The Paul Warburg Podcast

Most of the world thinks that China is Russia's ally. But their behavior says something different - a partner of convenience more than anything else, and potentially something much darker.

In this video, I talk about China's complicated relationship with Russia, their history of warfare, their desires for each others' territory, and why, surprisingly, a Chinese attack on Russia may be more likely than an attack on Taiwan. We support the narrative with Chinese military literature (Sun Tzu), historical considerations, strategic considerations, and much more.

Many of the strategic insights in this video about China's approach to war came from the book "The Hundred Year Marathon" by Michael Pillsbury. Link: https://amzn.to/41bAPAh

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Russia has a massive demographic crisis - covering everything from their birth rate (fertility rate), immigration numbers, and, of course, the War in Ukraine. In our lifetimes, this could easily lead to the weakening (or collapse) of the Russian state. Let's examine all of the numbers, and ask the most important question of all - if this is the case, why did Putin start his war against Ukraine and make things even worse?

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Empires rise and fall, and Russia is just one in a long string of failed empires over human history.

Let's talk about the Russian economy, and how it's holding up as Russia wages its war against Ukraine. I discuss Russia's "war chest", the collapse of the ruble, inflation, and how Vladimir Putin is running out of cash.

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Siberia is a very unique piece of territory that few people truly understand. Due to Russia's war against Ukraine, some interesting trends have emerged in Siberia.

In this video, I draw a line through Siberia's dark history, from the Russian Empire, to the Soviet Union, to the Russian Federation. I ask the questions "Would Siberia ever want to secede, and if so, could they?" Then, to tie it all off, I bring China into the picture, covering China's aggression towards Taiwan and how it relates to Siberia with some stark details that few others have discussed.

• 00:00:00 Preview
• 00:00:35 Regular Video

The strategic insights in this video about China's approach to war came from the book "The Hundred Year Marathon" by Michael Pillsbury. Link: https://amzn.to/41bAPAh
You can support my work by becoming a Patron: https://www.patreon.com/c/user?u=64634118

Buy Me a Coffee: https://www.buymeacoffee.com/paulwarburg

Become a channel member: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UC0TivKVOs7FmXn-y_VOdD2g/join

PayPal: https://www.paypal.biz/theicarusproject

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Join my email newsletter: https://paul-warburg.ck.page/subscribe

Subscribe to my channel: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UC0TivKVOs7FmXn-y_VOdD2g?sub_confirmation=1

Subscribe to The Icarus Project for more in-depth analysis from me: https://www.youtube.com/@icarusproject

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