The Pollsters

The Pollsters

By Margie Omero & Kristen Soltis AndersonBusinessNewsPolitics
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The Pollsters episodes

  • #139: Margie Has A New Gig (11/1/17)

    Margie has a new gig, got into a friendly disagreement with Mark Penn & dressed as the Gender Avenger. No wonder she’s tired. For more alert analysis follow @ksoltisanderson @margieomero @thepollsters.

    Margie's new gig!
    http://www.gbastrategies.com/margie-omero-joins-gba/
    The Trolley Problem
    https://twitter.com/aedwardslevy?lang=en
    Cato Fun
    https://www.cato.org/survey-reports/state-free-speech-tolerance-america
    Trumplandia
    http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/trump-job-approval
    WaPo/UMD
    https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/polling/washington-postuniversity-maryland-democracy-poll-sept/2017/10/28/103b9f34-bbd7-11e7-9b93-b97043e57a22_page.html
    Virginia Gov
    Politico Article
    https://www.politico.com/story/2017/10/31/virginia-governors-polling-northam-gillespie-244362
    Polling averages
    https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2017/governor/va/virginia_governor_gillespie_vs_northam-6197.html
    Washington Post & race in Virginia Gov
    https://www.washingtonpost.com/page/2010-2019/WashingtonPost/2017/10/27/National-Politics/Polling/release_498.xml
    Abortion
    https://view.publitas.com/perryundem-research-communication/re-examining-polling-on-abortion/page/10
    Harassment
    https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/first-read/nbc-wsj-poll-nearly-half-working-women-say-they-ve-n815376
    You know you want more Halloween polling
    https://nrf.com/media/press-releases/halloween-spending-reach-record-91-billion

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    57 min
  • #138: Mr. Big Stuff, You're Not Our Type (10/26/17)

    Check out Kristen's yolo rant. Check out Margie in Boston on Monday. And we'll have news soon, promise! Follow us @margieomero @ksoltisanderson @thepollsters.

    Hollywood
    https://morningconsult.com/wp-content/uploads/2017/10/171006_crosstabs_Brands_v1_AP.pdf
    “Reckless” in Morning Consult/Politico
    http://www.politico.com/story/2017/10/25/trump-poll-reckless-honest-244126
    Military Times
    https://www.militarytimes.com/news/pentagon-congress/2017/10/23/military-times-poll-one-in-four-troops-sees-white-nationalism-in-the-ranks/
    VA Real Clear Politics
    https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2017/governor/va/virginia_governor_gillespie_vs_northam-6197.html
    Pew Political Typology
    http://www.people-press.org/2017/10/24/political-typology-reveals-deep-fissures-on-the-right-and-left/
    YOLO Rant of the week: Cambridge Analytica
    http://www.businessinsider.com/trump-cambridge-analytica-hillary-clinton-emails-julian-assange-2017-10
    Halloween Facts:
    https://wallethub.com/blog/halloween-facts/25374/

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    1 hr 1 min
  • #137: Darth Vader, #MeToo & Fabricated News (10/18/17)

    Kristen goes on a #yolo rant. And LA peeps ,we're headed your way on 11/9 @ The Ace Hotel as part of KCRW’s Left Right & Center live show. Come check us out!

    As always we're @thepollsters, @ksoltisanderson @margieomero.
    Poll of the Week
    NPR All Songs Considered.
    http://n.pr/2hQKDZL
    The Week In Trump
    Trump Approval
    http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/trump-job-approval
    CNN on Hurricane recovery
    http://i2.cdn.turner.com/cnn/2017/images/10/16/rel10a.-.trump.hurricane.response[4].pdf
    Morning Consult/Politico: Trump vs Media
    http://www.politico.com/f/?id=0000015f-2be6-d5e6-a37f-efee17720001 (morning consult)
    KFF On Healthcare
    http://kaiserf.am/2gvj63e
    #MeToo
    WP/ABC On Sexual Harassment
    http://www.langerresearch.com/wp-content/uploads/1192a1SexualHarassment.pdf
    Pew On Gender
    http://pewrsr.ch/2gOKwhp
    Why Women Run
    http://www.marieclaire.com/politics/a12796802/why-women-run-for-office-survey/
    Amy Cuddy in the NYT
    http://nyti.ms/2yAEkDd
    Austria Pollsters, Take A Bow
    Austria Election Polls
    https://pollofpolls.eu/AT
    https://www.ft.com/content/9082f58c-3713-11e7-99bd-13beb0903fa3
    Halloween At The Office
    http://nationaltoday.com/us/halloween

