Ukraine War Briefings with Jason Jay Smart

Putin BETRAYED: His inner circle is stealing war billions as a $2.4B panic rocks the Kremlin. This is the story of how the system rots from within, forcing a desperate Putin to trap his last dollars.

The rot is now a full-blown financial crisis. Ukrainian drone strikes have triggered the "Carpet" plan nearly 500 times, costing Russia's aviation industry a stunning $2.4 billion. In a clear sign of panic, the Kremlin is drafting new capital control laws to ban all foreign currency operations by decree. This is a desperate move to stop the financial bleeding and fence in the economy. This economic stress is also causing strategic industries, like the world's largest titanium producer VSMPO-Avisma, to cut staff and halt production.

While the state panics, Putin's inner circle is cashing out. A massive corruption scheme, detailed in new reports, involves Deputy Prime Minister Dmitry Patrushev and his "common-law wife," Agriculture Minister Oksana Lut. Over $120 million in state bank loans, meant for strategic war plants, were allegedly siphoned off by an oligarch. This stolen money was used to buy a luxury hotel in Turkey, private jets, and $50,000 Hermes bags for Minister Lut, a shocking betrayal of the frontline effort.

This internal rot has a devastating human cost. As the Kremlin pushes its "furnace" strategy at Pokrovsk and Kupiansk, it unleashes a brutal wave of internal repression to maintain control. The FSB is seizing control of all surveillance tech, while lawmakers push to jail 14-year-olds for sabotage. Political prisoners are being left to die. Activist Olga Komleva has lost her ability to speak in prison, and community leader Usman Baratov states from a punishment cell, “They are waiting for me to die like Alexei Navalny.”

CHAPTERS:

00:00 - Intro

01:23 - The Truth vs. Western Media Narratives

01:56 - Putin's Desperate Decree

03:11 - The Inner Circle's Betrayal

03:40 - Corruption's Fatal Blow

08:21 - Repression, Sabotage, and the End

12:14 - Outro

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Dr. Jason Jay Smart, also known as Jason Smart and Jason J Smart, is a political adviser who has lived and worked in Ukraine, Moldova, Kyrgyzstan, Kazakhstan, Russia, and Latin America. In 2010, he was banned for life by the Kremlin for supporting Russia’s democratic opposition to Vladimir Putin.

Putin’s regime is entering its most unstable phase in decades. New Ukrainian drone strikes have crippled key parts of Russia’s energy network and exposed the weakness of its war economy. Fires tore through Gazprom’s Orenburg gas plant, one of Russia’s largest, after aprecision strike that halted gas intake from Kazakhstan. In Samara, explosions at the Novokuybyshevsk refinery disrupted production that fuels the Russian army. Satellite images confirm that 73 percent of Crimea’s Feodosia oil terminal is destroyed, severing a major supply route to occupied territories. 
The damage extends far beyond the battlefield. Power substations feeding Moscow and central industrial regions have been repeatedly hit, threatening cascading blackouts. The Kremlin is quietly raising taxes, slashing enlistment payments, and admitting shortfalls in regional budgets. Inflation is rising, housing starts are collapsing, and consumer spending is plunging.  
Abroad, pressure mounts. The IMF cut Russia’s 2025 growth forecast to 0.6 percent. The coal industry has reported losses exceeding 225 billion rubles this year. EU and US sanctions are expanding, targeting energy and finance, while unrest spreads through the regions.  
Ukraine’s precision strikes are dismantling the pillars of Putin’s system. The energy grid, the economy, and the illusion of control are all breaking at once.

CHAPTERS:

00:00 – Intro

00:55 - Spy Tradecraft is Dead: The Rise of Telegram Sabotage

02:35 - Russian Army Collapse: Losses & Record Desertions

05:18 - The War at Home: Ukraine Strikes Cripple Russian Energy

06:38 - The Russian Economy Is Breaking: $8B Deficits & Tax Hikes

11:21 - Putin's Isolation: Why a Kremlin Power Play is Near 

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Dr. Jason Jay Smart, also known as Jason Smart and Jason J Smart, is a political adviser who has lived and worked in Ukraine, Moldova, Kyrgyzstan, Kazakhstan, Russia, and Latin America. In 2010, he was banned for life by the Kremlin for supporting Russia’s democratic opposition to Vladimir Putin.

