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MLB
NYY/SF Under 7 -105

MLB Opening Day Best Bet: Yankees vs. Giants Under 7 | NIT, NHL & NBA Leans (March 25)

Toad opens the show frustrated by a prolonged betting slump and recaps a loss on Seattle after they tied late but lost in a shootout. For Wednesday, March 25 (MLB Opening Day), he discusses NIT quarterfinals—uncertain on Dayton/Illinois State (lean under) and leans Auburn -10 vs. Nevada. In the NHL, he leans Bruins in Buffalo despite heavy public money on the Sabres, and likes the Rangers at Toronto. He runs through multiple NBA matchups with mostly leans, including Celtics +points vs. Thunder, Heat +3 at Cavs, Grizzlies +points vs. Spurs, Rockets -2 at Wolves, and others. His only official play is MLB Yankees–Giants full-game Under 7 in San Francisco, citing a pitcher-friendly park, cool night weather, early-season hitting, and ace starters.

00:00 Brutal Slump Meltdown
01:33 Opening Day Reset
02:13 Last Night Recap Seattle
03:02 NIT Quarterfinal Breakdown
05:53 Auburn vs Nevada Lean
07:16 NHL Two Game Slate
07:41 Bruins at Sabres Spot
09:34 Rangers at Leafs Pick
11:17 NBA Board Begins
11:24 Hawks at Pistons Read
13:19 Lakers at Pacers Angle
15:08 Bulls at Sixers Best Look
17:22 Thunder at Celtics Spotlight
19:29 Heat at Cavs Contrarian Lean
21:14 Spurs at Grizz Bounceback
22:08 Grizzlies Plus Points
22:23 Wizards Jazz Over Talk
24:13 Rockets Bounce Back Spot
25:59 How To Rate Leans
26:16 Mavs Nuggets Scheduling Angle
27:29 Nets Warriors Road Trip Return
28:32 Bucks Blazers Injury Watch
30:25 Raptors Clippers Travel Spot
31:46 Opening Day Best Bet
32:08 Why Under Seven Works
34:48 Pitcher Matchup Breakdown
38:57 Wrap Up And Plugs
41:05 Final Best Bet Recap

#bets #sportsbetting  #daily #ncaaf #nfl #nhl #nba #ncaab #mlb #ncaa #marchmadness #bracket #ncaatournament

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#bets #sportsbetting  #daily #ncaaf #nfl #nhl #nba #ncaab #mlb

My links
www.linktree.com/learntotoad
www.patreon.com/learntotoad

NHL
SEA +115

Toadstool Sports (March 24): Kraken +115 Best Bet, NIT Leans & Full NHL/NBA Board Breakdown

Toad opens by venting about an extended betting slump, then shifts to Tuesday, March 24’s Toadstool Sports episode after going 1–0 on the show yesterday with the Pacers as a large underdog. He previews two NIT games (leans Tulsa over Wichita State; slight preference for New Mexico over St. Joe’s) and breaks down a large NHL slate, discussing situational angles like teams returning home from long road trips and market ticket/cash splits. His only official play is Seattle Kraken moneyline (+115) vs Florida, citing a bounce-back spot for Seattle and a bad return-home spot for Florida with Minnesota on deck. He also gives leans on multiple NHL matchups and briefly covers four NBA games, including mild leans toward Sacramento +points, New Jersey vs Dallas, Minnesota vs Tampa, and Phoenix +points vs Denver, before closing with plugs and notes on upcoming MLB and NCAA tournament action.

00:00 Slump Meltdown Cold Open
01:33 Back on Track Intro
02:30 NIT Wichita Tulsa Breakdown
05:27 NIT St Joes New Mexico
06:57 NHL Leafs Bruins Spot
08:16 Canes Habs Market Read
09:18 Sens Wings Rest Edge
10:57 Best Bet Seattle Upset
13:34 Hawks Isles Public Favorite
14:43 Hulu Columbus Philly Angle
16:43 Avs Pens Revenge Game
18:30 Wild Lightning TV Game
19:24 Lightning vs Wild Spot
20:14 Capitals Blues Hangover
21:36 Sharks Predators Reset
22:42 Devils Value at Stars
24:08 Knights Jets Sandwich
26:02 Kings Flames Letdown
27:29 Oilers Bounce at Utah
28:43 Ducks Canucks Fade
30:05 NBA Slate Begins
30:16 Kings Hornets Spread
32:16 Pelicans Knicks Read
33:51 Magic Cavs Injuries
36:05 Nuggets Suns Home Dog
38:13 Final Play and Wrap

