The federal Conservatives have enjoyed a double-digit lead for around a year, but the latest ballot tracking from Nanos Research shows people have been shifting their support to the Liberals after Prime Minister Justin Trudeau announced he's stepping down.

Pollster Nik Nanos and host Michael Stittle look at how Trudeau's resignation, the Liberal leadership race and U.S. President Donald Trump pushing tariffs and threatening the annexation of Canada has forced Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre to find a new strategy as an inevitable election nears.

HOST: Michael Stittle
GUEST: Nik Nanos
PRODUCER: Phil Hahn
EDITOR: Dell Rasmussen

A majority of Canadians think their country's reputation on the international stage has tanked, and in fact the numbers are the worst they've ever been in Nanos Research tracking.  Pollster Nik Nanos and host Michael Stittle also discuss the latest ballot numbers, and why the Liberals might have seen a slight bump in the past four weeks.

HOST: Michael Stittle
GUEST: Nik Nanos
PRODUCER: Phil Hahn
EDITOR: Dell Rasmussen

Pierre Poilievre has been heavily criticizing the Liberals on cost-of-living issues, and the latest Nanos numbers show his Conservatives are still in strong majority territory.

Host Michael Stittle and pollster Nik Nanos discuss how Conservatives are making significant gains across the country, including in traditional Liberal strongholds in the Greater Toronto Area and British Columbia, according to Nanos seat projections.

Meanwhile, the Liberal government's recent economic measures, such as the GST/HST holiday and $250 payments to low-income Canadians, have been poorly received by the public. And while economic uncertainty increases in Canada amid concerns about a potential recession, the timing of the next federal election is also up in the air.

HOST: Michael Stittle

GUEST:  Nik Nanos

PRODUCERS: Phil Hahn, Jesse Tahirali

EDITORS:  Jesse Tahirali, Dell Rasmussen

Prime Minister Justin Trudeau’s Liberal government rolls out a plan for tax relief and rebate cheques, but Nik Nanos calls it a ‘well-intentioned, epic failure.’ The exclusion of non-working seniors has prompted a swift backlash.

The NDP tries to gain from the Liberals’ messy roll-out, as ballot tracking shows them close behind.

Michael and Nik also discuss the latest provincial election result as premiers rush to get ahead of a possible federal election, and the impact of Donald Trump’s tariff threat.

CREDITS
Host: Michael Stittle
Guest: Nik Nanos
Producers: Phil Hahn, Jesse Tahirali and Dell Rasmussen
Editor: Jesse Tahirali

What did Trump's win say about what voters were looking for, and what can Canadian politicians learn from the U.S. election?

Pollster Nik Nanos and host Michael Stittle talk about the issues we have in common with our American neighbours, and who's better positioned between Prime Minister Justin Trudeau and Opposition Leader Pierre Poilievre as we head closer to our own election in 2025?

HOST:  Michael Stittle

GUEST:  Nik Nanos, Nanos Research

PRODUCERS:  Phil Hahn, Jesse Tahirali and Dell Rasmussen

EDITOR:  Jesse Tahirali

Welcome back to our first episode since we broke for the summer. We open the show with the latest Nanos ballot tracking in which the Conservatives have not only widened their lead, but something significant has happened between the Liberals and NDP.

CTV News' Michael Stittle and pollster Nik Nanos discuss what this could mean for the governing minority Liberals and the timing for the next election. Nik also goes region by region to share his latest seat projections -- how popular support for each party would translate into seats if an election were to be held today. There are some significant changes worth paying attention to in places like the national capital region and B.C.'s Lower Mainland.

CREDITS

Host: Michael Stittle
Guest: Nik Nanos
Producers: Phil Hahn, Jesse Tahirali and Dell Rasmussen
Editor:  Jesse Tahirali

After a stunning Toronto byelection victory by the Conservatives, pollster Nik Nanos looks at what other ridings across the country -- currently in Liberal hands -- might be taken away by Pierre Poiliever's party if an election were held today.

Nik and host Michael Stittle also discuss how Canadians are feeling right now about their economic future, and should things turn brighter before the next election, what that could mean politically for Justin Trudeau's leadership.

This is our last episode before we break for the summer. Thank you for watching, and we'll be back in the fall.

HOST:  Michael Stittle
GUEST: Nik Nanos
PRODUCERS:  Phil Hahn and Patrick Rail
EDITOR: Jesse Tahirali

Note:   In the discussion on Liberal support in Alberta, Michael Stittle mentioned Anne McGrath. He meant Anne McLelland, the former Liberal cabinet minister. Anne McGrath was the NDP national director.

With a big test for the Liberals coming up later this month in a federal byelection, host Michael Stittle and pollster Nik Nanos talk about what the results need to be to ramp up -- or tamp down -- the conservation over Justin Trudeau's leadership.

Nik and Michael also discuss a recent survey about how Canadians feel about who should lead the Liberals in the next election.  And finally, will the Liberals be successful in making the capital gains tax into a wedge issue against the Conservatives?

CREDITS:

Host: Michael Stittle

Guest: Nik Nanos

Producers:  Phil Hahn and Patrick Rail

Editor: Jesse Tahirali

CTV News' Michael Stittle and pollster Nik Nanos break down the latest tracking data from Nanos Research that shows Pierre Poilievre's Conservatives continue to hold a double-digit lead over Justin Trudeau's Liberals.

But a different Nanos survey that looks into the leaders' credibility in Canadians' eyes is hardly flattering for either. In fact, Nik says the results are quite 'brutal' for both Trudeau and Poilievre.  
 
Michael and Nik also react to the increasing combativeness and lack of decorum during question period in the House of Commons. Are the blows landing with Canadians or is the communications approach misguided?

Finally, a dim view of the economy continues to impact the popularities of leaders in both Canada and the United States. Nik says that negative consumer confidence and 'joyless prosperity' is a big problem for incumbent governments -– and it could become a big problem for U.S. President Joe Biden.

CREDITS:

Host: Michael Stittle

Guest: Nik Nanos

Producers:  Phil Hahn and Patrick Rail

Editor: Jesse Tahirali

When it comes to Canadians' pocketbooks, pollster Nik Nanos says he hasn't seen this much pessimism in a very long time.

Nik and Trend Line host Michael Stittle also discuss how Canadians are divided over the capital gains tax and its effect on investments, as well as how delaying the tax until end of June could result in a short-term windfall for the federal Liberals.

Also, what do the Liberals have to do to reverse their negative trend line when it comes to popular support, and what do the Conservatives have to do to keep theirs positive?

CREDITS:

Host: Michael Stittle

Guest: Nik Nanos

Producers: Phil Hahn and Patrick Rail

Editor: Jesse Tahirali