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My links
www.linktree.com/learntotoad
www.patreon.com/learntotoad

NCAAB
Robert Morris -5
Santa Clara +5

Conference Tournament Week Begins: Auto Bids, Bad Beats & Best Bets (Robert Morris, Santa Clara)

Toad opens Monday, March 9 in a foul mood after a severe betting slump, then pivots to conference tournament week in college basketball. He congratulates new auto-bid winners High Point (Big South), Northern Iowa (Missouri Valley), Queens (NC), and North Dakota State (Summit), and complains about a disputed Navy–Boston University ending involving a stopped clock and officiating. He recaps a 2–3 day including Nebraska covering in OT, San Francisco losing to Oregon State, a Blackhawks +1.5 cover, and poor NBA results. He previews several tournaments and situational angles (SWAC, CAA, Southland, Sun Belt final Troy vs Georgia Southern, SoCon, Horizon, Big Sky, WCC), then locks in two plays: Robert Morris -5 and Santa Clara +points. He gives leans but no official NHL/NBA plays.
00:00 Meltdown Slump Rant
01:32 Show Intro And Auto Bids
03:36 Navy BU Clock Controversy
05:40 Recapping Yesterday Picks
07:38 SWAC Tournament Breakdown
12:42 Colonial Semifinals Preview
19:13 Southland Quarterfinal Leans
23:05 Sun Belt Final Troy Edge
28:10 SoCon Final Quick Read
31:04 Horizon League Situations
35:01 Best Bet Robert Morris
41:41 Style Clash Debate
42:40 Troy Effort Angle
43:17 Big Sky Breakdown
43:38 Northern Colorado Value
46:50 Weber State Upset Case
49:22 WCC Gonzaga vs Oregon State
52:00 Santa Clara Bubble Spot
57:04 Locking In Santa Clara
57:33 NHL Leans No Card
01:02:12 Utah at Chicago Team Total
01:07:10 NBA Injury Spots
01:12:03 Nuggets at Thunder Rematch
01:20:25 Final Plays and Signoff

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My links
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NCAAB
Nebraska -6.5
San Francisco -3.5

NHL
CHI +1.5 -110

NBA
MIL +4
IND +8.5

Toad Stool Sports (Mar 8): Conference Tourney Breakdown + Best Bets (CBB, NHL, NBA)

Toad opens frustrated by a prolonged betting slump, then recaps going 2-1-1 the previous day (including Georgia Tech, Long Island/Wagner line movement, a Nashville push, and Memphis losing but covering). He previews a wide slate of college basketball conference tournament games and regular-season matchups, discussing situational angles like momentum, rest, venue familiarity, line movement, and public vs. sharp money. His featured CBB plays are San Francisco -3.5 vs Oregon State and Nebraska over Iowa, with additional opinions across multiple conferences. In the NHL, he targets Chicago +1.5 at Dallas (with a note on Chicago’s goalie situation), and in the NBA he gives two plays: Milwaukee +4 vs Orlando and Indiana +8.5 at Portland. He closes with show plugs and notes possible additional conference-tournament videos.

00:00 Brutal Slump Rant
01:33 Show Intro and Date Fix
01:52 Yesterday Recap and Bad Beats
04:43 Today Card and Betting Limits
06:32 Colonial Picks Breakdown
14:32 Patriot League Semis
17:36 Navy vs BU Debate
20:13 Missouri Valley Final
24:34 Big South Final Preview
29:38 Auto Bids and Atlantic Sun
30:44 Queens vs Central Arkansas
37:24 Horizon League Chaos
43:12 SoCon Semifinals Setup
44:19 ETSU vs Western Carolina
47:22 UNCG vs Furman
50:57 Sun Belt Semis Breakdown
54:57 Marshall vs Georgia Southern
59:24 MAAC Semifinals Preview
01:06:03 Southland Early Round Picks
01:09:06 Big Sky Quarterfinals
01:13:47 Summit League Title Game
01:16:36 WCC Play San Francisco
01:23:39 Big Ten Sunday Slate
01:26:53 Michigan Laying Points
01:27:55 Nebraska vs Iowa Breakdown
01:32:22 Switching to NHL Slate
01:33:48 NHL Doubleheader Notes
01:38:48 Blackhawks Best Bet
01:42:25 More NHL Leans
01:46:30 NBA Card Begins
01:56:44 Bucks Best Bet
02:00:29 Pacers Best Bet
02:06:22 Final Picks and Wrap

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NCAAB
Georgia Tech +17.5
Long Island -8.5

