Unbreakable Ventures

🎙️ Unbreakable Ventures Fortnightly Risk Update - 12 January 2026

🔍 What's inside this episode In this fortnight’s risk update: Compounding 2026 supply-chain shocks, ransomware squeezing transport logistics, and five quick-fire threats to watch.

🧠 Main Threats Covered 1. Economic: 2026 Supply Chain Disruption Outlook Everstream Analytics is flagging a 2026 disruption landscape where climate-linked shocks, infrastructure strain, and geopolitics increasingly compound rather than occur in isolation, turning “single events” into multi-region, multi-tier supply failures.

2. Technological: Ransomware Targets Transport Logistics A Cyble report highlights a surge in ransomware activity affecting transport and logistics, with attackers exploiting the sector’s high uptime requirements and operational interdependence to force faster payments and higher disruption impact.

⚡ Quick-Fire Threats

- Cyber incidents are increasingly disrupting enterprise operations

- Honda extends China production halt amid Nexperia crisis

- Manufacturing in 2026: repatriation meets intelligent cobots

- UK businesses warned: disruption risk rising from protests

- Ransomware pressure rises on UK mid-market firms

Sources

Everstream: Predicts the top four global supply chain disruptions for 2026 (DC Velocity, accessed 11 Jan 2026)

Cyble: 2025 ransomware attacks on transport and logistics surge, disrupting global supply chains (VARINDIA, accessed 11 Jan 2026)

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🎧 This week on Unbreakable Ventures

In this solo deep dive, Ollie Law examines the Common Operating Picture paradox and why New Zealand still lacks a truly integrated national system for disaster response.

Using Taiwan’s world-leading disaster management platform as a reference point, the episode explores how communication, technology, and community preparedness combine to dramatically reduce loss of life, and what happens when those elements remain fragmented.

Drawing on real events, system failures, and international comparisons, this episode challenges the idea that planning alone equals preparedness.

In this episode, we cover:

Why Taiwan’s disaster outcomes changed after system failure, not policy debate

What a real common operating picture actually looks like in practice

How early warning, predictive modelling, and shared data save lives

Why fragmented systems quietly erode public trust

How delayed implementation compounds national and economic risk

Key takeaway:Resilience is not built through reports or roadmaps. It is built through integrated systems that work under pressure and communities that know how to act when they do.

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🎧 This week on Unbreakable Ventures

This episode features Brenden Winder, Civil Defence and Emergency Manager at Christchurch City Council, on what really happens when disasters strike — and why community leadership matters more than plans.

Drawing on experience from the Christchurch earthquakes and tsunami planning, Brenden shares hard truths about preparedness, public behaviour, and the limits of emergency services during large-scale events.

In this episode, we cover:

Why communities are the real first responders

The myth of panic — and why apathy is the bigger risk

What people misunderstand about tsunamis and evacuation

Why preparedness before an event determines recovery after it

Key takeaway:Resilience is built before a crisis — through leadership, trust, and communities that know how to act when systems are under strain.

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🎙️ Unbreakable Ventures Fortnightly Risk Update — 16 December 2025

In this fortnight's risk update: HR burnout emerges as the top business risk heading into 2026, India mandates continuous SIM-binding for messaging apps affecting 500+ million users, and five emerging threats from Cloudflare outages to AI investment warnings.

🧠 Main Threats Covered

1. HR Burnout Identified as Top Business Risk Nearly half of HR professionals warn burnout is the biggest organisational risk for 2026, with one-third considering quitting due to emotional exhaustion.

2. India's SIM-Binding Mandate Sparks Concerns One in two Indian consumers fear disruption as messaging apps must link continuously to active SIM cards, with six-hour automatic logouts for web sessions.

⚡ Quick-Fire Threats

Cloudflare admits 'letting the Internet down again' after second major outage

JPMorgan CEO warns Europe's weakness poses major economic risk to US

Thai family businesses lag in digital transformation amid declining sales

Novelis aluminum plant fires create staggering automotive supply chain toll

Anthropic CEO warns AI companies 'YOLOing' with risky capital investments

📚 Sources

Main Story 1: HR Burnout

HR labels burnout as biggest business risk for 2026 | People Management | November 2025

HR professionals identify burnout as top business risk | Guardian Nigeria | 3 December 2025

HR teams feel the strain as expectations rise, survey finds | HR Review | November 2025

The 2025 NAMI Workplace Mental Health Poll | NAMI | February 2025

The State of Workplace Burnout in 2025 Research Report | The Interview Guys | October 2025

Main Story 2: India SIM-Binding

1 in 2 people believe DoT’s SIM-binding rule will cause disruption: Survey | Business Standard | 9 December 2025

India Orders Messaging Apps to Work Only With Active SIM Cards | The Hacker News | December 2025

SIM-binding mandate forces changes to WhatsApp use in India | Digital Watch Observatory | December 2025

India’s new SIM-binding rule for WhatsApp and other apps explained | Onmanorama | 2 December 2025

Half of Indians fear SIM binding may disrupt messaging apps | Communications Today | 9 December 2025

🔗 Links

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Unbreakable Ventures Fortnightly Risk Update — 1 December 2025

In this week's risk update: the UN's inaugural Global Risk Report reveals a world dangerously under-prepared for interconnected threats, major food companies abandon net-zero timelines in favour of operational resilience, and five emerging threats we're tracking closely.

Main Threats Covered

1. The UN Global Risk Report 2024 The United Nations has released its first Global Risk Report, surveying 1,111 experts across 136 countries — and the world scores just 4.3 out of 7 on preparedness for catastrophic risks.

2. Food Companies Reframe Net-Zero Around Resilience Major food and beverage companies are revising or abandoning net-zero targets set after COP26, acknowledging that commitments were made without clear delivery pathways.

