The Rush Lindell Show

On Thursday, October 29, Rush and Reagan put their midterm picks in ink, and they agree on only two Senate races.

Reagan brings the math, Rush brings the gut, and every call goes on the record before Tuesday with no edits afterward.

The baseline. Kalshi prices Democrats at about 64 percent to win Senate control. That is market pricing, not a poll or a forecast.

The Senate map. Texas, Ohio, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, Alaska and Kansas each get a pick and a one-sentence reason. Rush refuses to hedge, and Reagan admits Maine is her shakiest call.

The hype. A parody Early Vote Hype Desk takes on early-ballot spin, while Reagan points out that Tuesday brings its own electorate.

Ohio governor. Ramaswamy versus Acton sets fundamentals against a polling average.

Whose map looks smarter? Listen, make your call, and cast your vote.

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Tuesday, October 27: the Fed is expected to hold rates Wednesday, but the real fight is whether Chairman Kevin Warsh hints at another hike.

Rush Lindell and Reagan run the scorecard on a decision that reaches your mortgage, your 401(k) and your gas bill, just days before the midterms.

Here is what they take on. First, the grade: does Rush deserve credit for calling the hold, or was it an easy pick? Second, the pain: September inflation hit 3.7%, and affordability is driving the vote. Third, the blame: the war, the Fed, or both. Fourth, December: is a hike prudent, or a betrayal of patience? Along the way, a clearly labeled fictional press conference where the chairman answers nothing.

Thursday's GDP and PCE data arrive after the decision, and both hosts name the numbers that would flip their argument. Who won the scorecard? Cast your vote and tell us where you land.

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Thursday, October 22: The Fed is poised to sit on its hands days before the midterms, and every economist in the Reuters poll expects a December hike anyway.

Rush and Reagan start by grading their own misses. They called a September cut, and the Fed hiked to 3.75-4%. Then they dig in.

The data. September payrolls came in at 29,000 against an 84,000 forecast. Unemployment is 4.2%, wage growth is the slowest since May 2021, and gas is back at $4. GDP and PCE land next Thursday, Oct. 29.

Warsh. Is his no-guidance style discipline or a communications problem? The hosts disagree, and CME FedWatch puts the odds of a hold at 72%.

The committee. Williams, Jefferson and Bowman want more data, Kashkari wants another hike, and Goldman's Hatzius expects a pause followed by a December move.

The verdict. They grade each other's December calls, and one host wins by a hair. A look at the Senate and House ratings follows.

Does a silent Fed build credibility or just confuse people? Tell us which side you're on.

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On Tuesday, October 20, the ballots are in, and Rush Lindell and Reagan fight over whether early voting is a warning for Republicans or just people voting early.

Real votes replace polls, and the hosts end by grading each other's reads. Here is what they dig into:

Iowa: Day-one numbers show Democrats ahead, but a thin first day and a 23-point headline gap leave plenty to argue about.

North Carolina and Georgia: North Carolina is well ahead of the last midterm, and Georgia passed 940,000 in-person ballots in week one. The volume is real. The party breakdown is missing.

Texas: Dallas beat its 2024 day one, but one day in three counties can't speak for a whole state.

The turn: Fewer Democratic mail requests and faster returns, per an NBC News analysis, make enthusiasm much harder to read for both sides.

Who made the better case? Listen, pick your winner, and tell us where you landed.

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Thursday, October 15: Inflation just hit 3.7 percent, and the fight is over whether to blame Trump's war or Warsh's Fed.

Rush Lindell and Reagan go through the scorecard and disagree about who owns the pain at the pump and the kitchen table.

The number. September consumer prices beat the 3.6 percent forecast, and gasoline jumped 9.1 percent on the month.

The war. The June ceasefire collapsed over Hormuz, and the hosts test the link from the strait to your gas tank.

The votes. The Senate defeated the Iran withdrawal resolution on Sept. 24 while four Republicans crossed over, just weeks before the midterms.

The Fed. The Oct. 28 meeting lands six days before Election Day, and neither a hike nor a hold comes cheap.

Both hosts hand out final grades, and they are not close. Do you agree with them? Tell us where you land.