NBA
MEM +6.5

NHL
NSH +1 +104

NHL & NBA Picks: Predators Puck Line + Grizzlies Home Dog (Plus CBB Plays)
Toad opens frustrated by a severe betting slump, then delivers a shorter daily show focused on NHL and NBA, with a reminder to check his college basketball show. In the NHL, he breaks down several matchups and betting-market signals, ultimately making his best hockey bet Nashville +1 on the puck line (+104) versus Buffalo, citing a sandwich/look-ahead spot and road-revenge angle; he also mentions a strong lean toward Calgary on the puck line versus Carolina. In the NBA, he discusses multiple games and gives his best play as Memphis +6.5 versus the Clippers, emphasizing the Clippers’ tough scheduling spot and travel. He reiterates college plays Georgia Tech plus the points and Long Island minus the points, then closes with plugs for his social channels and a hope to get back on track.

00:00 Slump Meltdown Opener
01:32 Show Setup and Picks Plan
02:22 Bruins vs Capitals Breakdown
03:33 Rangers vs Devils Lean
05:15 Best Bet Nashville Puckline
07:25 Flyers vs Penguins and Totals
08:50 Lightning vs Leafs Focus Spot
10:44 Quick Hits Utah Columbus
11:37 Canucks Jets Scheduling Angles
13:26 Habs Kings and Prop Talk
15:01 Calgary Carolina Trap Spot
16:57 Islanders Sharks Road Grind
17:27 Celtics Hat Banter
17:42 Islanders Sharks Breakdown
19:05 Senators Kraken Lean
20:26 Magic Wolves Best Spot
22:07 Nets Pistons Ugly Line
23:39 Sixers Hawks Value
25:27 Best Bet Grizzlies
28:35 Jazz Bucks No Play
30:49 Warriors Thunder Points
32:40 Plays Recap Signoff

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NCAAB
Georgia Tech +17.5
Long Island -8.5

College Basketball Picks & Betting Breakdown (Sat, March 7) + Conference Tournaments | Toad Stool Sports

Toad opens the show frustrated by a severe losing slump and reviews recent bad beats across college basketball and the NBA (including Buffalo, Southeast Missouri, and the Clippers), along with notes on closing line value and possible betting limits. He then runs through a large Saturday slate of regular-season college basketball games with situational angles (senior night, revenge, bubble motivation, letdown/sandwich spots, tempo, injuries, market ticket/cash splits, and KenPom profiles), highlighting public sides and leans. His primary regular-season best bet is Georgia Tech +17.5 at Clemson. After a break, he previews multiple conference tournament matchups (Colonial/CAA, SoCon, Big South, America East, NEC, MVC, MAAC, Sun Belt, Big Sky, ASUN, Summit, OVC title, WCC), and gives his second official play: Long Island -8.5 vs Wagner.

00:00 Slump Meltdown Cold Open
01:33 Show Intro and Card Setup
02:09 Recapping Yesterday’s Bad Beats
05:23 Noon Slate Houston Oklahoma State
06:47 Noon Rivalry Virginia Tech Virginia
08:11 Arkansas Missouri Injury Angle
10:36 A10 and Big East Noon Picks
13:06 Xavier Villanova and ND BC
16:22 Best Bet Georgia Tech Clemson
19:07 La Tech Delaware and Big 12 Floor
23:26 UConn Marquette and SEC Spots
26:37 Miami Ohio Rant and Afternoon Games
28:46 Big 12 and ACC Afternoon Breakdown
34:25 Vandy Tennessee Rivalry Read
36:48 A10 Loyola and Bubble Game TCU
40:25 SMU vs Florida State
42:46 Princeton Yale Ivy Stakes
44:38 Sam Houston Liberty CUSA
46:09 Stanford NC State Spot
47:57 Georgia Mississippi State Look
49:05 Florida Kentucky Revenge
51:25 Wisconsin Purdue Breakdown
55:02 A10 St Louis Mason
56:41 Mountain West Spotlight
58:21 FAU Wichita Rematch
59:47 Boise Colorado State
01:01:18 ACC Cal Wake Pit Cuse
01:04:12 Utah Baylor Fade
01:05:34 Bubble Indiana Ohio State
01:07:46 UNC Duke Rivalry
01:10:44 Auburn Alabama Iron Bowl
01:13:48 Red River and LA Rivalries
01:19:19 Big West Finale
01:21:07 Texas Tech BYU Trap
01:22:33 Colorado Fade Spot
01:24:15 Oregon Home Finale
01:25:34 Fullerton vs Northridge
01:28:52 Providence Revenge Angle
01:30:03 UC Irvine TV Read
01:31:40 Chat Break and Reset
01:32:59 Slump Rant Montage
01:34:34 Colonial Tournament Picks
01:41:51 SoCon Quarterfinal Leans
01:48:55 Northeast Conference Plays
01:54:01 Big South Semifinals
01:59:03 America East Breakdown
02:04:20 Missouri Valley Preview
02:04:32 UIC Ends Drake Run
02:06:30 Missouri Valley Unders Angle
02:07:31 Rollover Versus Futures
02:08:27 Northern Iowa Over Bradley
02:11:56 KenPom Defense Debate
02:14:58 MAAC Marist Quinnipiac
02:16:45 MAAC Mount Sienna Pick
02:19:32 Sun Belt Fatigue Spots
02:24:03 Big Sky Late Games
02:27:06 ASUN Central Arkansas
02:28:43 ASUN Queens Austin Peay
02:30:33 Summit League Semis
02:33:41 Ohio Valley Title Game
02:36:32 WCC Portland San Francisco
02:37:52 WCC Seattle Pacific
02:39:50 Wrap Up Final Plays

