The Football Analytics Show by The Power Rank and Ed Feng

Aaron Schatz of Football Outsiders joins me for a wide ranging discussion on the NFL. He tells us about the most important frontiers in football analytics, which leads to a discussion of which defensive stats are least stable from year to year. Then we get into an overrated team, or Jacksonville 2.0. Finally, he tells us about an NFC North team that might surprise you.

The preseason is the time for high expectations in college football. However, not all teams live up to the hype. Using analytics and context, host Ed Feng identifies 3 overrated college football teams for 2019.

Host Ed Feng goes through 5 games based on predictions he usually saves for paying members of The Power Rank, his site for more accurate football predictions. These predictions allow him to dig deeper into the Clemson Tigers, the Wisconsin Badgers and the Kansas City Chiefs.

Colts QB Andrew Luck shocked the football world by retiring this weekend. To determine the effect of his absence on Indianapolis, host Ed Feng uses his NFL preseason rankings based on market win totals.

While Oklahoma and Texas dominate the headlines, Iowa State might be the most intriguing team in the Big 12. Host Ed Feng breaks down QB Brock Purdy and the pass defense by using a little known fact about the official statistics. He ends by ranking the top 3 Big 12 teams by The Power Rank preseason model.

Seattle had a solid 10-6 season in 2018 and made the playoffs. However, the Seahawks have a serious problem. Host Ed Feng looks at their offense based on research on how running the ball sets up play action.

It's hard enough to win a division title in college football. It gets even harder when your team has the most difficult schedule. Based on division win probabilities, host Ed Feng identifies 3 college football teams getting screwed by the injustice of schedule.

Despite going down to Ohio State as the favorite last season, Michigan lost a heart breaking 62-39 game. Host Ed Feng explores the hidden side of the game based on modern football analytics. Then he projects whether Michigan can finally catch Ohio State in 2019.

NFL teams run the ball more when they're up late in games. So it makes sense that 100 yard rushers on winning teams get lots of their yards late in games. Host Ed Feng dug into the data to test this hypothesis.

Why preview a Nebraska team that went 4-8 last year? First, they were better than their record in 2018, and looking at their season shows us the perils of small sample size. Second, Nebraska has interesting upside for 2019.