In this midweek Dividend Cafe (Thursday, July 9), Brian Szytel notes a mixed recovery in markets amid renewed volatility tied to Middle East tensions, while oil prices pulled back slightly and interest rates were flat to slightly lower. Economic updates included initial jobless claims coming in a bit better than expected, suggesting steady, healthy employment, and weaker existing home sales (down 3.4% to 4.09 million), reflecting affordability pressures from high rates and a stuck housing market, with modest price declines seen as healthy clearing. He reviews June FOMC minutes showing a divided committee, some discussion of potential hikes, continued attention to AI demand, geopolitical risks, tariffs as a GDP drag, and higher inflation projections for 2026–2027, with expectations split between hikes and no change. He also explains that business cycles persist due to real-economy lags in capital, credit, inventories, labor, and policy transmission.

00:00 Market Recap Volatility

00:46 Jobs And Housing Data

01:32 Housing Affordability Reset

02:37 Fed Minutes Takeaways

03:54 Dot Plot And Guidance

05:05 Why Business Cycles Persist

06:53 Wrap Up And Q&A

Links mentioned in this episode:

TheBahnsenGroup.com