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    1 hr 5 min
  • #136: Traditional Values, Trump, Weinstein & Free Speech (10/12/17)

    There's a lot to get upset about this week. Good thing we still have free speech! Tweet us @margieomero @ksoltisanderson @thepollsters.

    Columbus Day
    Rasmussen
    http://bit.ly/2ybNkPF
    Knights of Columbus/Marist
    http://bit.ly/2yGTxDQ
    Trump’s base play
    Morning Consult shows drop in every state
    http://bit.ly/2fZxzRm
    Rural voter support dropping
    http://reut.rs/2xtCtw7
    Sexual Harassment/Discrimination
    Pew
    http://pewrsr.ch/2g8E0VK
    AELevy
    http://bit.ly/2wQZA4s
    CBS
    http://cbsn.ws/2wRD0IR
    Remember this ad?
    http://bit.ly/2gyqg3G
    Compromise vs. Polarization
    Gallup
    http://bit.ly/2hDfWat
    Pew
    http://pewrsr.ch/2z0qBnt
    Free Speech
    http://bit.ly/2i7WvdE
    http://theatln.tc/2z3khea
    http://brook.gs/2kJhQLo
    Guns
    Morning Consult/Politico
    http://politi.co/2guDZbE
    Traditional Values
    http://bit.ly/2hEOKb0
    GIF Pics
    Gfycat
    https://gfycat.com/

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    50 min
  • #135: Guns, PR, Taxes & Margie In Yolo Mode (10/5/17)

    This is the first time since August we've been in the same room together. Woah. Don't forget to tweet us @margieomero @ksoltisanderson @thepollsters.

    Poll of the week - Russia
    The Chicago Council
    https://www.thechicagocouncil.org/sites/default/files/ccgasurvey2017_what_americans_think_about_america_first.pdf
    The Daily Trump
    Job Approval tracking
    http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/trump-job-approval
    Puerto Rico
    http://www.apnorc.org/PDFs/AP-NORC%20September%202017/AP%20Custom%20Poll%20Topline%20SEPTEMBER_Disaster_relief.pdf
    Tax Plan
    http://www.politico.com/story/2017/10/04/trump-tax-proposal-polling-243426
    Guns
    Margie’s tough talk
    http://thehill.com/opinion/criminal-justice/353908-politicization-of-tragedy-is-the-last-thing-we-need-from-our-leaders
    Harry Enten on Pew’s tracking
    https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-u-s-has-never-been-so-polarized-on-guns/
    Pew on guns
    www.pewresearch.org/fact-tank/2017/06/22/key-takeaways-on-americans-views-of-guns-and-gun-ownership/
    More from Pew
    http://www.pewresearch.org/fact-tank/2017/07/05/among-gun-owners-nra-members-have-a-unique-set-of-views-and-experiences/
    Margie’s recent poll:
    https://gunsdownamerica.org/new-poll-safety-over-gun-rights/
    NYT on gun policies
    https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2017/01/10/upshot/How-to-Prevent-Gun-Deaths-The-Views-of-Experts-and-the-Public.html
    What Happened
    Stan Greenberg on “How She Lost”
    http://prospect.org/article/how-she-lost?utm_content=buffer15ea9&utm_medium=social&utm_source=twitter.com&utm_campaign=buffer
    Steve Shepard’s follow-up
    http://www.politico.com/story/2017/09/29/hillary-clinton-campaign-2016-stop-polling-243202?utam_content=buffer3d23d&utm_medium=social&utm_source=twitter.com&utm_campaign=buffer
    Does any of it matter?
    http://www.scholarsstrategynetwork.org/brief/what-election-campaigns-need-learn-persuade-voters-about-candidates-and-ballot-measures
    https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/the-fix/wp/2017/09/26/the-end-of-political-campaigns-as-we-know-them-a-new-study-suggests-were-doing-it-all-wrong/?utm_term=.5072cf2b3cf2
    The DMV
    VA Gov
    https://www.washingtonpost.com/page/2010-2019/WashingtonPost/2017/10/05/National-Politics/Polling/release_495.xml?uuid=2I9j8qmBEeeamAcUDS7tAg
    MD Gov
    https://img1.wsimg.com/blobby/go/c605399a-45e7-4419-a45b-796c7289ab0c/downloads/1brjlvpme_166802.pdf
    National Boyfriend Day
    https://nationaltoday.com/us/national-boyfriend-day/

