Wall Street futures were flat today ahead of earnings from Tesla and Netflix. The bears are starting to get seriously depressed as indices come back close to their records. The flurry of corporate earnings releases hasn't reversed the trend at this stage, and it looks like large companies haven't had to suffer too much from the current high interest rate environment. 

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Stock markets have had very mixed fortunes at the start of the week, with two constants: tech shines and China causes trouble. Now we're adding central bankers and large banks to the equation. 

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The latest data shows China's economy remains sluggish, which is fueling hopes of a vigorous public stimulus - the kind everyone's talking about, but which has yet to materialize. In the meantime, earnings season really kicks off this week. It will last at least until the first days of August. In the U.S., statistics continue to defy high rates, which delights some and worries others.

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The lower-than-expected US inflation reading in June got investors looking at the months ahead with optimism, hoping once again for the end of the Fed's rate hike cycle. It seems that the days of aggressive monetary policy will soon be over.

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The focus is once again on inflation today, with new data showing that the combination of high rates and an improving basis for comparison is helping to bring overheated prices within more reasonable bounds. 

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The world's stock markets edged up yesterday, ahead of US inflation and the first quarterly results from leading companies later this week. Financial markets are still moving according to artificial intelligence opportunities, changes in US monetary policy, or from the promise of a turnaround in the Chinese economy.

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With just a few days before companies start releasing their half-year results en masse, investors are confused. Their natural optimism is somewhat challenged by poor visibility on economic dynamics due to higher key interest rates.

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Rate hike fears crippled global markets yesterday, with bond yields reaching new highs. Europe's stock markets were particularly hit. The British FTSE 100 tumbled over 2%, just like Germany, Spain and the Netherlands did. The French CAC40 lost 3.13% at the close, with no stocks in the green. More defensive markets such as Switzerland, Belgium and Denmark fared little better. In the United States, resistance was better. The S&P500 and Nasdaq 100 gave back just 0.8% and the Dow Jones barely more.

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The market turned red yesterday because of the usual culprits, namely lack of growth in China and the hawkish US monetary policy. 

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Wall Street is back after the 4th of July holiday, in a session punctuated by the publication of PMI services indicators for the major economies. 

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