The LightShed Podcast

The LightShed Podcast

By LightShed PartnersBusinessInvesting
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The LightShed Podcast episodes

  • Episode 49: March 26, 2021

    [0:00] Everything In Its Right Place.

    [2:45] Our journey with WeWork.

    [5:59] Viacom’s capital raise was the right move.

    [9:10] A combined MSGE/MSGN.

    [13:45] PVOD is not a great business model.

    [17:31] Will SVOD become the 2nd window post-theatrical?

    [19:51] NBCU needs an SVOD or Warner merger.

    [24:24] Netflix tests episodic release, again.

    [27:59] Walt warms to 5G Home.

    [34:28] Endeavor is a much easier public story to tell with a fully-owned UFC anchoring the valuation.

    [37:20] A public Epic is almost certainly bigger than Roblox.

    [39:50] Discord fits beautifully with all of MSFT’s existing assets.

    [42:40] Roku’s content building strategy is reminiscent of Netflix’s early days.

    [44:43] Sports are clearly a part of the Paramount+ strategy.

    [47:50] Could Fox’s ongoing sports content/betting integration ultimately lead to a merger with FanDuel?

    [53:31] Jack pulls a Rich Greenfield during the hearings.

    [54:36] Goodnight Saigon.

    56 min
  • Episode 48: March 19, 2021

    [0:00] Highway To Hell.

    [6:27] The NFL goes digital.

    [12:44] The inevitability of sports NFTs.

    [15:32] Apple’s IDFA changes likely delayed… again.

    [17:23] Zuck tries to undermine IDFA by arguing that the strong will just get stronger.

    [21:47] Clubhouse’s content problem.

    [24:10] Platforms planning for the creator economy.

    [29:13] Verizon should just admit its pivot from mmWave.

    [33:16] Disney needs to give up on premiere access and follow Warner Bros day and date SVOD.

    [35:17] An eventual FanDuel spin will be held up until Fox/Flutter agree to the value of Fox’s option.

    [39:00] The #RaceTo5G needs densification.

    [43:11] Gaming streaming shows the lasting power of pandemic-driven behavior changes.

    [46:35] The next streaming wars could take place in the AVOD space.

    [49:07] Does Roku have a Wal-Mart problem?

    [57:12] The Netflix licensing story is totally overblown.

    [1:01:10] Twitter has the infrastructure in place to scale Spaces.

    [1:02:50] The move towards packed concerts.

    [1:05:44] Chris Nolan likes salty popcorn.

    [1:07:13] Lithium: Walt’s music.

    1 hr 9 min
  • Episode 47: March 12, 2021

    [0:00] Do you believe in miracles?

    [0:12] You Sexy Thing.

    [7:30] Roblox is an interactive media company, not a gaming company.

    [10:28] 12 months of sitting at home only harmed sports/TV ratings.

    [12:30] NHL rights didn’t disappoint, but how will programmers handle a collapsing sub base and rising costs?

    [19:58] Only Verizon can bend laws of physics.

    [22:55] There needs to be a focus on DTC ARPU revenue, not just subs.

    [31:24] Crackdown on password sharing should spur Netflix’s final leg of domestic growth.

    [35:25] An MSGN/MSGE merger might make sense for the Dolan’s but not MSGE shareholders.

    [38:35] Investors are not paying attention to how serious Roku is about its original content push.

    [42:27] Social media platforms are battling for creators.

    [45:06] Discord is becoming a real utility.

    [47:55] AMC customers are more eager to go to the movies than see their friends? Challenge.

    [49:33] Can wireless take cable broadband subs?

    [52:03] White Wedding.

    54 min
  • Episode 46: March 5, 2021

    [0:00] Run Like Hell.

    [0:35] Legacy media stocks with fringe streaming stories

    [4:35] Roblox’s compelling vision with two interconnected flywheels.

    [8:20] Amazon’s sports rights arrival is a seminal moment.

