Every time the momentum slowed on the market over the past six weeks, something happened to give it another boost. Yesterday, it was weaker-than-expected inflation data, which made rate cuts more likely.

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The focus of investors is on US inflation data this week, as well as corporate results. The Nasdaq 100 hit a new record close yesterday, surpassing March 24 by 3 points. The index is a mirror of the tech sector, but also of investors' appetite for risk. It has increased its gains to 8.9% since January 1. Elsewhere, many indices are exploring or approaching uncharted territory, which reinforces overall confidence.

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Investors once again believed in a Fed rate cut in September. Doubts about the slight upturn in inflation were dispelled by a series of weak economic indicators. Today's producer price data was too mixed to have any impact on their thinking.

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Global markets have, for the most part, returned to the record highs set earlier in the year. Doubts about the evolution of US monetary policy, which led to a drop in indices in April, were eased by the robust earnings of major listed companies and the cooling of certain US economic indicators. 

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Things a looking well for the three Wall Street indices this morning. Investors welcome good news for the economy (good results from Apple and Amgen), and bad news for the economy (but good for rate cuts - the weaker-than-expected jobs report).

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Jerome Powell managed to reassure investors yesterday. He did acknowledge a lack of progress lately in the Fed’s efforts to tame inflation, but reiterated that interest rates are still likely to be lowered this year.

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This week is one of the busiest this year for corporate results. After Microsoft, Alphabet, Tesla and Apple, it’s Amazon’s turn to present its earnings after the bell today. Investors will be closely watching, as they await tomorrow’s Fed meeting.

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Investors bet on the right horse last week. The Magnificent Seven came to the market’s rescue, despite fears about the trajectory of the economy and rates, and talks about stagflation in the US. This morning, tech is also lifting indices.

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Yesterday’s lower-than-expected US GDP reading showed that the price component rose more than expected. Investors were eagerly awaiting today’s March inflation reading to get more clue about the health of the economy and the Fed’s future monetary policy. 

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Earnings season is picking up pace, and the market is becoming increasingly unpredictable in how it reacts to new earnings reports. Good results aren’t enough to go up, bad ones aren’t necessarily taking a stock down, and a company can be criticized one day and worshipped the next. And now economic data is bringing old fears back...

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