The LightShed Podcast

The LightShed Podcast

By LightShed PartnersBusinessInvesting
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The LightShed Podcast episodes

  • Episode 59: June 11, 2021

    [0:00] When The Saints Go Marching In.

    [3:59] Apple doubles down on privacy. Will Google respond?

    [11:30] How will NBA ratings benchmark to NFL?.

    [15:04] A $23/month RSN streaming service is not economically viable.

    [18:32] Would you pay $25/month for ESPN OTT?

    [22:14] Brands follow eyeballs and TikTok is king.

    [24:48] Tech companies optimize for time spent, legacy media companies do not.

    [25:59] The need to pay labels is a natural byproduct of Roblox’s very real music strategy.

    [28:12] Carolyn Everson a big loss for Facebook.

    [31:10] Cloud games add new dimension to streaming OS wars.

    [33:00] Cloud gaming allows for the creation of new gaming experiences.

    [37:37] Netflix is more serious about retail and gaming as actual businesses than we originally thought.

    [43:30] CBRS is not just a metro spectrum.

    [46:20] Roku Originals important enough to be in the sidebar.

    [49:57] Substack will become a broader direct-to-consumer publishing company.

    [53:52] Do Redditors care about dilution?

    [1:00:50] Aiko Aiko.

    1 hr 2 min
  • Episode 58: June 4, 2021

    [0:00] Someone Great.

    [0:59] Remembering Jason.

    [6:44] The seminal moment for the return of fans to sports.

    [11:28] Many open questions for Warner Bros. Discovery as their competitors keep growing.

    [14:18] Studios are recognizing that movies need to be on SVOD ASAP.

    [18:17] AMC warns investors about its overvalued stock.

    [19:18] Meme stocks need to keep printing cash.

    [23:24] Verizon adds more content to hit its revenue target.

    [26:00] Network quality will ultimately determine who can grow wireless revenue.

    [30:32] Amazon has not been able to build a hit so they are trying to buy it.

    [36:52] NBC’s lack of comedies is the latest sign of the shift to streaming.

    [39:45] Twitter is finally starting to get DR advertising right.

    [42:27] WWE adding content execs to board but up to Vince to improve core storylines. 

    [45:08] TikTok is stunting the growth of their competitors.

    [47:25] The bigger Google TV gets, the bigger Google’s whole ecosystem gets.

    [51:40] Riot relentlessly pushing to expand past League of Legends.

    [53:01] All traditional games publishers need to be bigger in mobile.

    [54:08] NYT needs to tie as many subscription businesses as possible to core news.

    [56:03] Investors finally get a public Universal Music.

    [57:03] NFT collectibles crashing but NFTs here to stay.

    [59:42] Gucci within Roblox is a small taste of where the platform can go.

    [1:02:00] Brokedown Palace.

    1 hr 5 min
  • Episode 57: May 21, 2021

    [0:00] The Discovery Channel Song.

    [1:25] Who was Zaslav texting?

    [5:13] Legacy media’s entanglements prevent it from easily pivoting to new businesses.

    [11:10] For AT&T, it is all about the dividend.

    [14:31] Can Discovery delever fast enough to play the subscriber-game.

    [21:33] Malone was willing to do what Brian Roberts would not: give up control.

    [24:36] The fiber “light” wave is coming.

    [25:53] Starlink delivers faster uplink than Cable.

    [28:18] Losing Kilar is a hit to HBO’s ad-supported ambitions.

    [32:45] Could 007 reinvigorate Amazon's content ambitions?

    [35:56] Snap’s Spectacles continuum.

    [38:27] Creator tools are table stakes for social/video platforms.

    [42:02] Don’t sleep on Snap as the next metaverse player.

    [43:33] The broad market opportunity for LEOs.

    [45:57] Why would anyone pay for this Twitter subscription?

    [49:57] Apple’s rallying cry: you’re being tracked, we can help you.

    [55:31] Spotify needs more exclusives to become the dominant player in podcasting.

    [59:58] Netflix’s gaming ambitions are about video’s evolution, not games.

    [1:02:30] How many Saudi events can WWE fit into FY21?

    [1:04:21] There is an enormous underestimation of live events demand.

    [1:06:50] Wagon Queen Family Truckster.

    [1:07:45] David Zaslav won the Game of Thrones.

    1 hr 10 min
  • Episode 56: May 14, 2021

    [0:00] La Grange.

    [1:10] The clearest sign of reopening.

    [5:34] Honeymoon in Vegas?