#bets #sportsbetting  #daily #ncaaf #nfl #nhl #nba #ncaab #mlb #ncaa #marchmadness #bracket #ncaatournament

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NBA
IND +13.5

Toad Stool Sports (Mar 23): Pacers +13.5 vs Magic Pick, NBA Board Breakdown + Tournament Recap

Toad opens the show frustrated with a major slump and recent losing streaks, then recaps March Madness results and notes going 1–0 on the show yesterday with Iowa plus the points and an outright win, encouraging a small moneyline sprinkle. With a small slate, he briefly passes on the lone NHL game (Ottawa at Rangers) due to no strong feel, then breaks down multiple NBA matchups using situational angles, scheduling spots, injuries, and ticket/cash splits. His official play is Indiana Pacers +13.5 vs Orlando, citing a potential flat spot for the Magic with a bigger game next and market money leaning Indiana despite heavy tickets on Orlando. He also gives leans and stay-aways across the rest of the NBA card and closes with social links, podcast availability, and plans for more NIT/hockey/NBA content tomorrow.

00:00 Slump Meltdown
01:32 Show Intro And Recap
02:55 Tournament Takeaways
03:51 NHL Rangers Preview
05:00 NBA Lakers Pistons Spot
06:44 Best Bet Pacers Plus Points
09:39 Thunder Sixers Breakdown
12:03 Spurs Heat Doubleheader
13:56 Grizzlies Hawks Spread
15:57 Rockets Bulls Spot
17:11 Raptors Jazz Motivation
19:07 Warriors Mavericks TV Game
20:45 Nets Blazers Big Number
22:51 Bucks Clippers Letdown
24:34 Wrap Up Picks Plugs

#bets #sportsbetting  #daily #ncaaf #nfl #nhl #nba #ncaab #ncaa #marchmadness #bracket #ncaatournament

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NCAAB
Iowa +10.5

March Madness Picks & Slate Breakdown (March 22) | Iowa +10.5 vs Florida + NHL/NBA/NIT Notes

Toad opens the March 22 Still Sports episode venting about a prolonged betting slump, then recaps going 2–2 yesterday with wins on Duke and the Bucks and a tough overtime loss on an underdog hockey play, plus bracket frustrations and comments on crowd/arena advantages and officiating. He previews Sunday’s March Madness slate (Miami–Purdue, Kentucky–Iowa State with a key Iowa State injury, St. John’s–Kansas, Tennessee–Virginia, Arizona–Utah State, UCLA–UConn, Texas Tech–Alabama) and makes one official tournament bet: Iowa +10.5 vs Florida, citing line value, coaching, style/pace, and Florida’s first-round opponent quality. He also runs through NIT matchups with leans, then discusses the NHL and NBA boards with situational angles and market splits but no additional official plays, and closes with promo notes for audio feeds and social channels.

00:00 Brutal Losing Streak
01:32 Show Intro and Recap
05:09 Breaking Down Today’s Slate
05:24 Miami vs Purdue Preview
07:02 Kentucky vs Iowa State
10:22 St John’s vs Kansas
15:12 Tennessee vs Virginia
18:38 Best Bet Iowa Plus Points
24:48 Arizona vs Utah State
27:04 UCLA vs UConn Angle
29:57 Texas Tech vs Alabama
33:14 NIT Quick Hits
34:57 Auburn NIT Outlook
35:58 UNLV at Tulsa Breakdown
37:17 George Washington at New Mexico
38:31 Wichita State at Oklahoma State
39:46 St Joes at Cal Pick
42:45 NHL Slate Begins
44:51 Early NHL Matchups
47:19 Nashville Chicago Angle
50:30 Vegas Dallas Dog Spot
52:06 Calgary Value vs Tampa
53:57 Late NHL Games
56:44 NBA Slate Overview
57:54 Kings Big Spread Talk
01:01:00 Knicks Massive Favorite
01:02:22 Celtics Wolves Injury Read
01:04:15 Raptors Suns Revenge Spot
01:07:21 Final Play and Wrap Up

#bets #sportsbetting  #daily #ncaaf #nfl #nhl #nba #ncaab #ncaa #marchmadness #bracket #ncaatournament

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NCAAB
Duke -11.5
Arkansas -11.5

NBA
MIL +11.5

NHL
WPG +136

March Madness Round 2 Handicapping + Best Bets: Duke & Arkansas | Jets ML | Bucks +11.5
Toad opens the episode venting about a severe betting slump, then previews Saturday, March 31 action with a focus on how to handicap NCAA Tournament second-round games, arguing overs can improve due to better venue sight lines, fatigue, and quick-turnaround coaching edges. He discusses multiple matchups and bracket thoughts, with his official college plays being Duke -11.5 vs TCU (expecting a focused bounce-back after a scare) and Arkansas -11.5 vs High Point (fading the trendy upset winner and citing matchup/coaching advantages). His NHL best bet is Winnipeg Jets moneyline (+136) at Pittsburgh, citing a bounce-back spot for Winnipeg and a bad scheduling/sandwich spot for the Penguins. His NBA play is Milwaukee +11.5 at Phoenix, citing a poor return-home/travel spot for the Suns and a better effort expected from the Bucks after an embarrassment.