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NCAAB
Southeast Missouri St. ML -124
Buffalo +8

NBA
LAC +7.5
IND +9.5

March 6 Betting Card: Conference Tournaments, Buffalo + Points & NBA Dogs (Clippers/Pacers)
Toad opens the show frustrated by a prolonged losing slump, then breaks down a large Friday slate featuring conference tournament college basketball across multiple leagues (Big South, Atlantic Sun, Missouri Valley, Colonial, SoCon, OVC, MAAC, Summit, WCC), discussing seeding, injuries, venue quirks, momentum, public vs. money splits, and potential leans. He recaps going 1-1 the prior day (Iowa cover, Long Beach State OT loss) and skips hockey picks while briefly reviewing the NHL board and a few NBA matchups. Official plays: Southeast Missouri State moneyline in the OVC, Buffalo + points fading Toledo, and two NBA underdogs—Clippers +7.5 and Pacers + points—each in back-to-back/sandwich spots for the favorites, with a note to sprinkle small moneylines on dogs.

00:00 Slump Spiral Cold Open
01:33 Show Intro Recap
02:40 Today Card Overview
03:14 Big South Breakdown
12:05 Atlantic Sun Chaos
18:00 Austin Peay Pick
25:09 Missouri Valley Talk
38:33 Colonial Nightmare Game
41:18 SoCon Opening Round
46:03 Ohio Valley Semis Setup
46:32 UT Martin Revenge Spot
49:48 Market vs UT Martin
50:24 SEMO Fade Morehead
53:56 KenPom Luck Breakdown
55:15 Live Betting SEMO
57:12 Sun Belt Quarterfinals
01:01:04 MAAC Atlantic City Lines
01:06:34 Summit League Mismatches
01:12:09 WCC Vegas Nightcap
01:17:28 TV Games and MAC Picks
01:21:34 Buffalo Fade Toledo
01:28:11 Big East and Rivalry Unders
01:31:54 Ohio Spoiler Spot
01:32:51 Betting the Bobcats
01:34:32 UNLV vs SDSU Breakdown
01:37:54 Hockey Slate Leans
01:48:48 NBA TV Games Preview
02:00:03 Best Bets Card
02:05:03 Plays Recap and Signoff
02:07:31 Comedy Shows Outro

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My links
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#bets #sportsbetting  #daily #ncaaf #nfl #nhl #nba #ncaab

My links
www.linktree.com/learntotoad
www.patreon.com/learntotoad

NCAAB
Iowa +9
Long Beach St. +2

College Basketball Picks & Conference Tourney Breakdown (Mar 5): Iowa +9 vs Michigan & Long Beach State +2

Toad opens by venting about a brutal betting slump, then recaps a narrow winning night highlighted by Colorado State winning outright while Old Dominion failed to cover. He breaks down multiple conference tournament matchups and situational angles across leagues including the Missouri Valley, Sun Belt, MAAC, Summit, Patriot League, Ohio Valley, and West Coast Conference, often focusing on momentum, rest, venue familiarity, and market percentages. He also briefly touches on several regular-season games and gives quick lean commentary for NHL and NBA boards without official plays there. The two official card plays are Iowa +9 (noting Michigan’s sandwich spot between Illinois and Michigan State and Iowa’s slow tempo/home spot) and Long Beach State +2 vs UC Davis (a sandwich spot for UC Davis between Hawaii and UC Irvine).

