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In 2016, Blitz (@blizzythegoat24) bet on Donald Trump to win the general election.
In 2020, Blitz not only bet on Biden to win the election, he guessed the outcome of every state correctly.
In 2024, he managed to do the same. He bet on Trump to win the election and guessed every state correctly.
In this episode, Blitz explains for the first time how he did it.
Timestamps
0:40: Blitz's achievement
3:25: Intro ends
5:25: Interview begins
6:00: Blitz's background
7:16: Blitz's bad start on PredictIt
7:59: Tweet markets
11:00: John Phillips's defense of tweet markets
13:43: Andrew Yang death threats
18:01: Trump VP pick in 2016
19:57: Blitz's methodology in 2024
26:26: Blue wall
29:52: Florida early vote
33:34: Nevada early turnout
37:50: Georgia
38:08: 2020
41:18: Women/abortion
42:01: Black voters
44:26: Polls
52:21: Concerns about democracy
1:01:30: Political bias
Follow Star Spangled Gamblers on Twitter/x @ssgamblers
Trade on tweet markets and many more at Polymarket.com, the world's largest prediction market.
Forecasting Meetup Network. Help us grow the forecasting community to positively influence the future by supporting us with an upvote, comment, or pledge on Manifund: https://manifund.org/projects/forecasting-meetup-network---washington-dc-pilot-4-meetups Get notified whenever a new meetup is scheduled and learn more about the Forecasting Meetup Network here: https://bit.ly/forecastingmeetupnetwork Join our Discord to connect with others in the community between monthly meetups: https://discord.com/invite/hFn3yukSwv
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6464 ratings
In 2016, Blitz (@blizzythegoat24) bet on Donald Trump to win the general election.
In 2020, Blitz not only bet on Biden to win the election, he guessed the outcome of every state correctly.
In 2024, he managed to do the same. He bet on Trump to win the election and guessed every state correctly.
In this episode, Blitz explains for the first time how he did it.
Timestamps
0:40: Blitz's achievement
3:25: Intro ends
5:25: Interview begins
6:00: Blitz's background
7:16: Blitz's bad start on PredictIt
7:59: Tweet markets
11:00: John Phillips's defense of tweet markets
13:43: Andrew Yang death threats
18:01: Trump VP pick in 2016
19:57: Blitz's methodology in 2024
26:26: Blue wall
29:52: Florida early vote
33:34: Nevada early turnout
37:50: Georgia
38:08: 2020
41:18: Women/abortion
42:01: Black voters
44:26: Polls
52:21: Concerns about democracy
1:01:30: Political bias
Follow Star Spangled Gamblers on Twitter/x @ssgamblers
Trade on tweet markets and many more at Polymarket.com, the world's largest prediction market.
Forecasting Meetup Network. Help us grow the forecasting community to positively influence the future by supporting us with an upvote, comment, or pledge on Manifund: https://manifund.org/projects/forecasting-meetup-network---washington-dc-pilot-4-meetups Get notified whenever a new meetup is scheduled and learn more about the Forecasting Meetup Network here: https://bit.ly/forecastingmeetupnetwork Join our Discord to connect with others in the community between monthly meetups: https://discord.com/invite/hFn3yukSwv
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