00:00 Brutal Losing Streak
01:32 Show Intro and Slate
03:33 Second Round Handicapping
04:23 Michigan vs St Louis
07:46 Louisville vs Michigan State
11:20 Best Bet Duke vs TCU
15:52 Houston vs Texas A&M
18:04 Gonzaga vs Texas
21:15 Illinois vs VCU
24:31 Vandy vs Nebraska
27:26 Best Bet Arkansas vs High Point
33:24 NIT Quick Hits
36:04 Hockey Best Bet Winnipeg
40:23 Other NHL Leans
44:19 Sharks Over Flyers
45:39 Kraken vs Blue Jackets
47:04 Islanders Canadiens Read
48:03 Leafs Senators Spot
49:22 Blues Canucks Money
50:26 Bruins Red Wings TV
51:46 Lightning Oilers Finale
53:03 NBA Slate Begins
53:18 Thunder Wizards Avoid
54:55 Grizzlies Hornets Huge Spread
58:15 Lakers Magic Fade
01:00:19 Cavs Pelicans Injury
01:03:38 Warriors Hawks Over
01:06:09 Heat Rockets Lean
01:07:33 Pacers Spurs Stayaway
01:10:29 Clippers Mavs Market
01:11:50 Sixers Jazz Injuries
01:16:43 Bucks Suns Best Bet
01:20:34 Plays Recap Outro

#bets #sportsbetting  #daily #ncaaf #nfl #nhl #nba #ncaab #ncaa #marchmadness #bracket

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NCAAB
Northern Iowa +9.5

NHL
CGY -103

March Madness Picks & Betting Breakdown: Northern Iowa +9.5, Calgary ML + Full Friday Slate Reactions

Toad opens in frustration over a prolonged losing slump, then recaps Thursday’s results: Hawaii failed to cover, Texas cashed, and Seattle lost by an empty-net goal. He breaks down Friday’s March Madness slate with bracket and betting thoughts on multiple matchups, including Kentucky–Santa Clara, Texas Tech–Akron, Alabama–Hofstra (noting Aiden Holloway’s arrest and lineup impact), Utah State–Villanova, Tennessee–Miami (OH), Clemson–Iowa, and more, plus reactions to Wisconsin’s collapse and North Carolina’s blown lead vs VCU. His official college play is Northern Iowa +9.5 vs St. John’s, citing pace, defense, and matchup factors. In NHL he adds Calgary moneyline vs Florida due to scheduling and spot edges, while giving brief leans on other hockey, NBA, and late tournament games.

00:00 Slump Spiral Intro
01:33 Show Opens March Madness
01:41 Yesterday’s Bad Beats
02:49 Bracket Rants and Upsets
06:17 Game Breakdown Kentucky
09:43 Akron vs Texas Tech
12:27 Arizona Blowout Dilemma
15:15 Virginia and Big Spreads
17:46 Tennessee State Fade Spot
19:49 Hofstra Upset Case
24:56 Utah State vs Villanova
26:45 Tennessee vs Miami Ohio
30:57 Clemson vs Iowa Read
33:34 Best Bet Northern Iowa
38:13 Northern Iowa Pick
38:52 UCLA vs UCF Breakdown
42:04 Queens vs Purdue Angle
45:58 Broadcast Rant and Florida Blowout
48:52 Kansas vs Cal Baptist Preview
52:35 UConn vs Furman Spread Talk
54:37 Missouri vs Miami Nightcap
57:05 NHL Slate and Calgary Play
01:06:03 NBA Leans and Passes
01:14:41 Final Plays and Signoff

#bets #sportsbetting  #daily #ncaaf #nfl #nhl #nba #ncaab #ncaa #marchmadness #bracket

My links
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NCAAB
Hawaii +15.5
Texas +2.5