    [6:38] HBO Max shines through disappointing industrywide SVOD sub numbers.

    [14:20] Netflix blazed path for rapid adoption rate of its peers.

    [17:38] Can Disney make the ESPN OTT math work and emerge as THE destination for National sports?

    [29:13] A real bet is being made on sports gambling boosting/saving sports broadcasts.

    [34:07] MSG committed to capex lite strategy after Vegas Sphere.

    [35:28] MSG Sports will never be combined with MSGE/N.

    [36:53] Interactive media continues to take share beyond expectations.

    [39:17] Competition and professionalization will cause Roblox payouts to climb higher.

    [40:21] Debating who has more leverage in the Roku vs Google battle.

    [47:12] Is Quibi the start of a big, multi-year content push by Roku?

    [51:11] Marcelo’s laser eyes.

    [53:00] Lois analyzes Discord.

    [54:20] Discord is becoming what Clubhouse should have been.

    [58:13] Rich marvels at AMC’s multiple.

    [1:02:34] Brandon ready to get back Truckin’.

    [1:02:50] Shakedown Street.

    1 hr 4 min
  • Episode 55: May 7, 2021

    [0:00] Running on Empty.

    [2:53] Amazon takes TNF from Fox a year early and both are happy.

    [5:41] Are we hitting a tipping point for linear TV ad market?

    [7:58] Brandon is getting his Twitter news subscription.

    [12:19] Translating Charter’s comments on broadband competition.

    [16:48] Zynga is chasing Applovin’s multiple.

    [18:30] The Epic trial document leak.

    [21:07] ATVI will release a fall COD no matter the game’s quality.

    [25:26] Early trends suggest no slowdown in gaming post-pandemic.

    [28:44] MSG projections suggest Sphere will be a massive home run and that MSGN will still grow. 

    [28:44] No RSN knows how to make the DTC shift without making a lot less money.

    [30:22] Inevitable merger between sports media content and sports betting.

    [32:44] Verizon’s media sale and the quest for “revenue” growth in wireless.

    [35:58] Is 10-15 MHz of uplink spectrum enough?

    [41:51] Why doesn’t Paramount+ have a telco partner?

    [45:42] There is historically large concert demand and the Street isn’t recognizing it.

    [48:40] Live Nation hints at its version of NBA Top Shot.

    [50:24] NYT needs to mimic Amazon and keep tacking on more to their subscription products.

    [52:24] Partnering with creators is a smart and organic way to build your business in 2021.

    [54:59] Tenet is finally on HBO Max, so we rehashed Chris Nolan one last time.

    [57:23] I Like to Move It.

    59 min
  • Episode 54: April 30, 2021

    [0:00] Tequila!

    [0:58] The Eagles spite the Giants again.

    [4:09] Lois thinks the Oscars were “the worse.”

    [5:44] New York is back.

    [8:36] How should Endeavor’s UFC be valued?

    [10:25] Walt and Rich spar over Spotify vs Apple.

    [14:30] The big tech platforms keep crushing it. 

    [15:24] The Mets of digital media.

    [18:08] The early read on IDFA.

    [23:10] What is Roku doing with their Google fight? 

    [28:02] The serendipity issue for smaller streaming services.

    [33:30] The Grinch can’t steal Dish’s mega bull thesis, yet.

    [37:10] Will the NHL do anything for HBO Max?

    [40:43] What’s the right price for ad-supported streaming tiers?

    [43:44] NY RSNs should have much tighter alignment.

    [48:06] Can AMC hit 90% capacity to avoid liquidity risk?

    [50:32] Call of Duty speedbump?

    [52:12] Elon gets a win with Starlink.

    [53:33] Daniel Ek, Arsenal and the war on American owners.

    [55:53] SPAC AOL/Yahoo! for the ultimate meme stock.

    [57:50] You’ve Got Mail.

    59 min
  • Episode 53: April 23, 2021

    [0:00] We Like to Party (Vengabus).

    [1:45] Happy Birthday!

    [4:35] The European Super Qwikster.

    [11:20] Netflix needs to deliver on Asia or it will trade at an FB multiple.

    [16:05] HBO/HBO Max cranking for Kilar.

    [22:20] Apple’s AirTags.

    [24:41] Can podcast subscriptions shift share? Apple vs. Spotify vs. ?

    [32:12] Is Discord looking for more bidders?

    [37:15] Dish’s ambitious 5G strategy.

    [40:12] Should Viacom and NBCU have followed Sony’s lead?