    [13:48] 11 year NFL deals could pose dangers for buyers.

    [14:21] DAZN is not focusing on the US.

    [16:36] Consumption of sports content is up, just not full-length games.

    [19:18] Jump in NFL rights means fewer dollars for secondary sports.

    [20:56] DraftKings/Dish partnership – who needs the TV?

    [27:05] 5G is draining your battery.

    [29:12] Nobody should be surprised by TV ratings’ collapse.

    [32:14] Roku’s targeted advertising.

    [36:55] A public Vizio.

    [40:42] Zynga wants to build deeper, more expansive games.

    [43:15] Highly social games like Fall Guys are key to building Epic’s vision.

    [45:54] The return to theaters.

    [50:29] Twitter innovating faster.

    [52:22] Why did Square buy Tidal?

    [1:01:54] Post-covid retail fallout.

    [1:06:35] 5G investor day bonanza next week.

    [1:07:15] Bye Bye Bye to this week.

    1 hr 9 min
  • Episode 45: February 26, 2021

    [0:00] Technical difficulties.

    [0:24] We Go On.

    [1:30] Lois is back.

    [4:56] Twitter is innovating faster.

    [7:24] Roblox is the first chance to publicly invest in the metaverse.

    [9:10]Bill Morrow: The DTV Decider.

    [15:38] What happens to MNF?

    [21:00] Paramount+’s $4.99 tier a win for Viacom and a loss for affiliates.

    [23:22] AT&T the surprising leader in smashing windows.

    [25:32] Legacy media companies going OTT have their cake and eat it too.

    [27:17] What does the CBand auction mean for HBO Max?

    [33:07] How to keep creators on platform.

    [34:40] Is direct creator monetization a feature or a business?

    [36:54] Tim Wu is a professor and he deleted tweets.

    [39:47] Local market content scale = local subscriber scale.

    [43:58] Sports betting dominos are falling.

    [47:02] Ergen’s options for Boost.

    [49:59] Does the return to concerts mean the same for theaters or offices?

    [53:50] Top Shot is an accessible form of NFT.

    [57:08] #LFGM.

    59 min
  • Episode 44: February 19, 2021

    [0:00] Golden Age.

    [3:26] Come get your baseball cards.

    [6:47] Lois redux.

    [9:48] Be patient with Clubhouse / Spaces product iterations.

    [16:43] Was Vlad the right person to testify?

    [19:57] Google News changing is very positive for News Corp

    [22:40] The future of Facebook news agreements.

    [23:55] Shocking BlizzCon news unlikely but ATVI creating more ways to engage with core franchises across platforms.

    [27:11] Dish EPS date not related to C-Band bidder announcement next week.

    [29:48] Anterix private LTE deals now expanding to midband spectrum

    [32:12] The evolution of Connected TV platforms.

    [37:31] TikTok’s longer-form + live content is bad news for time spent elsewhere.

    [39:50] YouTube is still the best platform for creators to make money.

    [42:10] Zuck’s Apple anxiety.

    [45:08] If streaming is the priority, how could Disney let Donald Glover go to Amazon?

    [47:50] Roku ready to enter original programming.

    [51:38] Disney+ needed localized international content after all.

    [55:09] Hollywood follows the cash.

    [58:15] Jenny From The Block.

    59 min
  • Episode 43: February 12,2021

    [0:00] Also Sprach Zarathustra.

    [0:45] Wahoo!

    [2:56] Super Bowl ratings declines barely register.

    [5:29] ViacomCBS learning that streaming is hard…

    [9:52] …Hence M&A and a re-bundling of SVOD services are inevitable.

    [10:53] TV ad spots rapidly disappearing and YouTube keeps growing.

    [12:41] YouTube is still the best place for a creator to make money.

    [14:55] Clubhouse’s singular focus versus Twitter Spaces’ interest graph.

    [23:28] Is Verizon missing an opportunity with Ligado?

    [25:52] Glu Mobile acquisition will only be successful if EA truly makes mobile a priority.

