Good now revolutionaries— Labor Day solo edition of Market Watch. Will's back from the beach for a tight 17-minute market update. Doug's off enjoying the holiday properly, so Will keeps it simple: BTC's weekly candle just closed bullish above the 55-week EMA after a bearish weekly close two weeks prior. Monthly EMA support sits at $77.2K – $78.2K. Simple rule for September: if BTC ends the month above the 3-month 12-EMA at $72.1K, October is bullish. Below it, we stay in consolidation longer.

The week that matters is Sep 15-18. Three things stack on the same three days: the Senate opens the floor for further debate on the Clarity Act (any amendment ping-pongs it back to the House, which only has two voting days left — odds of passage this month look very low), the FOMC decision lands with hike odds at 60.4%, and Sep 18 is a triple/quadruple witching day where major derivatives contracts expire together. Volatility builds in the days leading up. Whatever direction the Clarity news pushes markets, the witching amplifies it.

Oil is showing a bull flag — price touched and held the 12 EMA as support and looks like it wants to rip upwards, which flips momentum bullish for oil and bearish short-term for crypto. Circle stock read: the ARK blockchain launches September 16 (crazy how the dates line up). Buy-the-rumor / sell-the-news is likely. Below current price sits a bearish gap at $89 that could fill. Will's plan: sell ~5% into any obvious rally, then re-buy if the $89 gap fills, and hold the rest — few things he's more bullish on long-term than stablecoin adoption. Will departs for Italy for a week and a half; he'll stream one more tomorrow before he goes.

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Good now revolutionaries— Evan and Alex are back from a week off the air on Labor Day. Alex just came off his first serious spelunking trip in Wisconsin (met Evan up there impulsively; Thai cave rescue lore mentioned), and the crew opens with a listener whose Tangent wallet got drained — a good jumping-off point for the reminder that most crypto losses are user error or software bugs, not glamorous hacks.

Then the big one: Liquid Network, Bitcoin's DeFi-adjacent Layer 2, was exploited for 4,000 BTC (~$320M). A bug in Elements — Liquid's node software — let attackers mint fraudulent Bitcoin that Sideswap couldn't distinguish from the real thing. Evan's wooden-nickel-in-a-vending-machine analogy. Attackers claim white-hat and promise a return once patched. Also: Bitlovin (Timo + Erica) launching a Bitcoin-focused show, and StarkNet Foundation reports the first ever quantum-resistant Bitcoin block confirmed on mainnet via Mara's Slipstream service.

Alex is heading to Dallas Wednesday to meet Dennis Porter (Satoshi Action Fund) for the RNC's rare pre-election convention — a bipartisan Bitcoin-lobby play in a political environment where crypto polls as the least-popular issue in the country. On markets: Bitcoin around $79K, weekly rally across Arbitrum (+91%), Dash, Zcash, Uniswap, Caspa, Near, WorldCoin, Curve, Filecoin, ICP, Jupiter, PancakeSwap — all up 20%+. Alex's rant on why blanket pumps are not fundamentals; the same ~5,000 users rotating through every DeFi launch (see PONS becoming the #1 fee generator on-chain before ceding back to Uniswap and pump.fun). Alex's Aerodrome LP position walkthrough: $100 deposited three weeks ago, up 15% in USDC yield plus emissions in AERO — Wyckoff accumulation pattern per community member Ski. Programming: Wednesday is the premium price-hike deadline ($30 → $100/month, grandfathered forever if you sign up before). Doug + Radio Dan on the show Wednesday. Danielle Crypto Crush guest-hosts next week while Will's out.

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Good now revolutionaries— Will Watson runs a short, caffeinated solo morning show — no Evan, no Alex (still Magic-tournament-marathoning in Milwaukee), just Will and the news. Coinbase and mortgage lender Better opened Fannie Mae-backed mortgages that let qualified US buyers pledge Bitcoin as their down payment instead of selling it — you have to over-collateralize at 250%, but if you're planning to hold the BTC for the full 30-year term anyway, it's a compelling way to buy a house without triggering a taxable event.

Starkware's Ava Hugh Levy executed the first successful quantum-resistant Bitcoin transaction — no hard fork, works on Bitcoin today, but at $75–100 and multiple hours per transaction, plus the need to route directly to a miner because the current Bitcoin network doesn't recognize the data payload. A directional step, not a scalable one. Will also frames the digital-gold argument: Bitcoin's volatility complaint doesn't hold up when gold, silver, copper, and equities are all now volatile at the same magnitudes as altcoins.