At the front where Ukraine’s defenders face Russia’s relentless attacks, a new form of warfare is taking shape. It is no longer defined by tanks or manpower but by speed, intelligence, and precision. This is drone warfare, a revolution that is rewriting the rules of modern combat.

I recently returned from Ukraine’s front near Sumy and Kharkiv. What I saw there changed how the world should understand this war. Ukrainian soldiers now rely on reconnaissance drones that detect enemy movements minutes before an ambush. Strike drones that cost as little as 500 dollars are destroying Russian vehicles worth millions. Medical drones deliver lifesaving supplies when the roads are destroyed, cutting evacuation times from hours to minutes.

Behind this transformation stand United Unmanned Systems and the European Resilience Initiative Center. Together they are producing more than three million drones each year. This scale is turning Ukraine’s airspace into a living nervous system that senses, decides, and strikes faster than any invader can react.

Russia’s size and economy cannot match this intelligence driven approach. Every drone flight now delivers both tactical precision and economic disruption. Fuel depots burn, railways stall, and the entire logistics chain of the invasion slows under its own weight.

This is the story of how innovation, courage, and coordination are reshaping the future of warfare and why Ukraine’s defenders continue to stand firm against overwhelming odds.

CHAPTERS:

00:00 Introduction from the Front

00:45 The Endless Sound of Artillery

02:10 What I Saw in Ukraine Changed Everything

03:05 The Birth of a New Kind of Warfare

04:00 Drones Turn the Tide

05:10 How Small Eyes See the Battlefield First

06:00 Precision Strikes that Cost Almost Nothing

07:00 Lifesaving Logistics from the Sky

08:00 How United Unmanned Systems Builds 3 Million Drones

09:00 When Technology Beats Size and Mass

10:00 The Human Cost Inside the Trenches

11:00 How Drones Cripple Russia’s Economy

12:00 What the Future of War Now Looks Like

13:00 Why Ukraine Still Holds the Line

13:40 Final Reflections and Message from Kyiv

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Dr. Jason Jay Smart, also known as Jason Smart and Jason J Smart, is a political adviser who has lived and worked in Ukraine, Moldova, Kyrgyzstan, Kazakhstan, Russia, and Latin America. In 2010, he was banned for life by the Kremlin for supporting Russia’s democratic opposition to Vladimir Putin.

#Ukraine #Drones #Russia #Frontline #Innovation #WarTechnology #JasonSmart

Russia continues to attack Ukrainian cities, but its strength is fading. What began as terror is now a sign of collapse. The Kremlin knows it is cornered. Families shelter 106 meters underground in Kyiv’s Arsenalna station and wake to light, water, and defiance. Ukraine has adapted and now survives strikes that once would have crippled it.When the war began, Ukraine had almost no air defense. Today interceptor drones stop hundreds of Russian missiles and drones before they reach their targets. These life saving drones, funded by viewers, are changing the course of the war.At the same time, Ukraine is hitting the foundation of Russia’s power. Fifty eight energy sites have been destroyed since August, cutting oil output by almost forty percent. Refineries burn, exports fall, and the ruble weakens. India and China are hesitating to buy Russian oil under United States pressure. Debt and deficits grow as winter approaches. Even Putin’s submarines are failing at sea.This is how Russia loses. Not only on the battlefield, but in the budgets, refineries, and factories that once powered its war. Ukraine’s precision and resilience are forcing the Kremlin to pay for its own aggression.Support Ukraine’s life saving drones. Details are in the first comment.CHAPTERS:00:00 Cornered Kremlin00:55 Life Underground in Kyiv02:06 Ukraine Learns to Survive03:11 Moscow’s Losing Game04:19 Drones That Save Lives05:09 The Oil War Russia Cannot Win06:26 Sanctions and Buyers Pull Back07:43 Moscow Runs Out of Cash08:39 The Failing War Machine09:31 India’s Calculus Changes10:16 The Price of Aggression👏 Become a Channel Member: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UC1txJ3q_-g_vhOeIwYOKEeQ/join‼️ Calling all science & tech folks: https://technologyforukraine.com/⚡⚡Connect with Jason for real-time analysis & verified updates: Substack: https://jasonjaysmart.substack.comSpotify: https://creators.spotify.com/pod/show/jason-jay-smartTiktok: https://www.tiktok.com/@jasonjsmart X (Twitter): https://x.com/OfficeJJSmart Facebook Personal: https://Facebook.com/JasonJaySmart Facebook Professional: https://Facebook.com/OfficeJJSmart LinkedIn: https://Linkedin.com/in/JasonJaySmart Mastodon: https://defenseofliberty.social/@OfficeJJSmart BlueSky: https://bsky.app/profile/JJSmart.bsky.social YouTube: https://YouTube.com/@JasonJaySmart Website: https://JasonJaySmart.com.Dr. Jason Jay Smart, also known as Jason Smart and Jason J Smart, is a political adviser who has lived and worked in Ukraine, Moldova, Kyrgyzstan, Kazakhstan, Russia, and Latin America. In 2010, he was banned for life by the Kremlin for supporting Russia’s democratic opposition to Vladimir Putin.#Ukraine #Russia #Putin #OilWar #Drones #Sanctions #DefendUkraine

