Brian Szytel hosts Dividend Cafe on Tuesday, March 31, recapping a broad market rally with the S&P 500 up about 2%, the Nasdaq up about 3%, and bonds higher as the 10-year yield fell roughly 3.5 bps to around 4.30%. He says headline-driven moves and short covering are fueling volatility, noting markets react to shifting commentary about a potential end to the war and the Strait of Hormuz. He addresses a question about the U.S. stopping oil exports, arguing it’s unlikely, would reduce profits and jobs, and U.S. refineries are largely configured for heavier crude unlike domestic light sweet production, making a shift a decade-long project. Economic updates include the Case-Shiller 20-City Home Price Index (+0.2% in January; +1.2% YoY), JOLTS job openings at 6.9 million (in line), and consumer confidence beating in March.

00:00 Welcome and Setup

00:19 Market Rally Recap

00:46 Headlines and Positioning

01:42 Oil Export Thought Experiment

02:31 Housing Price Update

03:13 Jobs and Confidence Data

04:08 Wrap Up and Tomorrow

04:24 Disclosures and Disclaimer

Links mentioned in this episode:

TheBahnsenGroup.com