Deeper dives: NFT royalties as a cost-model change (artists getting 5–10% on all secondary sales, textbook publishers, gaming skins as resellable assets), why Cardano won't see its all-time high again (getting outbuilt by ETH, SOL, AVAX, Stellar, Hedera — and the Midnight upgrade's new token has split the community), and a live Solana app-economy walkthrough showing pump.fun at $51.3M/30d in revenue, Jupiter at ~$5M, and everything else trailing. Chart reads: ETH's 4-hour candle looks like a top forming; VeChain needs to reclaim $0.008 to matter; Circle (CRCL) still targeting a fill up to $101 ahead of ARC chain launch Sept 16; Pengu setting up a strong buy near $0.008.

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Good now revolutionaries— After Dark takes a full-episode detour from crypto tonight with Justin, Will's best friend from Vegas and a professional trading-card investor. Justin frames the entire TCG market through a portfolio lens: sealed product is bonds (slow, safe, guaranteed value); slabs are stocks (blue-chip vs penny — PSA, Beckett, CGC, and Tag each with different quirks); raw cards are the crypto tier (all upside, all risk). If you've been eyeing Pokemon, Magic, Yu-Gi-Oh, One Piece, Lorcana, or the new Riftbound TCG as an investment, this is the roadmap.

The tactical playbook: why Magic is the only major TCG where condition doesn't matter, how to actually crack a slab without ruining a $1,000 card (pliers + flathead, snip the corners, hold the card in the middle), why Sam's Club and Costco are quietly the best places to buy new sealed product, and why scalpers have killed the retail Pokemon market — Justin's LGS ordered 12 cases of the new set and got 1. Also: the Yu-Gi-Oh reprint strategy that shattered its collector market, why Japanese cards don't retain value in the US, and swirl hunting for the hidden 20–30% price bump most collectors never see.

Bonus stories: Alex's legacy-magic-tournament-briefcase story (Show-and-Tell Emrakul deck, silent warrior, padlock and zip tie), Will trading cards for an AR-15 in Vegas, and Justin's holy grail — complete first-edition 1995 Bandai Cardass and Top Sun Pokemon sets worth $10–13K together. Collector Crypt gets the closing endorsement as the fastest on-chain way to open packs and cash out. Programming note: Evan and Will are on the morning show tomorrow — one more live RUMS before rest week.

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Good now revolutionaries— Evan flies solo Wednesday morning while Alex and Will are off, running through Bitcoin's biggest monthly gain since November 2024 (up 28% in August, back above $81K), the July PCE inflation print (headline 0.2% MoM / 3.7% YoY — slightly worse than expected; core 0.2% / 3.3% in-line), and the Treasury doubling its long-end bond buybacks to $4B+ — a dollar-weakening move that Standard Chartered's Jeff Kendrick says reactivates the debasement trade. Spot Bitcoin ETFs pulled in a net $1.92B last week, their best week in ten months.

Evan walks a live Pacifica setup looking to short SOL on rejection near $95, riffs on why the TradFi-to-DeFi migration is slower than crypto Twitter thinks ($200B AUM at 10% doesn't leave to run a $2B fund), and warns that buying the top 100 is a diversification mistake most people can't manage. Tori drops the scoop that Farcaster is being sold — three bidders in play.

The back half is a tokenized real estate deep dive prompted by Crypto Boat: how CougarDAO in Memphis built a real working model using a Wyoming LLC, KALI.gg smart contracts, and Sablier for streaming rent escrow; the critical distinction on RWA.xyz between represented assets (Canton, Provenance — blockchain as record-keeping only) and distributed assets (tradable on-chain, mostly Ethereum-based); and why Red Swan on Stellar is a stepping stone, not the endgame. Scam warnings on OB coin (Mr. Yazdani on TikTok) and old Stacks CityCoins. Programming note: last live show tomorrow before a rest week — Greatest Hits Parts 1 and 2 drop Monday and Friday. Premium price goes from $30 to $100 per month September 1 — lock in now.

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Good now revolutionaries— Evan + Will (Alex out on his spelunking + reunion trip) open with the Pengu IPO rumor. If Pudgy Penguins (parent = Igloo) IPOs, the Pengu meme coin is functionally dead — 'who's going to buy the meme coin when you can buy the stock?' Expect a rally in the entire Pudgy ecosystem into the IPO announcement. The airdrop-history debate settles: Pengu distributed ~1.45B, Hyperliquid ~2B. Hyperliquid is the record-holder — although Pengu's went to Pudgy Penguin NFT holders (and Lil Pudgy holders) specifically, not to airdrop farmers.

