturday, a curated list of bets and analytics, sign up for the free newsletter here:

https://thepowerrank.com/

After 7 weeks of the season, we now have some robust data with which to evaluate college football teams. This episode looks at whether to trust success rate or yards per play more and then digs into 3 teams. This has big implications for a huge Big Ten game and the future of a conference that will not exist next season.

The Football Analytics Show is presented by The Power Rank, a site devoted to predictive analytics for football betting. To get 5-Nugget Saturday, a curated list of bets and analytics, sign up for the free newsletter here:

https://thepowerrank.com/

Rob Pizzola, a professional sports bettor that uses quantitative methods to bet the NFL, joins the show for a wide ranging conversation. Highlights include: The new data Rob and his team work with in 2023 (5:20). NFL player prop betting (9:48). New England at Las Vegas, NFL Week 6 bet (22:26). Minnesota at Chicago, NFL Week 6 bet (23:50). San Francisco destroys Dallas in Week 5, signal or noise? (31:10). Los Angeles Rams (37:43).

The Football Analytics Show is presented by The Power Rank, a site devoted to predictive analytics for football betting. To get 5-Nugget Saturday, a curated list of bets and analytics, sign up for the free newsletter here:

https://thepowerrank.com/

Fabian Sommer, a professional NFL bettor, joins the show for a wide ranging conversation. Highlights include: Fabian's process for handicapping the NFL (2:17). Evaluating coordinators, Detroit OC Ben Johnson in particular (9:08). A bet on Houston at Atlanta, NFL Week 5 (15:45). If and when to get off your preseason prior (26:37). Cincinnati Bengals (29:00). Indianapolis Colts and Anthony Richardson (34:33). Chicago Bears (36:34). Handicapping rookie QB Aiden O'Connell (40:48). Dallas at San Francisco (43:20). Kansas City (46:09).

The Football Analytics Show is presented by The Power Rank, a site devoted to predictive analytics for football betting. To get 5-Nugget Saturday, a curated list of bets and analytics, sign up for the free newsletter here:

https://thepowerrank.com/

As an analytics person, you know better than to judge based on a small sample size. But do you know why this is so difficult?

This episode digs into the cognitive science behind your tenuous relationship with randomness. I hope it feels like a short audiobook, but not boring.

The Football Analytics Show is presented by The Power Rank, a site devoted to predictive analytics for football betting. To get 5-Nugget Saturday, a curated list of bets and analytics, sign up for the free newsletter here:

https://thepowerrank.com/

Tanner Buzick, the Director of Analytics at Dr. Bob Sports, joins the show for a wide ranging conversation. Highlights include: His quantitative approach to betting the NFL (6:24). Carolina at Seattle (13:22). Nick Chubb, Tennessee at Cleveland (21:40). A surprise prediction and bet for the 2023 NFL season (26:20). Advice for breaking into the betting world (29:20).

The Football Analytics Show is presented by The Power Rank, a site devoted to predictive analytics for football betting. To get 5-Nugget Saturday, a curated list of bets and analytics, sign up for the free newsletter here:

https://thepowerrank.com/

Mike Craig, a professional sports bettor who also works with Right Angle Sports, joins the show for a wide ranging conversation. Highlights include: How to get into sports betting in 2023 (5:35). Handicapping college football (8:02). FBS vs FCS games and whether they matter in handicapping (14:42). A college football bet (20:18). Colorado (23:02). Penn State at Illinois (33:12). A surprising prediction for the 2023 season (38:18). A team to fade (44:03). The state of sports betting (48:18).

The Football Analytics Show is presented by The Power Rank, a site devoted to predictive analytics for football betting. To get 5-Nugget Saturday, a curated list of bets and analytics, sign up for the free newsletter here:

https://thepowerrank.com/

Before the 2022 season, Dan Hanzus of NFL.com had Denver 8th in his power rankings. The Broncos finished the season 5-12.

I used his opinion in my best NFL predictions last year. Even in hindsight, I don't regret it. Let me explain in this episode.

The Football Analytics Show is presented by The Power Rank, a site devoted to predictive analytics for football betting. To get 5-Nugget Saturday, a curated list of bets and analytics, sign up for the free newsletter here:

https://thepowerrank.com/

How to bet the Buffalo Bills in 2023, courtesy of the brilliant software tools at Unabated. The concept of a no hold market plays a critical role in the analysis.

The Football Analytics Show is presented by The Power Rank, a site devoted to predictive analytics for football betting. To get 5-Nugget Saturday, a curated list of bets and analytics, sign up for the free newsletter here:

https://thepowerrank.com/

Adam Chernoff of Right Angle Sports joins the show for a wide ranging conversation. Highlights include: How the NFL preseason impacts his analysis (5:22). Houston Texans (9:00). Las Vegas Raiders (12:15). The Right Angle Sports NFL team (15:05). NFL props (19:17). Week 1 teaser bet (24:55). Atlanta Falcons and total football (28:30). Arizona Cardinals (38:42). Dallas Cowboys (42:10). The Simple Handicap daily podcast (51:44).

The Football Analytics Show is presented by The Power Rank, a site devoted to predictive analytics for football betting. To get 5-Nugget Saturday, a curated list of bets and analytics, sign up for the free newsletter here:

https://thepowerrank.com/