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    57 min
  • #134: Kristen Is Back! Polls From Germany, China & Alabama (9/28/17)

    Kristen is back! Which is great, because we only have about one zillion polls to discuss. Find us @ksoltisanderson @margieomero @thepollsters. Big news coming soon. Promise!

    Polls of the week:
    Alabama
    https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/will-alabama-republicans-defy-trump/
    Virginia
    https://buff.ly/2wX4e50
    Trumpsanity
    Huffington Post average
    http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/trump-job-approval
    Washington Post/ABC
    https://buff.ly/2xHy8ch
    Oprah/Luntz Focus Group
    https://buff.ly/2wY3fwc
    Tax reform
    Washington Post/ABC
    https://buff.ly/2xGLipB
    CNN
    http://i2.cdn.turner.com/cnn/2017/images/09/27/cnnssrspoll.pdf
    NFL/Race
    Cato’s NFL poll
    https://buff.ly/2fSzRlC
    Reuters/IPSOS on NFL:
    https://buff.ly/2xzjjJn
    Perry Undem survey among Blacks
    https://view.publitas.com/perryundem-research-communication/black-american-survey-report_final/page/1
    Historical data from Gallup:
    https://buff.ly/2xynrJA
    Germany
    https://buff.ly/2fSJL6K
    Pre-Election Polling Average.
    http://pollytix.eu/pollytix-german-election-trend/
    Pew on China
    http://assets.pewresearch.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/2/2016/10/Pew-Research-Center-China-Report-FINAL-October-5-2016.pdf
    CSI The Pollsters
    Pew on role of TV
    http://www.pewresearch.org/fact-tank/2017/09/25/shows-and-films-about-crime-medicine-help-foster-a-positive-view-of-scientists-say-many-americans/
    Chinese dating app
    http://m.scmp.com/lifestyle/article/2112408/chinese-online-dating-giant-zhenaicom-shows-money-still-driver-politically?amp=1

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    1 hr
  • #133: Margie & NBC's Mark Murray: Polling In 2016's Final Days (9/20/17)

    Margie & Mark Murray talk about Texas Football, 2016 polling, & where media coverage of polling may go next.

    Be sure to read his piece on 2016's final stretch: "12 days that stunned a nation."
    http://nbcnews.to/2w2TDlc
    Find Mark on Twitter: @mmurraypolitics & as always we're @margieomero @ksoltisanderson @thepollsters.

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    29 min
  • #132: Margie Talks To Cornell Belcher (9/14/17)

    With Kristen away Margie is super-psyched to interview Cornell Belcher, Democratic pollster to Obama, the DNC, the DSCC and more. We get Cornell's take on the current climate around race, where the Democratic Party should go next, his mentors along the way, and of course fax machines.

    Find his book here:
    http://a.co/8a9rwLk
    Or find him online @cornellbelcher.

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    47 min
  • #131: Racism, Harvey, & The Burning Man Census (9/6/17)

    Welcome back! For people not ready to give up on summer just yet, we have a few segments just for you. For people who want to send us tweets, check out @ksoltisanderson @margieomero @thepollsters.

