The Latest Generation

Considering the assumption that events in the Second Turning inform the Fourth Turning, looking into how recent abortion-related events may tie in to our current Crisis.

The quotes from Executive Orders are from page 235 in my hardback copy; page 367 on google books — search for abortion to find them there.

Some sources on Roe v. Wade, which decision was announced on January 22, 1973

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Roe_v._Wade

http://landmarkcases.c-span.org/Case/12/Roe-V-Wade

Text of decision, Library of Congress: http://cdn.loc.gov/service/ll/usrep/usrep410/usrep410113/usrep410113.pdf

1973 was a busy year. A lot happened on January 22 alone, including the death of former president Lyndon Johnson

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1973

The Munich Olympics were in September 1972, roughly four months before Roe v. Wade

https://www.olympic.org/munich-1972

Apollo 17 was one month before the decision was announced

https://airandspace.si.edu/explore-and-learn/topics/apollo/apollo-program/landing-missions/apollo17.cfm

https://www.thecut.com/2019/05/how-extreme-abortion-bans-in-alabama-and-georgia-happened.html?utm_campaign=thecut&utm_medium=s1&utm_source=tw

Note: Rage, anger, fury are key words in this.

Again looking at Authoritarianism and Awakenings, but this time using Pink Floyd's 1979 album The Wall for further insights into how alienation feeds into it as well.

Follow up to the other boomer fascist stuff, w radio ga ha and the fall of the wall

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Wall

Released 30 November 1979 - this recording is from ten years later1990, done at the site of the berlin wall, which had recently fallen after 28 years.

40 years after the invasion of Poland and the start of World War II. Roger water’s father would die at Anzio, and the loss of his father has a notable impact on the ideas of alienation and loss that are the core of the wall.

And this year makes 40 years since it was released.

Roger Waters was born 1943 .

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Roger_Waters

Gilmour 1946

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/David_Gilmour

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Radio_Ga_Ga

Released 1984

CSUN Matador Band - The Wall

https://youtu.be/cyzWuzW0BMg

A short essay on the hammers

http://www.feelnumb.com/2012/11/16/pink-floyds-double-crossing-hammer-logo-from-the-wall/

Gohil’s - the source of the Gohil’s Boots referenced at the end of Nobody Home. (It’s a leatherworking shop - they don’t do boots anymore, though.)

http://www.gohils.co.uk

https://www.facebook.com/notes/roger-waters/an-open-letter-from-roger-waters/688037331210720/

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Skinhead

An interview with Roger Waters by Jim Ladd on the release of The Wall in 1980

http://www.pink-floyd.org/artint/119.htm

Roger Ebert liked the movie in 1982, and eventually (2010) even gave it a Great Movie review

https://www.rogerebert.com/reviews/great-movie-pink-floyd-the-wall-1982

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/In_the_Flesh_(Pink_Floyd_tour)

https://www.ign.com/articles/top-14-greatest-rock-operasconcept-albums-of-all-time

Couldn’t find another listing, but this shows that number 11 is Jim Morrison, 38 is Live Aid, so 27 of them - fully half -  are in the middle of the Awakening.

http://www.statemaster.com/encyclopedia/Rolling-Stone%27s-list-of-the-50-Moments-that-Changed-Rock-and-Roll

This version of Waiting for the Worms is from The Wall Live in Berlin, was also intended as a charity concert. Waters had intended to create The Fletcher Memorial Fund, named after his father, whose death in WWII had been a source of the alienation explored in the original album.

A random and unrelated item here: The Killing Star uses We Are The World, another supergroup single, as the first time that the human reace was reasonable unified.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Killing_Star

I'm on Twitter @generationalize and can be found also (sometimes) at the blogs Welcome to the Crisis & Stories of the Generations as well.

http://crisis.generationalize.com

http://stories.generationalize.com

Where I consider the results of a generational prediction I made in 2014, concerning A New Generation of Filmmakers.

Here's the prediction

"No later than 2016, we will see the first films with a true Millennial view, written and directed by people born after 1982, which will unstoppably influence movies for the following twenty years, possibly more. The first indications will be a young auteur, probably not yet 30, who is noticed for a film that is just not like what is out there now."

It's from this blog post, January 25, 2014:

https://crisis.generationalize.com/2014/01/influences.html

Quick note that there are some audio issues at points around here - I was trying a new setup for recording.

Some of those significant films:

Spielberg

Jaws: https://www.imdb.com/title/tt0073195/

(The first movie I was thinking of, Duel, was a TV movie. Sugarland Express was his first big motion picture directing job.

Stallone

Rocky: https://www.imdb.com/title/tt0075148/

Lucas

Star Wars: https://www.imdb.com/title/tt0076759/?