Inside Putin's army, a chilling new slang has emerged: "obnulenie," to be zeroed out. This is the fate of Russian soldiers who refuse to fight, executed by their own commanders in a brutal campaign to enforce obedience. This internal collapse is now spilling into the streets of Russia, where protesters chant for Swan Lake, the iconic ballet broadcast during the 1991 Soviet coup, a clear and potent signal of regime crisis that every Russian understands.

This is not an isolated phenomenon. The rot is systemic. With over 20,000 court cases againstits own soldiers for refusal to fight, the Russian military is at war with itself. The public feels this decay, with polling showing 41% of Russians believe the war has "crippled the souls" of its soldiers, and 39% now expect a surge in violent crime when they return.

Ukraine's precision strikes are accelerating this collapse, exposing the fragility of Putin's war machine. A fire at a critical oil depot in Crimea burned for days, triggering fuel rationing and widespread shortages across the peninsula. A single strike on a power substation plunged three separate Russian regions into darkness. These attacks reveal a hollowed-out state unable to protect.

CHAPTERS:

00:00 - Intro

01:58 - Russian Military's Internal Collapse: Executing Own Troops

02:35 - Drone Success: Your Donations are Saving Lives

05:21 - The Dark Reality: Russia's Energy Grid Under Attack

06:43 - Why Russian Elites Are Shaking Down Own Citizens

08:32 - The End of Putin: Cracks in the Kremlin's Facade

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Dr. Jason Jay Smart, also known as Jason Smart and Jason J Smart, is a political adviser who has lived and worked in Ukraine, Moldova, Kyrgyzstan, Kazakhstan, Russia, and Latin America. In 2010, he was banned for life by the Kremlin for supporting Russia’s democratic opposition to Vladimir Putin.

Russia is spiraling into a systemic financial crisisas the colossal cost of the war economy hits critical mass. The Bank of Russia has been forced to maintain the key interest rate at a suffocating 21%, a historic high that defies political pressure and effectively shuts down the civilian sector by pushing commercial borrowing rates past 25%. This desperate monetary policy struggles to contain the extreme inflation fueled by unchecked military spending, generating a deep recessionary pressure on non-military industries.

Simultaneously, the federal budget deficit hasballooned dramatically, nearly doubling this year to 5.7 trillion rubles as war expenditures soar. This massive fiscal shortfall is compounded by a catastrophic oil revenue slump. Ukrainian drone attacks have successfully paralyzed up to 40% of thecountry's primary refineries, causing diesel exports to drop to a five-year low and fundamentally crippling a core revenue source for the nation’s GDP.

The state's financial distress and sweeping foreign sanctions have a direct, chilling effect on Russia's ruling elite. This economic turmoil is rapidly shrinking the wealth of the country's richest. A major group of at least 38 of Russia's wealthiest oligarchs has reportedly seen catastrophic losses in their total holdings due to the toxic combination of tight monetary policy, war-fueled instability, and asset freezes in the West. Their diminished financial power reflects the decay at the top of the Russian financial ecosystem, threatening the long-term stability of the Kremlin's inner circle. The Kremlin is cornered: it cannot lower rates without triggering hyperinflation, while the Finance Ministry is running out of resources to fund the war machine without collapsing the non-military sectors. This perfect storm confirms that the financial foundation of the Russian state is unstable.