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On Tuesday, October 13, the House map is the story: is Cook Political Report spotting a real Democratic wave, or are the pundits just stampeding together?

Rush Lindell and Reagan dig into Cook's October 9 update, which moved eighteen races and now projects a Democratic gain of nine to nineteen seats, or 224 to 234 in the chamber.

Herd or math? Rush says raters copy each other. Reagan says the numbers and voter unhappiness do the work. The districts. They walk through the Iowa rematch, Pennsylvania, Michigan-10 and Virginia. The money. Republicans lead on cash, $89 million to $76 million, and on ad spending, yet Cook says it has not moved the needle so far. Jeffries. Is his claim that Democrats are on the verge of taking back control posturing, or does the range back him up?

Then each host picks the five seats that decide the House, and both grade their lists a B-plus. You decide who wins. Tell us which five seats you would pick.

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On Thursday, October 8, Rush Lindell and Reagan tackle the question rattling Washington: do more than 700,000 early ballots across 30 states signal real trouble for Republicans, or just a skewed sample?

They open with the headline numbers and what a pile that size can and can't tell you. Then they go state by state on Democratic ballot-request shares in Iowa, Pennsylvania, Maine and North Carolina, which are up from 2024. Here's the catch: in most of those states they're still below 2022, and a request is not a returned vote. Rush makes his case that early voters skew older and that Republicans often wait for Election Day. Reagan counters with months of summer polling showing a Democratic motivation edge, plus faster voting in Harris-backing areas of Virginia. Nevada and Michigan are too thin to call, since Michigan's 201,909 absentee returns come with no party breakdown.

The verdict is a soft signal, not a wave, and the real test is whether later numbers keep leaning the same way. The hosts grade each other and land on a 7-7 tie. Who do you think won? Tell us what you're seeing in your state.

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On Tuesday, October 6, Rush Lindell and Reagan take on Pete Hegseth's plan to cut one in five generals and admirals, and ask whether it is a long-overdue shake-up or a purge.

First, what Hegseth actually announced at Quantico, how the 20% breaks down, and why the Jan. 1 deadline for roughly 170 slots matters. Then, why Republican senators say they were blindsided and what they want in notice and transparency. Then, a parody, a Lear Capital sponsor read, and the competing price tags on the Iran war. Finally, why some Republicans are now campaigning against that war, what the $67B supplemental request means, and how the midterm damage scores out.

Rush says accountability beats hurt feelings. Reagan can back a smaller brass, but not one nobody has explained. Both say to watch the list: who went, why, and whether the rules were applied evenly.

Who's right? Weigh in, and tune in for the next episode.

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Thursday, October 1: Two dates three days apart, Friday's jobs report and Monday's Supreme Court opening, are fighting for control of the November conversation.

Rush Lindell and Reagan grade their own Fed calls first. Rush earns a D-plus and Reagan a B for the right call with the wrong reasoning. Then they lay out what to expect from the September payroll number, with forecasts running from about 50,000 to 90,000 jobs and unemployment near 4.1%. The Oct. 27-28 FOMC meeting comes next, with futures pricing roughly a one-in-three chance of a hike.

Reagan makes her case with a receipt: inflation at 3.4%, gasoline up more than 27% on the year, and a pump price near $4.30. Rush answers with the court docket, including climate liability, voting rules, and jury size. Then they swap sides and argue each other's case, with parody closing ads included.

The verdict: the wallet is felt first, the courts get fought over longer, and the two dates are really one story. Who do you think moves voters more, the pump or the robes? Tell us, and be ready for Friday's number.

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This beat no longer re-quotes Rush's prior 'Texas stays red' line or re-stages the Cook Political Report toss-up move as fresh news — it briefly nods to the cold open's admission and treats the toss-up rating as already-established fact before moving to the early-voting deadline (October 19) and teasing three separate polls without naming them yet. The toss-up reclassification and the GOP-favored self-quote are now fully spent; the next beat must name and detail Marist, TPOR, and Big Data Poll rather than re-establishing the toss-up premise.

In this episode, we cover Grading Ourselves: We Called This Wrong, Three Polls, One Story: Talarico Overtakes Paxton, Beyond the Toplines: Independents and the Generic Ballot, and more.

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