American Graffiti: https://www.imdb.com/title/tt0069704/

His first studio film was THX-1138: https://www.imdb.com/title/tt0066434/

Tarantino

Pulp Fiction: https://www.imdb.com/title/tt0110912/

Smith

Clerks: https://www.imdb.com/title/tt0109445/

Favreau

Swingers: https://www.imdb.com/title/tt0117802/

I think of it as Favreau's film, since it's written by him and about his experiences in L.A. (sound familiar...), though director Doug Liman (also GenX, b. 1965) also managed to do something with Swingers as a starting point

Go: https://www.imdb.com/title/tt0139239/

The Bourne Identity: https://www.imdb.com/title/tt0258463/

Mr. & Mrs. Smith https://www.imdb.com/title/tt0356910/

And Bourne reminded me that Good Will Hunting

https://www.imdb.com/title/tt0119217/

was written by Ben Affleck & Matt Damon, and brought to the attention of Miramax by ... Kevin Smith, who had cast Affleck  as the lead in Chasing Amy. 

Damien Chazelle

La La Land: https://www.imdb.com/title/tt3783958/

Whiplash: https://www.imdb.com/title/tt2582802/

Ryan Coogler

Black Panther: https://www.imdb.com/title/tt1825683/

Not sure this is statistically sound but: For many of these folks, that Big Film was their third or close to it.

Another blog post, not really related, but about GenX films. http://stories.generationalize.com/2016/03/movies-of-generation-x.html

And yet another, going back as far as I do with it

http://stories.generationalize.com/2015/12/a-new-generation-of-filmmakers.html

Disney discussing the multiplane camera - it appears to be from the Wonderful World of Disney television show, so it's about 30 years after the camera was invented and used in Snow White.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kN-eCBAOw60

Some random YouTubers that I've heard of

Odd 1s Out: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCo8bcnLyZH8tBIH9V1mLgqQ

Jaiden Animations 

https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCGwu0nbY2wSkW8N-cghnLpA

Moosecraft & Unspeakable

https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCV7lBBz6G20d87WoKFPjsPw

https://www.youtube.com/user/UnspeakableGaming

I did not know that Machinima (the company) had gone through some changes, and don't really know what they are are were, but here's their channel

https://www.youtube.com/user/machinima/featured

I'm on Twitter @generationalize and can be found also (sometimes) at the above blogs (Welcome to the Crisis & Stories of the Generations) as well.

When describing how Turnings come about, the Midlife cohort can seem less important than the young adults' exuberant energy or the Elders' wisdom and values. The Nomads (like GenX) are identified as rather uninteresting managers of the Crisis/4th Turning, not much else to do in their role. Perhaps, though, the people in midlife are the key to it all, the real impetus, the ones who push the Crisis towards its peak. 

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The tweet that - mostly - got this episode starting up again in my head

https://twitter.com/larisa_a/status/1095350964226281473

A few notes here on how age, fertility, and other ways we suspect that midlife is a specific biological event.

https://www.webmd.com/depression/features/midlife-crisis-opportunity#2

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Stage-crisis_view

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Erikson%27s_stages_of_psychosocial_development

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Age_and_female_fertility

https://www.theatlantic.com/science/archive/2017/01/why-do-killer-whales-go-through-menopause/512783/

Hadn’t found this source when doing that earlier episode on The Third Wave

http://www.thewavehome.com/1991_The-Wave_article.htm

As mentioned, there was an earlier episode on Authoritarianism and Awakenings (Episode 16) that talks about The Third Wave and who was involved.

There's another one on anger, it's effect on people and its impact on the Fourth Turning - episode 20 Why Are You So Angry?

A couple of articles about how people have this drop in happiness around 44 or so.

https://www.psychologytoday.com/us/blog/happiness-and-the-pursuit-leadership/201804/miserable-and-middle-aged-is-something-wrong-you

https://www.marketwatch.com/story/miserable-in-your-40s-dont-panic-its-perfectly-normal-2018-07-10

A study of 500 chimpanzees and orangutans rated for happiness by their zoo keepers indicated a primate mid-life crisis at around the age of 30 – a finding that led to speculation that some (as yet unidentified) age-related biological influence is at work.