Bitcoin still in consolidation until it flips $83K to support. Will's rounded-bottom scenario: BTC rips into the $83K liquidation zone (a lot of short positions get flushed), then walks back down to retest the 200-week EMA around $65-68K, which completes a beautiful macro rounded bottom and signals the absolute end of the bear cycle. Not required — but 'statistically significant.' The DCA-into-blue-chips window is still open for another one to two months. Circle chart to $200 target by October 1 per Will (rides Clarity Act passage in September + $500M USDC mints).

Chainlink 2.0 tokenomics explainer — the three big changes trying to breathe life into a token that doesn't capture LINK's protocol value: (1) Build Rewards program winding down, (2) new fee-capture mechanism, (3) revenue routing back to LINK holders. Can LINK hit $100 from $11? Not unreasonable but a stretch — Will's advice: 'if you're waiting for $100 before selling any of that, you are out of your quackin' mind.' Sell tranches at $40, $60, $70, $80, $90. The $14B Deribit options-expiration Friday explainer: those positions are already open; Friday is when holders have to decide keep-or-flip. Expect volatility. Morpho is now on 42 chains with ~$10B TVL (up 30% in 30 days) — Ethereum first, Base second (~$4B), Robinhood Chain climbing. Preferred DeFi lending integration for the Coinbase/Base/Aerodrome trifecta.

Spend (SPD.shop) — Solana-based browser extension that lets you buy anything with USDC. Superteam USA-accelerated startup. Also anchored: Will's SatRush yield check — a $100 seed became $69 in BTC + $30 in yield in ~2 weeks (~279% APY). And the traditional close-of-show scam warning: neither Evan nor Will nor Alex will DM you first. If someone matching one of us DMs you, it's a scammer leveraging the trust we've built. Premium $30 → $100 lock hits September 7. Will's Friday office hours still on; Alex's off (traveling); Evan's off Friday (wedding travel).

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Good now revolutionaries— Will's solo Market Watch tonight (no Doug), opening with the audience's top-three-cryptos-for-the-next-bull-cycle question. Will's answer: Bitcoin, Solana, Hyperliquid — with a variant that swaps Solana for Aerodrome + Morpho if you want more asymmetric upside. Frame for the moment: you've survived the bear, we're at the tail end of consolidation, the bull market starts once Bitcoin flips $83K to support. Blue-chip build-the-foundation phase — get your BTC, ETH (if inclined), SOL, HYPE now at cheap prices, not the meme coin lottery.

Why Robinhood is eating Base right now: 28.4M active Robinhood users vs 8-9M monthly transacting Coinbase users (out of 115-120M registered). Twice the active audience → more traction, more money, more product velocity. Will's read on the AI-datacenter picks-and-shovels thesis: Vertiv Holdings (VRT) up 588% since March but the monthly chart wants another 40% down first — buy in the $150 zone. American Fusion (AMFN) is in a good space but the chart is sketchy — 5% portfolio position and see. Robinhood (HOOD) monthly stochastic RSI oversold + finding support on key EMAs = long-term monster.

Chart pass on request: Doge weekly still has legs after an aggressive doji reversal (target 11.8¢). SWE just gross, no one cares right now (will come back eventually). XLM waiting for XRP to pump first. Then the Big Man Blastoise callback on Morpho's weekly candle — 'proof to you that Morpho's going to be a hell of a runner' even though the token doesn't capture protocol value well (deep Coinbase relationship helps). Bitcoin's summertime rally is the sign the consolidation market is on its last legs — the bulls finally punched the bears in the nose.

Will's closing sermon: write your exit strategy DOWN, sell in tranches as your average price hits target multiples (5% at +20%, 15% at +50%, 10% at 3x), take profits into stablecoins along the way, don't buy tops in a bull market with the profits you made because the 40-70% drawbacks WILL come. And 'if you feel like you need to buy right now — don't. Turn that emotion into research.' Breakpoint London Nov 14 — Solana buy-the-rumor-sell-the-news window flagged. Alex + Evan back on tomorrow morning's RUMS.

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Good now revolutionaries— Will opens with the magic-show weekend that reminded him and Violet exactly how badly the iPad-baby generation has forgotten how to talk to strangers (the 50-and-up crowd runs conversational laps around them, effortlessly). Then straight into the on-chain sleuthing: LookOnChain caught a World Liberty Financial wallet adding single-sided-Trump-token liquidity to Uniswap pools and quietly draining the USDC side as the trades filled — Alex's diagnosis: baby's first rug pull, paper-bag-over-the-head-with-your-name-on-the-shirt tier obfuscation. Alex + DeFi Dojo back-and-forth over the weekend on Sergey Nazarov / Chainlink and whether the WLFI purchase pipeline exists — no direct receipt from Arkham but a very clear correlation: nobody needs $4.7M of LINK to use Chainlink.

