The Football Analytics Show by The Power Rank and Ed Feng

It might seem crazy to use preseason results to predict the NFL regular season. However, studies have shown that the NBA preseason is predictive of the games that matter.

In this second episode of the 2022 Preview Series, Edward Egros asks whether the NFL preseason is predictive and what other insights we can get from these games.

The Football Analytics Show is presented by The Power Rank, a site devoted to predictive analytics for football betting. To get the free sports betting newsletter, click here:

https://thepowerrank.com/

Support the podcast:

https://www.patreon.com/footballanalytics

Since 2015, Ed Feng has gone 12 of 18 in picking overrated college football teams in the preseason AP poll. This episode reveals his three overrated teams for 2022 and his process behind the selections.

The Football Analytics Show is presented by The Power Rank, a site devoted to predictive analytics for football betting. To get the free sports betting newsletter, click here:

https://thepowerrank.com/

Support the podcast:

https://www.patreon.com/footballanalytics

Fabian Sommer, a well respect NFL bettor, joins the show for a wide ranging conversation. Highlights include: Why he only bets the NFL and the benefits of this focus (2:21). Moving from picks to only betting (8:56). His quantitative and qualitative preparation for the 2022 season (13:45). Kansas City and their 2021 adjustments (21:32). Las Vegas and the offense of Josh McDaniels (27:59). Minnesota and Kevin O'Connell (31:50). Miami and Mike McDaniel (37:02). Dallas (39:41). Jacksonville and Doug Pederson (46:33).

Among these points, Fabian also discussed two win total bets he likes. 

Support the podcast:

https://www.patreon.com/footballanalytics

The Football Analytics Show is presented by The Power Rank, a site devoted to predictive analytics for football betting. To get the free sports betting newsletter, click here:

https://thepowerrank.com/

Captain Jack Andrews, professional sports bettor and founder of Unabated, joins the podcast for a wide ranging conversion. Highlights include: An early example of a sports betting edge (5:15). The difficulty in finding a good book maker (8:13). Analytics and book making (14:19). Educating sports bettors (23:09). Betting NFL football (33:37). Top down versus bottom up approaches to betting (40:12). The bright future for sharp sports bettors (49:46). How exchanges work (55:06). How to get casino comps (1:08:11).

Support the podcast:

https://www.patreon.com/footballanalytics

The Football Analytics Show is presented by The Power Rank, a site devoted to predictive analytics for football betting. To get the free sports betting newsletter, click here:

https://thepowerrank.com/

The first 20 supporters of The Football Analytics Show get the Establish the Pass mug. To support the podcast on Patreon:

https://www.patreon.com/footballanalytics

Bill Connelly, writer for ESPN and college football analytics expert, joins the show for a wide ranging discussion. Highlights include: Conference realignment and the future of college football (4:20). Ohio State and the defense (14:34). Alabama and the transfer portal (24:26). Georgia and replacing 5 first round NFL draft picks on defense (31:55). The N teams that could be 4th in the nation (36:22). Dark horse Heisman candidates (44:05). Simple advice on college football win totals (49:14). USC WR Jordan Addison (52:05). European club soccer (54:44).

The Football Analytics Show is presented by The Power Rank, a site devoted to predictive analytics for football betting. To get the free sports betting newsletter, click here:

https://thepowerrank.com/

JJ Zachariason of Late Round Fantasy Football joins the show to discuss predictive player analytics. JJ is the leading expert at season long NFL player projections. Highlights include: The importance of supply and demand in your fantasy football draft (6:26). The supply of wide receivers (14:30). Value and why fantasy football drafts are like betting (17:58). The model JJ uses to project NFL player statistics (31:45). Regression and how to use it to your advantage (39:55). Stefon Diggs and Buffalo Bills offense (45:10). Two surprise NFL teams (48:36).

The Football Analytics Show is presented by The Power Rank, a site devoted to predictive analytics for betting. To get the free sports betting newsletter, click here:

https://thepowerrank.com/

Dr. Nick Wan, the Director of Analytics for the Cincinnati Reds, joins the show for a wide ranging discussion. Nick got into baseball after earning his Ph.D. in neuroscience from Utah State. Highlights include: How an early sports analytics project made the front page of the New York Times (4:52). His tasks as Director of Analytics for a MLB team (10:35). How baseball as evolved from event to process based metrics (13:21). The frontier of player development analytics (16:58). The prospects for the Cincinnati Reds (24:55). Analytics for KFC, the fast food company (32:17). Creativity in sports analytics, and the role of logic (44:11).

The Football Analytics Show is presented by The Power Rank, a site devoted to predictive analytics for betting. To get the free sports betting newsletter, click here:

https://thepowerrank.com/

Pass rushers get paid to sack the quarterback. However, sack rate is not the best metric to evaluate pass rushers. In 2021, Von Miller, Robert Quinn and T.J. Watt showed the utility of pressure rate in evaluating edge rushers. For pass blockers, pressure rate allowed is not as good a metric. This episode describes a better way to evaluate offensive linemen.

Doug Kezirian, ESPN sports betting analyst and host of Daily Wager, joins the show for a wide ranging conversation. Highlights include: How a Los Angeles guys arrived at ESPN in Las Vegas through Missouri and Iowa (2:45). Live basketball betting (15:26). NFL betting (31:30). Saints, Packers, Chiefs (38:21). Sports books and limiting sharps (46:43). Doug's big win on the 2021 NFL draft (56:51).

The Football Analytics Show is presented by The Power Rank, a site devoted to the idea that predictive analytics is a crucial part of sports betting. To get the free sports betting newsletter, click here:

https://thepowerrank.com/