Star Spangled Gamblers

The Trader Who Guessed Every Swing State Correctly—Twice


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In 2016, Blitz (@blizzythegoat24) bet on Donald Trump to win the general election.

In 2020, Blitz not only bet on Biden to win the election, he guessed the outcome of every state correctly.

In 2024, he managed to do the same. He bet on Trump to win the election and guessed every state correctly.

In this episode, Blitz explains for the first time how he did it.

Timestamps

0:40: Blitz's achievement

3:25: Intro ends

5:25: Interview begins

6:00: Blitz's background

7:16: Blitz's bad start on PredictIt

7:59: Tweet markets

11:00: John Phillips's defense of tweet markets

13:43: Andrew Yang death threats

18:01: Trump VP pick in 2016

19:57: Blitz's methodology in 2024

26:26: Blue wall

29:52: Florida early vote

33:34: Nevada early turnout

37:50: Georgia

38:08: 2020

41:18: Women/abortion

42:01: Black voters

44:26: Polls

52:21: Concerns about democracy

1:01:30: Political bias

Follow Star Spangled Gamblers on Twitter/x @ssgamblers

Trade on tweet markets and many more at Polymarket.com, the world's largest prediction market.

Forecasting Meetup Network. Help us grow the forecasting community to positively influence the future by supporting us with an upvote, comment, or pledge on Manifund: https://manifund.org/projects/forecasting-meetup-network---washington-dc-pilot-4-meetups Get notified whenever a new meetup is scheduled and learn more about the Forecasting Meetup Network here: https://bit.ly/forecastingmeetupnetwork Join our Discord to connect with others in the community between monthly meetups: https://discord.com/invite/hFn3yukSwv

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Star Spangled GamblersBy Keendawg & Pratik

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