(…in the book Protector, there is speculation that other primates were separate offshoots of breeders, de-volving because of something unexpected like increased radiation.)

https://www.theguardian.com/science/head-quarters/2015/jun/24/life-happiness-curve-u-shaped-ageing

A description of Protector on Larry Niven's website.

http://news.larryniven.net/biblio/display.asp?key=81&order=4&direction=1

But you can search around and you'll find more about it - like here

https://tvtropes.org/pmwiki/pmwiki.php/Literature/Protector

Marie Kondo was at the Oscars

https://twitter.com/TheAcademy/status/1099797651946491904

https://twitter.com/MarieKondo

“Tidying is contagious”

https://twitter.com/MarieKondo/status/1087735339551244290

You can find me on Twitter: @generationalize and occasionally blogging at http://crisis.generationalize.com

While Generations, the 1991 book by William Strauss & Neil Howe, was really about a model of history based on how different generations work together, or not, it implied that major events recurred on a regular and predictable basis. They specifically called out The Crisis of 2020, their term for what they expected to happen around that year, based on the age of the Boom generation, Generation X, and Millennials. What is this Crisis? What can we expect from it? Has it already started? 

Obviously you would want to read Generations again if hadn’t realized we were up to the Crisis of 2020, almost. 

Some Wikipedia links for the possibly comparable historical events mentioned

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Siege_of_Sevastopol_(1854–55)

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/English_Civil_War

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Glorious_Revolution

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Year_of_the_Four_Emperors

I did not mention the possibility that a focus on global warming or other environmental issues could become the main issue of the Crisis. I am cautious about that, though, because it seems likely to happen regardless of generational constellation - IF the effects become too much. Like other Earth-shattering possibilities - alien invasion, supervolcano eruption, meteor impact - that are likely to lead to a crisis period, generational analysis doesn’t tell us anything about them. Still, items such as the Green New Deal do suggest a generational effect. 

The Glorious Revolution option still seems the most likely to me - as does a neo-jacobite followup from almost-secessionists who can’t quite deal with the changes in the aftermath.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jacobitism

Not to be confused with Jacobins, who were involved in the French revolution a century later. (No link for them - I don’t want it to get confused.)

You can find me on Twitter: @generationalize and occasionally blogging at http://crisis.generationalize.com

Wherein I go through my @generationalize twitter feed to get into more detail about what has been on my mind and how those short tweets work in generational terms

Reinventing the Bazaar - A Natural History of Markets by John McMillan

https://www.amazon.com/Reinventing-Bazaar-Natural-History-Markets/dp/0393323714

Joanne Freeman’s American Revolution videos: 

https://oyc.yale.edu/history/hist-116

And her latest book

https://www.amazon.com/Field-Blood-Violence-Congress-Civil/dp/0374

Here’s what I had about Zelazny and the Blindspin phenomenon, presumably during a First Turning 

https://crisis.generationalize.com/2014/10/blindspin.html

Emma Stone was NOT mentioned in that Sorkin/Goldman interview- she hadn’t really made a name yet, although she was in this new show called Drive... 

https://vimeo.com/136222751

Today, though, she does fit pretty well as a person who can sell a movie by being in it.

For more about B5, check out The Lurkers Guide to Babylon 5 

http://midwinter.com/lurk/lurker.html

My blogs, referenced at various points here.

http://stories.generationalize.com

https://crisis.generationalize.com

And again the twitter feed that this episode was from is @generationalize

A sort of Thanksgiving episode compares similarities between the Pilgrims on the Mayflower and the Israelites a few thousand years previously.

I thought I had written about this elsewhere, but this appears to be the closest I had done: https://crisis.generationalize.com/2014/06/plague.html

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Osarseph - A possible second view of Exodus involving a priest who became the leader of a band of lepers, who managed to ally with the Hyksos to take over Egypt for a short time.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Akhenaten - Pharaoh of Egypt who temporarily replaced the polytheistic Egyptian religion with a monotheism based around Aten, the “sun disc.”  Father of Tutankhamen, whom you may have heard of.  

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Great_Hymn_to_the_Aten -Written by Akhenaten, it bears some resemblance to Psalm 104, indicating at least some cross pollination between Jewish and Egyptian holy writ.

https://thefounding.net/pilgrims-identified-israelites/ - a short essay built around Bradford

http://www.gutenberg.org/files/24950/24950-h/24950-h.htm Project Gutenberg version of the History of Plymouth Colony

They called Dutch a strange and uncouth language, which raises the possibility that their attitudes towards “savage” natives might have been similar in Holland…

For no obvious reason, perhaps worth noting that this is contemporaneous with Hamlet, first performed around 1602. (Yes I know he's a Dane, not Dutch.)

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mayflower

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Plymouth_Colony

http://mayflowerhistory.com/clothing/

https://www.plimoth.org/learn/just-kids/homework-help/what-wear

You can find me on Twitter: @generationalize and occasionally blogging at http://crisis.generationalize.com

In which I read through my twitter feed in an attempt to talk about some of the random usually-generational thoughts that float through my head over the course of the month.