    [29:08] 10% capacity is the first step to a live events resurgence.

    [31:23] Will new LEO constellations be successful this time?

    [33:23] Media companies are making streaming cheaper and then wonder why cord-cutting is accelerating.

    [37:34] If you’re Pinterest, why would you want to sell here?

    [41:15] Online dating is won with local scale.

    [44:03] If you don't have a breadth of content, you have to discount to retain subs.

    [45:54] Lift Yourself.

    49 min
  • Episode 42: February 5, 2021

    [0:00] Free Fallin’.

    [1:06] What’s the best Super Bowl ever?

    [4:18] Can sports betting companies replicate Barstool’s media success?

    [5:54] Bailing on the GME revolution.

    [8:39] Losing sleep on Clubhouse.

    [22:00] Apple and Spotify following Patreon’s lead.

    [27:29] Tech giants learning it takes more than money to build a successful games studio.

    [34:35] Is 5Mbps broadband upload enough?

    [39:07] UGC content is exploding and legacy platforms are losing.

    [44:08] Netflix can even raise price in Japan.

    [46:00] Weekly episodes or binge the season?

    [52:31] WW4 proving the naysayers wrong.

    [56:28] Verizon's pitching mmWave at yet another Superbowl.

    [1:00:15] The Weeknd starts a coming wave of ’22 concert onsales.

    [1:01:57] Expect Reels to soon begin compensating creators.

    [1:06:37] Maria is still on Twitter.

    [1:08:01] Blackouts aren’t what they used to be.

    [1:10:52] The Super Bowl Shuffle.

    1 hr 13 min
  • Episode 41: January 29, 2021

    [0:00] You say you want a revolution?

    [1:27] Losing money triggers anger, threats and blame.

    [11:40] Cook or Zuck…who is the bad guy?

    [14:52] Zuck is worried about IDFA.

    [18:32] WWE won’t be the last to tap-out of SVOD.

    [22:54] HBO understands the need for a wide diversity of content.

    [25:12] The Net Neutrality flip-flop.

    [27:57] What is cable’s future without CBand?

    [35:26] Skinny bundles, fatter prices.

    [37:20] The lasting challenge of kludge legacy media deals.

    [41:31] Is Verizon’s Disney+ retention really that good?

    [48:40] Discovery+ may need to spend less on originals than we thought.

    [51:08] Does content differentiate gambling apps if they all have it?

    [53:33] Revue is a perfect fit for Twitter.

    [54:59] It’s a good time for UMG to IPO with growth from digital and games ahead.

    59 min
  • Episode 40: January 22, 2021

    [0:00] Come together.

    [2:42] GameStop death threats.

    [8:09] The power of TikTok and social to launch music. 

    [10:21] Netflix’s milestone crushes longtime haters.

    [17:11] Top Gun II direct-to-Paramount+?

    [19:43] Amazon shutdown of Parler passes first court test.

    [22:38] What an Olympics cancellation would mean to Comcast, Twitter and Discovery.

    [24:59] Fortnite integrating more third-party IP and brands. 

    [28:25] Will Verizon give out data on 5G home?

    [30:57] Ajit Pai's final act bolsters Ligado.

    [32:57] Spotify de-emphasizing the long-tail.

    [35:41] The weapon of content in the sports betting wars.

    [39:30] Rack-uh-ten and the Dish haters.

    [42:39] The real media war in 2021 is for control of the TV operating system.

    [47:49] Weekly NFL ratings update and goodbye NBCSN.

    [50:30] How high could Knicks valuation rise if they were actually good?

    [53:59] Patreon’s importance to the creator economy. 

    [58:05] Fun, fun, fun, fun. Lookin' forward to the weekend.

    59 min

About The LightShed Podcast

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The LightShed team discusses TMT news and topics critical to investors, giving listeners a window into the idea flow and banter that have been our “process” for the past 15+ years. @richlightshed…