The Rapcast

Andrew Damelin (https://twitter.com/transition_d) joins Zarar Siddiqi to talk:

- Paul Watson and Oshae Brissett's competition for minutes
- Chris Boucher's Raptors future
- Experimental G-League rules and what changes we might see in the NBA
- Block/charge rule nuance
- Dewan Hernandez (2019 second round pick) discussion
- Paying Fred VanVleet and what someone like Eric Bledsoe offers
- Do hometown discounts exist? Should they exist?
- Good things about the bubble that we wish to see when games return

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Zarar Siddiqi and Blake Murphy (@BlakeMurphyODC) run down the topic list:

- Categories of available free-agents
- All indications point to a bridge year
- Will Paul Watson Jr. be a rotation player next year?
- G-League economics / will the G-League take the season off?
- What's Plan B if Giannis doesn't come?
- Raptor to make the biggest jump next year
- Most abused stat
- Music/Best subscriptions

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This show is a simulcast of the video show found on https://youtube.com/raptorsrepublic

Zarar Siddiqi and Es Baraheni (@JustEsBaraheni) run down the topic list:

- Bjorkgren and Nick Nurse's coaching tree
- Move up in draft?
- Matt Thomas in the rotation
- Bargnani and Bosh were lethal?
- Knicks, Fred and MSG
- Jersey talk - chevron overload

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Video for this podcast is available on RR's channel: https://youtube.com/raptorsrepublic (subscribe to it and make sure to rate this podcast in your podcast app - it means a lot to us).

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Zarar Siddiqi is joined by Blake Murphy to discuss the scenarios and possible complications behind an OG Anunoby extension. Two pieces in The Athletic (still just $1.25/mo) were published on this topic:

OG Anunoby presents a fascinating rookie extension dilemma for the Raptors
https://theathletic.com/2113946/2020/10/05/og-anunoby-presents-a-fascinating-rookie-extension-dilemma-for-the-raptors/

Murphy and Koreen: Role-playing through a mock OG Anunoby contract negotiation
https://theathletic.com/2116490/2020/10/06/murphy-and-koreen-role-playing-through-a-mock-og-anunoby-contract-negotiation/

We dive into the options, the risks on both sides and finally come up with a most-likely outcome.

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Host Zarar Siddiqi is joined by Ryan Imgrund (https://twitter.com/imgrund), who is a biostatistician for South Lake Regional Health Center. He is the Department Head of Science at York Catholic District School Board. Ryan provides analysis of the Covid-19 outbreak, and is the author of some valuable risk assessment tools and frameworks used by several Ontario institutions. His work has been featured on CBC, the Toronto Star, CTV and other media outlets.

We discuss:

- The quality of the guidance provided by the provincial government
- The R0 metric and its importance
- Target for the R0 metric
- Why it's so difficult to calculate the R0 metric in Ontario (hint: contract tracing)
- The failure to anticipate more symptomatic people in second wave than first
- The challenges with random sampling to determine true infection rate; nasal and saliva tests
- South Korea and Ontario - same problem, two different solutions
- Data privacy and contract tracing; attitudes across cultures
- Ontario not encouraging use of the contact tracing app enough
- The lack of data to make informed decisions about what business to close
- Having an event outdoor isn't enough - example from states
- Doug Ford's looking for evidence that is impossible to collect
- Just how did we end up opening strip clubs, and what's even worse than strip clubs
- How much are schools contributing to the spike in cases
- Do children transmit the virus less than adults?
- New learning about Covid - "the viral load", getting and recovering from it isn't as black and white as we thought
- Will the R0 number change if we keep things open?
- How many daily cases to expect over the next few months if no changes to policy made?
- Should we be concerned about hospital capacity?
- Infections spreading to older population again with Thanksgiving coming up
- What would Ryan advise from a policy standpoint to curb the spread?
- Lack and inconsistency in tracking metrics on which to based decision-making
- What defines a "second wave"?
- A case count in March isn't the same as the same case count now, "700 now is like 3000 back in March"
- The manual work involved to contact trace a single case
- What needs to be true to play a Raptors home game at 25% capacity
- What are the chances of 1500 people showing up at the Scotiabank center and none of them having Covid?
- The most popular statistical chart for parents out there - chance of your particular child's class having a positive case (by region and class size)
- How many people do you have to encounter in your region to meet someone with Covid?
- Your chance to define an "encounter" and be safe
- Are we repeating the mistakes from March/April?
- Not all public health units being transparent about data
- Use of data to inform school class sizes by neighborhood
- The importance of the timing of class rotations
- How deaths are predicted and whether new treatments influence the prediction models
- Some Raptors talk

Thank you for listening.

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Host Samson Folk brings on coach, Evin Gualberto to discuss what's happening in the Conference Finals.

- Spoelstra's Genius + Bam's Application of his Skills
- Herro's Rise
- Miami's Zone
- Nikola Jokic & Jamal Murray's shot-making

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Blake Murphy (@BlakeMurphyODC) talks about how the Raptors can re-sign Fred VanVleet to an extension while also being in play for Giannis Antetokounmpo. We talk:


- Walk away price for Raptors
- Key trade-offs Raptors must make
- Whether VanVleet can take a shorter deal
- Market competition for VanVleet
- What the hometown discount might be


To read more check out Blake's detailed work at The Athletic on the subject:

Raptors free agency primer: Cap sheet, assets, exceptions and the big picture
https://theathletic.com/2063807/2020/09/15/raptors-free-agency-primer-cap-sheet-assets-exceptions-and-more-2/

How much can the Raptors pay Fred VanVleet (and still have max money in 2021)?
https://theathletic.com/2066700/2020/09/16/how-much-can-the-raptors-pay-fred-vanvleet-and-still-have-max-money-in-2021/


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Hosted by Zarar Siddiqi. Presented by Raptors Republic.

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Marc Gasol is a free-agent and the Raptors have a decision to make. Zarar Siddiqi talks with Vivek Jacob about:

- What kind of deal Gasol can get from the Raptors?
- Gasol's confidence hit in the post-season
- Raptors options if Gasol leaves
- Gasol's options and preferences
- Could Gasol play for any other NBA team?

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Host Samson Folk brings on his buddy, his pal, and fantastic writer, Louis Zatzman.

- The season of summer camp
- OG the defensive star
- Pascal Siakam's Super Power
- Will the offense change with front-court departures?
- Kyle Lowry's adaptability and genius
- Fred, the lead guard

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Host Samson Folk brings on Robel (Sub Me in Coach on YouTube) to talk hoops.

Limitations of the post-up
The future of Pascal Siakam's shot profile
OG Anunoby + Siakam's Ceiling
Shot creation in the NBA and where to get it

Enjoy the episode, it was a fun one to record. 

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