00:00 Slump Spiral Cold Open
01:33 Back on Track Recap
03:19 Today’s Two Plays
03:44 Missouri Valley Breakdown
12:03 Live Chat Celtics Rant
12:40 Sun Belt Tournament Picks
19:00 MAAC Opening Round
24:13 Summit League Matchups
29:04 Patriot League Slate
37:07 Celtics Frustration
38:00 Ohio Valley Upset
39:01 UT Martin Breakdown
42:06 Lindenwood vs CMO
44:57 Regular Season Slate
45:35 MEAC TV Game
47:10 Howard vs Norfolk
49:28 American TV Picks
52:45 CUSA Lookahead Spots
56:13 SWAC Motivation Angle
57:35 Best Bet Iowa
01:03:27 Rutgers at MSU
01:05:56 WCC Late Tourney
01:09:02 Memphis Bounceback
01:11:13 CUSA Night TV
01:14:17 Long Beach Play
01:15:33 Long Beach Revenge Spot
01:18:08 Cal Poly vs Irvine Read
01:19:44 Leafs Rangers No Play
01:21:06 Utah Flyers Market Lean
01:22:17 ESPN Buffalo Pittsburgh
01:23:46 Panthers Bounce Back
01:24:50 Bruins Predators Angle
01:25:59 Lightning Jets Fade
01:27:27 Senators Flames Value
01:29:13 Islanders Kings Sharp Side
01:31:25 NBA Slate Begins
01:33:04 Jazz Wizards Back To Back
01:34:51 Nets Heat Zigzag
01:36:04 Warriors Rockets Prime
01:37:56 Raptors Wolves Spot
01:39:35 Pistons Spurs Revenge
01:41:06 Bulls Suns Booker Return
01:43:35 Lakers Nuggets Prime Game
01:45:18 Pelicans Kings Letdown
01:48:16 Plays Recap And Signoff

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My links
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NCAAB
Old Dominion +2
Colorado St. +9

Slump-Burner CBB Breakdown + 2 Best Bets: Colorado State + Old Dominion | NHL & NBA Leans

Toad opens the show frustrated by a major losing streak and recaps a 2-3 day that included wins with TCU and Texas A&M but collapses from Ottawa and the Raptors. He breaks down the day’s college basketball slate and numerous conference tournament openers with situational and market-read angles (revenge, travel, senior nights, bubble pressure), while passing on most games. Two official best bets are given: Colorado State +8.5 (noting a New Mexico sandwich spot and revenge) and Old Dominion +2 vs Georgia Southern (citing defense, momentum from playing the prior night, and market disagreement). He also shares NHL leans (notably Toronto over New Jersey, Anaheim vs Islanders) and quick NBA thoughts without official plays, then plugs social channels and teases a follow-up conference tournament futures show.

00:00 Slump Meltdown Intro
01:34 Recap of Yesterday
03:19 Board Setup and Approach
03:46 Early TV Games Breakdown
11:14 Big East and ACC Spots
15:27 Big Ten and A10 Leans
24:34 Late Night Slate Reads
32:06 Best Bet Colorado State
35:20 Chat Notes and USC Update
36:19 USC Shakeup Impact
36:53 USC at Washington Breakdown
37:54 North Carolina Seeding Talk
40:00 Tournament Handicapping Approach
41:04 Atlantic Sun Jacksonville Bellarmine
44:58 Atlantic Sun Other Matchups
51:23 Sunbelt Venue Momentum Angle
54:12 Old Dominion Best Bet
01:00:11 Ohio Valley Quick Revenge Spots
01:04:00 Northeast Conference Reseeding
01:06:16 NEC Game Leans
01:12:19 Horizon Northern Kentucky Oakland
01:13:54 Oakland vs NKU Pick
01:14:55 Milwaukee Upset Angle
01:16:02 Youngstown vs Robert Morris
01:18:05 Cleveland State at Wright State
01:20:19 Big South Play In
01:22:47 Summit League Opener
01:24:43 Hockey Segment Begins
01:27:19 Leafs Devils Best Read
01:29:01 Canes Nucks Public Trap
01:31:23 Islanders Ducks Lean
01:33:06 Blues Kraken Stay Away
01:35:10 NBA Slate Quick Hits
01:39:35 Sixers Bounceback Spot
01:43:24 Bucks vs Hawks Reaction
01:45:58 Wrap Up Market Reads

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