CHAPTERS:

00:00 - Intro

02:15 - Why Russia is Losing the War: The Financial Disaster

04:37 - Urgent Drone Fundraising for Ukraine'sVictory

06:08 - Fuel Shortages & Slumping Oil Revenue: Drone Impact

08:40 - Russia's $53 Billion Deficit & Vanishing Reserves

12:37 - Corporate Collapse & $160 Billion in Dirty Cash

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Dr. Jason Jay Smart, also known as Jason Smart and Jason J Smart, is a political adviser who has lived and worked in Ukraine, Moldova, Kyrgyzstan, Kazakhstan, Russia, and Latin America. In 2010, he was banned for life by the Kremlin for supporting Russia’s democratic opposition to Vladimir Putin.

A quiet collapse is accelerating across Russia, not on the battlefield, but at the gas pump and in the nation's power grid. Ukrainian precision strikes have systematically dismantled Russia's energy infrastructure, taking an estimated 38 to 40 percent of its primary refining capacity offline as of October 2025. This investigation details the cascading failures, from the October 11 strike on the Bashneft refinery 1,400 kilometers inside Russia to the sabotage of critical rail lines by the ATESH partisan movement. The result is a grim reality for the Russian people: 57 regions now face fuel shortages, occupied Crimea is under strict 20-liter rationing, and Soviet-style queues are becoming a familiar sight. The empire built on oil is now running on fumes.

The economic fallout is just as severe. With its Urals crude trading at a steep discount and refined product exports hitting a decade low, Moscow's budget is hemorrhaging cash. To prevent total collapse, the Kremlin is forced to pay out billions in open-ended subsidies, turning a temporary patch into a permanent fiscal drain. This financial desperation is choking the life out of the domestic economy, with major industrial plants like Uralvagonzod and KamAZ shifting to three-day workweeks as credit dries up. The Russian economy is now bleeding cash just to keep its pumps from running completely dry.

This dual crisis of fuel and finance has triggered the final, most dangerous phase: political decay. To plug the holes in the budget, the Kremlin has turned on its own, launching a wave of asset seizures against its oligarchs. This has shattered the elite pact, turning quiet capital flight into an open exodus of people and wealth to hubs like Dubai. When oil stops flowing, money stops circulating, and the state begins seizing assets. Russia’s war economy is shrinking into a poorer, brittle command state run by fear and decrees, where every oligarch boarding a private jet is another crack in the system's foundation.

CHAPTERS:

00:00 Intro

01:01 Capital Flight & The Predatory State

03:28 Ukraine's Blackout Strategy: Critical Infrastructure Attacks

06:18 Putin Cuts Fuel Subsidies: Russia's Budget Crisis

09:49 Internal Purge: The Arrests of Russian Generals

11:30 Who Will Replace Putin? The Kremlin Power Play

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Dr. Jason Jay Smart, also known as Jason Smart and Jason J Smart, is a political adviser who has lived and worked in Ukraine, Moldova, Kyrgyzstan, Kazakhstan, Russia, and Latin America. In 2010, he was banned for life by the Kremlin for supporting Russia’s democratic opposition to Vladimir Putin.