    [43:41] WWE’s narrative: big tech is ready to aggressively enter sports.

    [50:35] Will Telsa be regulated into adding driver monitoring for their “Full Self-Driving”.

    [52:40] ATVI needs to release OW2/Diablo for the next leg up.

    [55:30] Tipping underscores the disruption underway in payments.

    [1:00:22] Dave Matthews Band tour is bellwether in the return of live.

    [1:01:49] Vivid’s 2022 guide is way too conservative.

    [1:05:24] Where not to watch live sports.

    [1:08:11] Happy Birthday – Dance

    [1:08:17] How old is Mark?

    1 hr 9 min
  • Episode 52: April 16, 2021

    [0:00] Linus and Lucy.

    [2:46] How do you pronounce Dogecoin?

    [3:39] Brandon’s Clubhouse view evolving.

    [10:14] IRL brand and media integrations within Roblox will be meaningful.

    [12:42] Epic raises round at a discount to Roblox?

    [14:46] The Netflix emulation continues, this time on localized content.

    [21:23] How soon before Marcelo pushes Televisa Univision into public markets?

    [21:52] NFL further formalizes its move into betting. Money still talks.

    [23:14] Does sports betting boost ratings?

    [29:03] Weekly reminder to betting operators to merge with sports content distributors.

    [30:17] Apple is much more serious about content than investors realize.

    [32:00] Verizon reserves the right to morph their 5G vision.

    [34:58] What is true 5G and who will deliver it first in the US?

    [38:12] LYV’s digital ticket already provides most advantages of blockchain.

    [41:53] AEW now needs to be taken more seriously as Raw/SmackDown competitor.

    [45:38] Headspace is not a meditation app, it is a lifestyle app.

    [47:27] Will AMC not dilute investors in 2021 as promised?

    [50:37] How broadband actually impacts DTV and Dish merger.

    [55:17] RIP DMX.

    57 min
  • Episode 51: April 9, 2021

    [0:00] This Must Be the Place (Naïve Melody).

    [1:14] Welcome to life as a Mets fan.

    [2:38] Would you get married on September 11th?

    [4:20] NY RSN ratings pop, Final Four ratings drop.

    [10:20] Does NY’s messy sports betting solution become a paradigm for other states?

    [16:34] Both MSGE and MSGN will benefit from NY’s sports betting legalization.

    [19:06] Fubo’s market cap is up ~$500 million on streaming rights that will barely drive new subs.

    [23:06] Could the Fox/Flutter litigation lead to a reshuffling of Rupert’s assets?

    [28:57] Twitter’s Clubhouse bid proves that they actually believe in the audio format.

    [33:53] The acceleration in private market valuations.

    [36:11] We can’t believe that Disney lost out on Sony’s Pay 1 deal to Netflix.

    [41:00] Can Biden build broadband better?

    [49:29] It is a big deal that HBO Max is Warner’s new second window.

    [55:01] Increasingly acquisitive Snap’s latest deal a collision of commerce and media.

    [57:26] Who wants to own a set-top box business?

    [1:00:41] Even the legacy media companies are acknowledging that the future is streaming.

    [1:03:31] The End.

    1 hr 5 min
  • Episode 50: April 2, 2021

    [0:00] Parallel 6.

    [2:20] “I had a great vacation. The WiFi was awesome.”

    [6:09] Will AMC meme investors authorize the dilution to reduce debt?

    [9:46] Godzilla simul-release gave consumers choice and didn’t dampen the box office.

    [16:30] NY will be the biggest mobile sports betting market in the country.

    [20:10] Another sports betting content acquisition.

    [22:03] Your next flight could take less time.

    [24:38] Why Discord could be the Clubhouse killer.

    [33:21] T-Mobile kills TVision. Should anyone have their own MVPD?

    [38:03] Price check on Fubo in Chicago: $71.

    [40:01] Weekly reminder that WarnerMedia and NBCU should merge.

    [42:47] The shorter the windows the better for Netflix.

    [44:09] Can Snap wearables compete with Apple?

    [46:49] DAZN is becoming a major player internationally.

    [49:25] Marrying NFTs with ticketing.

    [54:56] Elon joins the Endeavor board.

    [56:33] Marcelo takes a victory lap on WeWork?

    [1:00:41] Welcome to Miami.

    1 hr 2 min

About The LightShed Podcast

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The LightShed team discusses TMT news and topics critical to investors, giving listeners a window into the idea flow and banter that have been our “process” for the past 15+ years. @richlightshed…