    How do you Labor Day?
    Gallup on labor unions
    http://www.gallup.com/poll/217331/labor-union-approval-best-2003.aspx?g_source=Workplace&g_medium=newsfeed&g_campaign=tiles
    Wallethub on labor day shopping
    https://wallethub.com/credit-cards/#labor-day-spending
    Hurricane Harvey
    Politico/Morning Consult
    http://www.politico.com/story/2017/09/06/trump-hurricane-harvey-relief-242348
    The Week In Trump
    Pew on views toward Trump
    http://www.people-press.org/2017/08/29/republicans-divided-in-views-of-trumps-conduct-democrats-are-broadly-critical/
    KSA talks to Ron Brownstein
    https://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2017/08/a-republican-pollster-is-losing-faith-in-her-party/538497/
    Fox news poll: with numbers like these...
    http://www.foxnews.com/politics/interactive/2017/08/31/fox-news-poll-august-31-2017.html
    Immigration/DACA
    Morning Consult/Politico
    http://www.politico.com/f/?id=0000015e-5366-df04-a5df-d76730df0002
    Pew/worries about racism
    http://www.pewresearch.org/fact-tank/2017/08/29/views-of-racism-as-a-major-problem-increase-sharply-especially-among-democrats/
    PRRI & religion
    https://www.prri.org/research/american-religious-landscape-christian-religiously-unaffiliated/
    Sanders & Trump voters
    John Sides & the Monkey Cage
    https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/monkey-cage/wp/2017/08/24/did-enough-bernie-sanders-supporters-vote-for-trump-to-cost-clinton-the-election/?utm_term=.07653a3b36c1
    Burning Man Census & Coconuts
    Burning Man Census
    https://drive.google.com/file/d/0BxJfvV_7__jqRTlpVHRWbGZIMkE/view

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    46 min
  • #130: The Polls That Might Drive You To Drink (8/24/17)

    It's almost National Red Wine Day. It can't come soon enough. Tweet us @margieomero @ksoltisanderson @thepollsters.

    Poll of The Week: Not Here To Make Friends
    McConnell’s Kentucky numbers
    http://ourlivesontheline.org/wp-content/uploads/2017/08/KentuckyResults.pdf
    Cuomo’s NY numbers:
    https://poll.qu.edu/new-york-state/release-detail?ReleaseID=2472
    Trump-mania
    HP aggregator:
    http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/trump-job-approval
    Charlottesville
    WP/ABC poll:
    https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/poll-shows-strong-disapproval-of-how-trump-responded-to-charlottesville-violence/2017/08/21/4e5c585c-868b-11e7-a94f-3139abce39f5_story.html?utm_term=.69c84e8189ea
    http://apps.washingtonpost.com/g/page/politics/washington-post-abc-news-poll-aug-16-20-2017/2235/
    Reuters on monuments:
    http://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-protests-poll-idUSKCN1B12EG
    MassINC poll in Virginia:
    https://massincpolling.com/2017/08/22/virginia-voters-divided-on-blame-for-charlottesville-violence/
    Morning consult/Politico
    http://www.politico.com/story/2017/08/23/trump-charlottesville-polls-241917?lo=ap_a1
    GW/Battleground poll
    https://mediarelations.gwu.edu/battleground-poll
    Troll poll alert
    http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2017/08/trump-holds-steady-after-charlottesville-supporters-think-whites-christians-face-discrimination.html
    “Level-headed” polling from Quinnipiac:
    https://poll.qu.edu/national/release-detail?ReleaseID=2482
    All about that base from Fabrizio
    https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/the-fix/wp/2017/08/22/trumps-own-pollster-just-confirmed-his-base-is-weakening/
    A Harry Enten Investigation
    https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/fake-polls-are-a-real-problem/
    Back to school
    Safe spaces on campus
    http://www.gallup.com/poll/216278/why-republicans-down-higher.aspx?g_source=Education&g_medium=newsfeed&g_campaign=tiles
    Is back to school shopping stressful?
    https://morningconsult.com/2017/08/14/poll-walmart-fan-favorite-among-parents-back-school-shopping/
    National Red Wine Day comes earlier every year
    https://nationaltoday.com/us/national-red-wine-day/

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    43 min

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