Bitcoin printed its single biggest weekly candle ever this weekend — Will christens it the Big Man Blastoise candle (now official in the Beacon). Consolidation market's still technically on until Bitcoin flips $83K into support, but bullish momentum is the loudest canary the coal mine has produced in months. Realistic downside if the 55-week EMA holds as resistance: another trip to $70K-$72K. Cigarettes-vs-Bitcoin callback for Will — the math from years ago still holds: what Evan spent on cigarettes over a lifetime, invested in BTC instead, would be worth more than a Bitcoin today. Alex's DCA philosophy: no automated buys, weekly manual decisions, double-digit-red = buy / double-digit-green = sell, running Bitcoin avg $59,793.15.

Hyperliquid weekend volume: $984M in 24 hours (Visa numbers). Perps are the fastest-growing area of crypto trading — and the fastest-growing market on planet Earth. Picks-and-shovels of the gold rush = Circle, Coinbase, Kraken (whenever it IPOs), Robinhood, maybe Kalshi eventually, plus mining companies riding the AI datacenter tailwind. Ansem's post on Kraken as a Hyperliquid US-onshore partner (CFTC licenses via Ninja Trader + Bitnomiel acquisitions) walked through. Will opens a rare hedged long+short on Bitcoin with equal dollar-value, funded so the short's liquidation is at $90K — first time he's ever tried this. Whiteboard video incoming.

The two-part market-maker education segment: Coin Bureau's misleading Winter Mute-is-heavily-short tweet got called out by an actual Winter Mute employee in the comments, and Alex + Evan walked through why market makers CARRY sells when the market is running (they're facilitating the sell orders, not betting against you). Same crew, same lesson, applied to the WLFI liquidity trick at the top of the show. Then the Trump-meme-coin-2.0 rumor: CryptoRover + WhaleScan started it, Eric Trump denied it on record, and the actual danger is the copycat scam-token launchers who ride the FUD. Alex's line: content creators shilling for corruption 'because technically it's not illegal' need to grow a spine. And Evan's closing thesis on why he doesn't chase slop campaigns like Commons' — building social capital + working in the most volatile industry on earth for real, sustained wealth is the target the crowd can't see. Premium goes $30 → $100/month at the end of summer; team's off-air next week for greatest hits + platform upgrades.

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☕ THE RISE UP MORNING SHOW☀️
LIVE Monday - Thursday @ 7a central
Helpful web3 news, commentary, & answers to your crypto questions.

🍻RISE UP AFTER DARK🌗 
LIVE Wednesdays @ 7p central
DYOR and BYOB for casual Q&A, fun with expert guests, and altcoin research.

📈RISE UP MARKET WATCH🤑
LIVE Mondays @ 7p central
Technical analysis, real macro insight, and practical takeaways to help you invest smarter in every market.

⚖️ TRUST ISSUES 🧐 
LIVE Tuesdays @ 6:30p central
Breaking down U.S. crypto policy, regulation, and legislation—what they mean for the industry and what comes next.

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Good now revolutionaries— The full crew's back for the Thursday close-out. Bitcoin is still in consolidation and Will's frame is straightforward: below $72K we're in the same 6-month range, don't be shocked to see a trip back to $62K where Binance's liquidations are magnet-strong. If you're feeling FOMO, that's the signal to DCA over two months on a schedule — not to blow the load. Alex's After Dark short position closed the way it should have (following his rules, not the inverse-Alex signal), and the position would have been wiped out overnight if he'd broken the rule.

Circle stock check-in. Will's average is $65.68; Alex's average is $64.40 — from blindly following Will's advice, which Will took very personally on-air. Circle minted $500M USDC on Solana yesterday (extremely bullish signal for demand + reserves). Will's chart read: short-term cool-off possible down to $69-76 support, then the direct target is $95 (the 200-day EMA and the bullish gap). Longer wedge breakout points at ~$104. Ark blockchain public mainnet targeted September 16 with BlackRock + Vanguard as validators. Coinbase / Circle 50% revenue share means Ark is a hedge bet for Coinbase either way.

Hyperliquid pumped hard off Trump's White House meeting. Alex's Michael Selig (CFTC chair) smirk-meme identification of the 'guy with the full-port 50x long on hype' was a highlight. Deep dive into Hilo (hilo.so) — xSOL, xBTC, and the newly-fee-free xHYPE — leverage-wrapped tokens you hold like spot. xSOL up ~35% on Solana's 12% day; xHYPE up ~51% on yesterday's HYPE run. Will explained volatility decay with a clean $100 → $80 → back-to-$100 example that lands xSOL at $90. Ten-ten wick stress-tested both Hilo and Turbo (DeFi Carrot) with zero liquidations. Then a proper wrapped-token risk explainer using Matt's football-jersey analogy.