NHL
SEA +117

March Madness Day 1 Bets & Picks: Hawaii +15.5, Texas +2.5 + NHL Kraken ML (Slump Update)
The host vents about a brutal losing slump and recaps a 1–3 night across hockey and NBA, then previews Thursday, March 19—the start of the NCAA Tournament’s first round. He offers general tournament betting notes (new venues favor early unders, fading teams peaking late) and breaks down multiple matchups with leans, including Ohio State/TCU, Troy/Nebraska, South Florida/Louisville, High Point/Wisconsin, McNeese/Vanderbilt, North Dakota State/Michigan State, North Carolina/VCU, and others. His two college basketball bets are Hawaii +15.5 vs Arkansas and Texas +2.5 vs BYU. He skips NBA betting, briefly discusses several NBA games, and gives one NHL best bet: Seattle Kraken moneyline vs Nashville, plus NHL leans on other matchups. He plugs his bracket special, social accounts, and Patreon.

00:00 Slump Spiral Cold Open
01:32 Tournament Day Reset
01:51 Bad Beats Recap
03:51 Bracket Gripes SMU
05:16 Game Breakdown TCU OSU
08:21 Troy Nebraska Angle
11:00 South Florida Louisville
13:39 High Point Wisconsin
17:44 Duke Siena Blowout
19:49 McNeese Vanderbilt
22:30 NDSU Michigan State
23:57 Best Bet Hawaii
28:07 UNC vs VCU Read
30:06 Howard vs Michigan
32:26 Play Texas vs BYU
36:23 St Marys vs AandM
40:30 Illinois vs Penn Breakdown
41:59 Travel Spots and Locations
42:50 St Louis vs Georgia 9-8
45:22 Gonzaga vs Kennesaw State
47:28 Idaho vs Houston Value
49:19 Switching to NHL Card
51:33 Jets Bruins Spot
52:56 Islanders Senators Read
55:08 Rangers Bounceback Angle
58:08 Seattle Moneyline Pick
59:58 Late NHL Leans
01:06:15 NBA Quick Rundown
01:08:28 Heat vs Lakers Strong Lean
01:09:57 More NBA Leans and Injuries
01:17:01 Plays Recap and Signoff

#bets #sportsbetting  #daily #ncaaf #nfl #nhl #nba #ncaab #ncaa #marchmadness #bracket

My links
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A Game Theory Approach. Building it Backwards.

#bets #sportsbetting  #daily #ncaaf #nfl #nhl #nba #ncaab #bracket #marchmadness #ncaa

My links
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NBA
CHI +7.5
HOU -2.5

NHL
STL -121
PHI +130

March 18 Betting Breakdown: First Four Leans, NIT Thoughts, and 4 Picks (NHL + NBA)
Toad opens frustrated about a long slump, then breaks down the March Madness First Four results and previews Wednesday’s matchups (Lehigh vs Prairie View A&M; SMU vs Miami Ohio), noting betting splits, venue factors in Dayton, and potential value spots, but ultimately gives no college plays. He runs through multiple NIT first-round games with situational/travel and KenPom-based angles, including Wake Forest vs Navy and several notable travel/elevation spots. In the NHL, he leans Rangers over Devils, likes Carolina over Pittsburgh, and adds two official plays: St. Louis moneyline at Calgary and Philadelphia moneyline at Anaheim based on road-trip return spots. In the NBA, he discusses key slate spots and gives two official plays: Bulls +7.5 vs Toronto and Rockets -2.5 vs Lakers as a zigzag bounce-back.

00:00 Slump Spiral Cold Open
01:32 Show Intro March Madness Recap
03:31 First Four Lehigh Prairie View
05:02 SMU vs Miami Ohio Breakdown
10:59 NIT Wake Forest vs Navy
13:48 NIT Kent State vs Illinois State
15:59 NIT Travel Spots Utah Valley Game
20:44 NIT Dayton Bradley New Mexico
26:40 NIT Murray State Nevada St Joes
30:13 NIT UIC at Cal Angle
32:44 NHL Devils at Rangers Preview
35:05 Penguins at Hurricanes Spot
36:07 Canes Bounceback Spot
37:14 Capitals Fade Senators
38:08 Stars vs Avs Showdown
40:09 Blues Added to Card
42:58 Flyers Road Trip Angle
46:17 NBA Slate Begins
46:27 Celtics vs Warriors Injuries
48:31 Thunder Huge Road Spread
51:52 Bulls Plus Points Pick
53:56 Jazz Wolves and Pelicans Talk
57:27 Hawks Mavs and Nuggets Grizz
01:00:37 Rockets Zigzag vs Lakers
01:05:13 Plays Recap and Bracket Plug

#bets #sportsbetting  #daily #ncaaf #nfl #nhl #nba #ncaab #ncaa #marchmadness #bracket