Most of what's there can be found on the Twitter feed. A few specific links here, though:

Blog post about the Wild Card series:

http://stories.generationalize.com/2016/08/wild-cards.html

A not-too-related one on Coriolanus

http://crisis.generationalize.com/2014/11/coriolanus.html

My "job" with Titanic was some incidental help on a CD-i (Compact Disc Interactive) called "Titanic: An Interactive Exploration" which was narrated by Patrick Stewart. Look around and you should be able to find it.

"Better in the original Klingon" was in the 6th Star Trek movie, The Undiscovered Country - not, as I said, the 5th. Just to be precise, here.

You can find me on Twitter: @generationalize and blogging at http://crisis.generationalize.com

Aaron Copland's Lincoln Portrait, the music used for the introduction to this podcast, ties together two previous Fourth Turnings - commissioned after Pearl Harbor and including Civil War quotes from the 16th President -  in a way which makes it feel even more relevant as this current Crisis unfolds.

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A few relevant Wikipedia links

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lincoln_Portrait

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Aaron_Copland

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Battle_of_the_Coral_Sea

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pickett%27s_Charge

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/High-water_mark_of_the_Confederacy

https://en.wikiquote.org/wiki/Gertrude_Stein

This site has Kostelnetz commissioning it within 10 days - mid-December 1941- and that copland began writing in late February

https://www.neh.gov/humanities/2007/julyaugust/feature/the-sound-freedom

The different excerpts are from

1) Address to congress 1862: http://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/ws/?pid=29503

2) Seventh and final Lincoln-Douglas debate October 15 1858 https://www.nps.gov/liho/learn/historyculture/debate7.htm

3) Collected works: https://www.nps.gov/liho/learn/historyculture/onslavery.htm

4) The Gettysburg Address 1863: 

https://www.npr.org/programs/specials/copland/coplandstory.html

The NPS site says his slavery quote is from August 1, 1858 - 110 years before this recording.

https://www.nps.gov/liho/learn/historyculture/onslavery.htm

This site says the date is pure conjecture, is from a scrap of paper that Mary Todd Lincoln passed to archivists later, and is signed with a different piece of paper from another document.

https://quod.lib.umich.edu/l/lincoln/lincoln2/1:547?rgn=div1;view=fulltext

Vin Scully, voice of the Dodgers, with the L.A. Philharmonic in 2017

https://www.ocregister.com/2017/07/14/see-vin-scully-narrate-the-words-of-abraham-lincoln-at-the-hollywood-bowl/

A direct link to a Youtube video of that performance https://youtu.be/6qpYwrla0GE

More on the quote about freedom and democracy

https://abrahamlincoln.quora.com/Close-Reading-2-Lincoln’s-Definition-of-Democracy-August-1-1858

The first item there is is a NYTimes piece from 1895 - that would be 30 years after the Civil War - that attributes it to Lincoln by the judge who ….attributes it to him. 

https://timesmachine.nytimes.com/timesmachine/1895/09/13/106068178.pdf

Last witness of the assassination of Lincoln, still alive in 1956, 14 years -after- the premiere of Lincoln Portrait

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1RPoymt3Jx4

Wherein a random tweet brings up a quote from Jane Austen in Pride and Prejudice, a romantic comedy about dealing with the dangers and temptations of a Crisis period and still liking yourself later.

This is the tweet that started me on this one

https://twitter.com/ddale8/status/1022955880197836802

“You shall not, for the sake of one individual, change the meaning of principle and integrity, nor endeavour to persuade yourself or me, that selfishness is prudence, and insensibility of danger security for happiness.”

An image of Charlotte and Mr. Collins,  from the Colin Firth Pride & Prejudice

https://www.facebook.com/426294907495000/photos/a.485050068286150.1073741839.426294907495000/485050404952783/?type=3&theater

A random thought that I feel no need to prove or disprove: Is practical pecuniary Charlotte the Reactive generation to the others’ Hero? Mr. Darcy is 28,  so in that case he would be, too, which might just explain a bit.…Mr. Bingley is 23. (But they were all born somewhere after the start of the American Revolution and before the end of the French, which isn't consistent with even the oldest being Reactive/Nomad)

http://www.rc.umd.edu/pedagogies/commons/novel/favret.html

Considering it’s a story about women trying to find husbands, the word Danger is used remarkably often - twenty times over the course of the novel. For comparison - amazing what a simple word count can do -  the word Marriage is used 67 times, Happiness 74 times, Joy 42 times, Silly 12, Evil 22 times, pounds 24.

(As I like to say, the importance of arithmetic in history is widely understated.)

Danger, then,  is used almost as often as pounds, the standard by which most of the potential husbands are measured ...

You can find me on Twitter: @generationalize and blogging at http://crisis.generationalize.com