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Ever wondered how to make a college basketball prediction based on efficiency? Host Ed Feng digs into points per possession and how to estimate this quantity from the box score. Then he gets into the least squares algorithm used to adjust for strength of schedule. This leads to the college basketball rankings on Sports Reference and kenpom.com. Finally, he talks about going from rankings to a prediction for a game.
Michigan State might not seem like championship contender given their record. They lost 6 of 10 games at one point this season. However, a surprising predictor of tournament performance likes Michigan State. Host Ed Feng breaks down the team on offense and defense and explains their poor record because of an exceptional Big Ten conference.
You got the memo on using analytics to predict the NCAA tournament, and you're ready to win. Not so fast. If you get this one thing wrong, you might as well light your entry fee on fire. Host Ed Feng explains through an analogy with Steph Curry.
The word parity has been used to describe college basketball this season. But does it actually apply? And if so, does it imply even more Madness in the tournament? In this first episode of the Bracket Wisdom series, host Ed Feng compares win probabilities for this year to the past few seasons. He gets into his latest methods for predicting college basketball, and discusses Dayton, San Diego State, Arizona and Michigan State along the way.
Adam Stanco, producer at the Pac-12 Network and hoops expert, joins me for a wide ranging college basketball conversation. He describes the landscape for the 2020 NCAA tournament and determines whether a mid-major like Dayton or San Diego State could win. He also talks about Michigan State, Arizona and Seton Hall among other teams.
Ken Pomeroy, college basketball analytics guru, joins the show to talk about his work. He discusses the statistic that he uses to evaluate home court (no, it's not points). Then Ken tells us about his favorite research project out of the many he's done over the years. Finally, we discuss teams that can win the 2020 NCAA tournament and whether mid-major programs like Dayton and San Diego State belong on this list.
To give yourself the best odds of winning your March Madness pool, you need the right strategy. Host Ed Feng discusses how this worked in last year's tournament.
Nick Kostos, sports betting personality at Sports Illustrated, joins me to discuss the Super Bowl. He begins with his journey from writing articles at Bleacher Report to CBS to videos at Sports Illustrated. Then we break down the Super Bowl match up between San Francisco and Kansas City. Nick also shares his thoughts on social media, food, books and the important things in life.
Host Ed Feng breaks down the Super Bowl between San Francisco and Kansas City. He uses snap data to analyze match ups in this game, and discusses an important factor that could swing the game. He ends with a prediction based on his analytics at ThePowerRank.com.
Bob Stoll, a pioneer in using football analytics for betting, joins me to talk NFL analytics. He describes his model and how he incorporates statistics like air yards and QB pressures. Then Bob tells us about the surprising resource he uses for injury adjustments. Finally, we discuss the conference championship games: Tennessee at Kansas City and Green Bay at San Francisco.
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