Behind Russia’s carefully constructed wall of propaganda lies a country in a state of systemic collapse. The official numbers from state media hide a devastating truth: an economy that is rapidly decaying, a workforce that is underpaid or unemployed, and a regime that can no longer financially sustain its protracted war in Ukraine. In this detailed analysis, Jason Jay Smart exposes the deep fractures tearing apart the foundations of Putin’s power, connecting the dots between crippling international sanctions, rampant internal corruption, and the billions in frozen assets that are now beyond Moscow's reach.The evidence of this decay is undeniable and widespread. Factories that once fueled the Russian war machine now sit silent, their production lines halted by a lack of Western components. The aviation industry is in a death spiral, with national airlines cannibalizing parked jets just to find spare parts to keep a dwindling number of planes in the air. For ordinary citizens, this economic failure is felt daily as crippling inflation rises and employers are forced to cut hours and salaries. Meanwhile, Europe is finalizing plans to seize Russia’s frozen sovereign assets to fund the reconstruction of Ukraine, a decisive financial maneuver that will permanently cripple Moscow’s ability to project power on the world stage.This internal collapse is mirrored by a series of catastrophic failures on the battlefield. Russia's losses of soldiers and equipment are staggering, and the state is rapidly running out of trained manpower to fill the gaps. High-ranking generals are routinely dismissed or jailed as the Kremlin scrambles for scapegoats. Geopolitically, former allies are now exploiting Russia's weakness. China, for instance, now dictates the price of Russian oil and gas, squeezing the last significant source of revenue for Putin's government. The pattern is a haunting echo of the Soviet collapse: a state defined by international isolation, brutal internal repression, and complete financial exhaustion. The war that was meant to restore an empire is instead destroying the country from within. The collapse is not a future possibility. It has already begun.CHAPTERS:00:00 – The Rust Beneath Russia’s Facade01:28 – Economic Decay Hidden by Propaganda03:07 – Sanctions and Frozen Assets Bite Back05:02 – Factories and Railways Shut Down06:40 – Aviation Crisis: Planes Without Parts08:25 – Soldiers, Generals, and the Cost of Collapse10:14 – China Tightens Its Grip on Russia12:05 – The Soviet Pattern Repeats13:35 – Why Russia’s Fall Is Inevitable14:22 – Endscreen | Support Ukraine👏 Become a Channel Member: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UC1txJ3q_-g_vhOeIwYOKEeQ/join⚡⚡Connect with Jason for real-time analysis & verified updates: Substack: https://jasonjaysmart.substack.comSpotify: https://creators.spotify.com/pod/show/jason-jay-smartTiktok: https://www.tiktok.com/@jasonjsmart X (Twitter): https://x.com/OfficeJJSmart Facebook Personal: https://Facebook.com/JasonJaySmart Facebook Professional: https://Facebook.com/OfficeJJSmart LinkedIn: https://Linkedin.com/in/JasonJaySmart Mastodon: https://defenseofliberty.social/@OfficeJJSmart BlueSky: https://bsky.app/profile/JJSmart.bsky.social YouTube: https://YouTube.com/@JasonJaySmart Website: https://JasonJaySmart.com.Dr. Jason Jay Smart, also known as Jason Smart and Jason J Smart, is a political adviser who has lived and worked in Ukraine, Moldova, Kyrgyzstan, Kazakhstan, Russia, and Latin America. In 2010, he was banned for life by the Kremlin for supporting Russia’s democratic opposition to Vladimir Putin.#Russia #Putin #Ukraine #Sanctions #Economy

Russia is collapsing from the inside. Ukraine’s deep strikes are destroying the fuel, power, and command centers that once fed Putin’s war. Refineries are burning, depots are exploding, and pipelines across Russia’s heartland are falling silent. Each strike cuts energy to the front and exposes how fragile the Russian economy has become.From Volgograd to Belgorod, explosions light up the night sky as Ukraine hits the targets that matter most. The Kremlin’s war machine is running out of power, and the panic among the elites is spreading. Putin’s energy empire is crumbling, and his generals are losing confidence. Even Moscow now faces the truth that Ukraine can reach anywhere inside Russia.This is not random destruction. It is strategy. Ukraine is dismantling the infrastructure that keeps the Kremlin alive. Every destroyed refinery, every disabled radar, every drone strike weakens Russia’s ability to fight and to survive.Help Ukraine’s defenders continue this mission. Every donation to our drone fund is matched and saves lives on the front. The link is in the first comment.CHAPTERS:00:00 — Ukraine’s Deep Strikes Begin01:42 — Fuel Depots and Refineries in Flames03:30 — Russia’s Industrial Heartland Under Attack05:18 — Panic Among Elites and Generals07:06 — Putin’s Failing Command and Flight Instinct08:55 — Drone Warfare Changes the Battlefield10:21 — Russia’s Energy Empire Starts to Collapse12:04 — Economic Shockwaves Across the Country13:25 — Can Putin Survive His Own War?14:40 — How You Can Help Ukraine Win👏 Become a Channel Member: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UC1txJ3q_-g_vhOeIwYOKEeQ/join⚡⚡Connect with Jason for real-time analysis & verified updates: Substack: https://jasonjaysmart.substack.comSpotify: https://creators.spotify.com/pod/show/jason-jay-smartTiktok: https://www.tiktok.com/@jasonjsmart X (Twitter): https://x.com/OfficeJJSmart Facebook Personal: https://Facebook.com/JasonJaySmart Facebook Professional: https://Facebook.com/OfficeJJSmart LinkedIn: https://Linkedin.com/in/JasonJaySmart Mastodon: https://defenseofliberty.social/@OfficeJJSmart BlueSky: https://bsky.app/profile/JJSmart.bsky.social YouTube: https://YouTube.com/@JasonJaySmart Website: https://JasonJaySmart.com.Dr. Jason Jay Smart, also known as Jason Smart and Jason J Smart, is a political adviser who has lived and worked in Ukraine, Moldova, Kyrgyzstan, Kazakhstan, Russia, and Latin America. In 2010, he was banned for life by the Kremlin for supporting Russia’s democratic opposition to Vladimir Putin.#Ukraine #Russia #Putin #War #EnergyCrisis #Geopolitics #Kyiv