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☕ THE RISE UP MORNING SHOW☀️
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DYOR and BYOB for casual Q&A, fun with expert guests, and altcoin research.

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Technical analysis, real macro insight, and practical takeaways to help you invest smarter in every market.

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🐬 Will Watson: https://c...

Good now revolutionaries— Rise Up After Dark 093 opens with first-timer Anisha Kapoor — AI technologist, former financial analyst, and Network School / SheFi alum — walking through her year-long pivot from a laid-off higher-ed financial analyst into backpacking Asia, Balaji's Network School (now permanently based in Kazakhstan), and building small-business AI implementation in the Florida + Chicago ecosystems. Along the way she's onboarding the older generation onto AI + crypto through Base44 hackathons and SheFi. Application priority link for Network School: ns.com/anisha.

Alex's Euphoria tap-battle recap — this time against Dougie from Euphoria (not Beacon Doug). ETH ripped ±$40 in one 30-minute battle, no strategy possible, spray-and-pray only. Alex nearly doubled off a bad start but got squirrelier as he went and closed at $105 while Dougie played safe and coasted to the win. Plus Alex's Base wallet debugging saga — the deposit went to a phantom holding wallet, transferred through two more wallets, and eventually landed correctly. Casey Craig's team is talking to Privy about it. Evan's own base-wallet horror story: a Solana refund to a vendor's Coinbase intermediary got auto-rerouted by the smart contract to a wallet no one holds the keys to. Only got recovered via a friend at Base.

Rise Up bingo idea — sparked by Alex's short jokes. "Tori let's clip it" — the running-bingo-card format ships for next week's show, participants can assign handicaps + power-ups. Will's Japan Converse deep-cut fun fact: Japan refused Converse's material downgrade, negotiated licensing rights, and now Japan-made Converse are the only ones still built the old way using 1930s-era machines — and they're 40% cheaper than US-made pairs. Plus Alex's alligator-in-the-Roosevelt-Room recap of Trump's crypto meeting: 99% platitudes, one new line about "working to bring Hyperliquid to the US" (HYPE ripped 15%), Michael Selig behind the podium looking like he full-ported 50x long right before the speech, and Trump's tell that he doesn't actually know what crypto prices are doing.

Will's Bitcoin chart read: cool-off likely, $67.5K back on the table, maybe even $62K where Binance's biggest liquidation cluster on Bitcoin's entire chart lives. Solana is overextended from all key EMAs — short opportunity into the $83-82 range with 75% close, keep 25% open for the potential $62K flush. Tether dominance sliced through the 21-week EMA + the 200-day EMA today — bullish for the space. Then Nick Cryptography Pro's on-chain-market-maker-alpha thesis gets a proper walkthrough: SAFTs sit off-chain in LLC layers for a reason, plausible deniability is the point, and if the alpha were actionable on-chain everyone at the show would be selling their houses to run it. Plus the perfect Anisha sign-off: just do good wherever you can, with whatever you have.

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Powered by Jito — stake your SOL at https://www.jito.network/staking/.

Support the show

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Want to hang out with us after the show, get live answers to your questions, or join future giveaways?
Join our free community where the show lives 24/7:
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☕ THE RISE UP MORNING SHOW☀️
LIVE Monday - Thursday @ 7a central
Helpful web3 news, commentary, & answers to your crypto questions.

🍻RISE UP AFTER DARK🌗 
LIVE Wednesdays @ 7p central
DYOR and BYOB for casual Q&A, fun with expert guests, and altcoin research.

📈RISE UP MARKET WATCH🤑
LIVE Mondays @ 7p central
Technical analysis, real macro insight, and practical takeaways to help you invest smarter in every market.

⚖️ TRUST ISSUES 🧐 
LIVE Tuesdays @ 6:30p central
Breaking down U.S. crypto policy, regulation, and legislation—what they mean for the industry and what comes next.

—

WANT MORE?
👉Connect w/us on your favorite social: https://rumshq.com
👉Become a guest or sponsor: [email protected]
👉Join our free community: https://community.rumshq.com

FOLLOW OUR HOSTS:
☮️ Evan Mann: https://beacons.ai/conversationswithevan
🤬 Alex Popovic: https://alexpopovic.info
🐬 Will Watson: https://c...