The catastrophic situation inside Russia is accelerating toward an undeniable economic collapse. Public services and even public transportation are beginning to suffer. More crucially, we are witnessing an unprecedented, all-out crackdown on free speech and an insane level of digital monitoring. Tech titan Pavel Durov, the founder of Telegram and VKontakte, has publicly come out with a grave statement, confirming that authorities are trying to clamp down on basic freedoms. This is not just political suppression; it is a desperate attempt to hide a rapidly deteriorating economic disaster from the population.

The Kremlin wants to project an image of stability, but the numbers show a total catastrophe. The Moscow Stock Exchange recently lost 1% of the country’s GDP in a matter of hours, fueled by souring sentiment that the war might not end soon. The Russian business community is attempting to flee, realizing that getting paid in devaluing rubles is making commerce impossible. With non-indexed pensions losing value every day and regions begging Moscow for bailouts due to a lack of liquidity, the entire country is functioning like a financial Ponzi scheme.

It is clear that everything happening today is not for Russia's national interest, but purely for the self-interest of one man: Vladimir Putin. This war of terrorism is waged to benefit his mafia clan. We analyze the immense and unique pressure on Putin from the one group he truly must fear: the oligarchy. The system is buckling under the weight of this delusion.CHAPTERS:

00:00 Intro01:25 Kremlin Hard Line Crashes Moscow Stock Exchange02:16 Moscow Launches New Wave of Terrorism on Ukraine05:23 Ukraine Strikes Back: Targeting Russia's War Factories07:10 Why the West Won't Seize Russia's $300B Assets08:56 Russia's "Stability" Illusion: Pavel Durov Warns on Free Speech12:51 The Nemtsov Tragedy: How Yeltsin Chose Putin's Mafia👏 Become a Channel Member: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UC1txJ3q_-g_vhOeIwYOKEeQ/join⚡⚡Connect with Jason for real-time analysis & verified updates: Substack: https://jasonjaysmart.substack.comSpotify: https://creators.spotify.com/pod/show/jason-jay-smartTiktok: https://www.tiktok.com/@jasonjsmart X (Twitter): https://x.com/OfficeJJSmart Facebook Personal: https://Facebook.com/JasonJaySmart Facebook Professional: https://Facebook.com/OfficeJJSmart LinkedIn: https://Linkedin.com/in/JasonJaySmart Mastodon: https://defenseofliberty.social/@OfficeJJSmart BlueSky: https://bsky.app/profile/JJSmart.bsky.social YouTube: https://YouTube.com/@JasonJaySmart Website: https://JasonJaySmart.com.Dr. Jason Jay Smart, also known as Jason Smart and Jason J Smart, is a political adviser who has lived and worked in Ukraine, Moldova, Kyrgyzstan, Kazakhstan, Russia, and Latin America. In 2010, he was banned for life by the Kremlin for supporting Russia’s democratic opposition to Vladimir Putin.