Quick-Fire Threats

1) TSMC Arizona Fab Halted by Supplier Power Outage

2) Ransomware Attacks Continue to Target Holidays and Weekends

3) Indian Firms Rank AI and Climate as Top Future Risks

4) Ethiopian Volcano Eruption Disrupts Aviation Across India

5) Optus Suffers Another Emergency Services Outage

Sources

UN Global Risk Report 2024 | United Nations | 2024

Disinformation Is a Global Risk | UN Development Coordination Office | November 2025

Food companies are reframing net-zero around resilience | AgFunderNews | November 2025

An update on Diageo's sustainability goals | Diageo | August 2025

Links

👉 Read the full episode article: unbreakableventures.com🎧 Subscribe to the podcast: https://www.fixinc.io/blog/subscribe 🧠 About Fixinc: https://www.fixinc.io/ 🤝 Meet our sponsor, F24: https://www.fixinc.io/technology/f24

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🔍 What's inside this episode

Threat concerns this week: AI demand triggers 60% memory chip price surge. UK's Storm Claudia shows compound weather risks. And 5 quick fire stories on aviation's $11B crisis and H5N5 bird flu.

In this week's risk update: Samsung's 60% memory price hike reveals how AI's explosive growth is starving global tech supply chains, Storm Claudia demonstrates the cascading chaos of compound weather events, and five emerging threats including aviation's supply chain breakdown and the first human case of a bird flu strain never before seen in people.

🧠 Main Threats Covered

1. Global Memory Chip Shortage Intensifies

Samsung raised DDR5 memory prices by 60% in two months as AI data center demand triggers a "super-cycle" shortage, collapsing inventory from 31 weeks to just 8 weeks and forcing panic buying across industries with analysts warning the crisis will persist through 2026.

2. Storm Claudia: Compound Weather Events Create Cascading Crises

Over 100mm of rain in 24 hours followed immediately by Arctic temperatures down to -7°C exposed how compound weather events—multiple hazards in rapid succession—create business continuity nightmares that traditional single-threat planning doesn't address.

⚡ Quick-Fire Threats

Aviation supply chain crisis worsens with $11 billion in costs expected for 2025 as aircraft deliveries fall 30% below expectations due to parts shortages and engine delays

Delhi's pollution crisis forces corporate adaptation as AQI hits 491—over 30x WHO limits—triggering emergency 50% work-from-home mandates across major companies

UK pharmacy workforce on the brink with 70% of staff reporting mental health impacts and 21% of pharmacies forced to close temporarily due to staffing shortages

Former pilot warns AI could complicate crisis response as Qantas Flight 32 hero argues automation makes flying harder when systems fail during emergencies

First human case of H5N5 bird flu detected in Washington State marking the first time this avian influenza strain has infected a person and the first US bird flu case since February

📚 Sources

Main Story #1 - Global Memory Chip Shortage:

Samsung hikes memory chip prices by up to 60% as shortage worsens, sources say | Reuters

Memory Chip Shortage Sends Profits Higher For Samsung And Rivals | Finimize

AI Chip Boom Triggers Global Memory Shortage | TipRanks

Main Story #2 - Storm Claudia:

Storm Claudia causes road closures and flooding disruption | Daily Post

Improving picture but further flooding impacts expected | UK Government

Storm Claudia brings intense rain to England and Wales | Met Office

Quick-Fire Stories:

Supply Chain Issues Continue to Impact Airline Performance | IATA

Delhi-NCR air pollution: Corporate offices adopt work-from-home measures | Business Today

Community pharmacies face 'unsustainable' pressure | Pharmacy Business

Retired airline pilot saved over 400 lives after engine explosion | Business Insider

Washington resident is infected with different type of bird flu | AP News🔗 Links

👉 Read the full episode article on Unbreakable Ventures

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🧠 About Fixinc

🤝 Meet our sponsor, F24

This is a public episode. If you would like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unbreakableventures.com

🔍 What's inside this episode

Threat concerns this week: Business travel weather disruptions cost US firms $17 billion annually. AWS's fifteen-hour outage locks fans out of playoff baseball. And 5 quick fire stories on Microsoft's second outage and crisis management costs.

In this week's risk update: weather chaos forces companies to rethink duty-of-care as 50% of US business travelers face disruptions, Amazon's cloud collapse exposes the fragile infrastructure holding modern sports and commerce together, and five emerging threats including another Microsoft outage days after AWS recovered.

🧠 Main Threats Covered

1. Business Travel's $17 Billion Weather Problem

Weather-related travel disruptions doubled to 50% of US business travelers in one year, costing companies $17 billion annually while 28% missed critical sales opportunities as climate instability breaks the just-in-time travel model.

2. When Amazon's Cloud Goes Down, The World Stops Playing

AWS's fifteen-hour outage locked fans out of ALCS Game 7 tickets, crashed sports betting platforms, and forced the Premier League to operate without automated offside technology—exposing critical dependencies on infrastructure controlling one-third of the internet.

⚡ Quick-Fire Threats

Microsoft Azure hit with five-hour outage from configuration error affecting Microsoft 365, Xbox Live, and thousands of customer workloads just days after AWS incident

DoorDash launches emergency food aid program with fee waivers and nonprofit partnerships ahead of potential SNAP benefits shutdown affecting millions

Baden Bower's crisis management product reports 22% average cost reduction in PR fallout through rapid response protocols and reputation management

UK car and van production disrupted by cyber incidents and manufacturing chaos while SMMT warns government tax changes threaten company car market

AWS outage classified as "moderate incident" for cyber insurance industry as analysts recommend cloud diversification and parametric coverage review

📚 Sources

Main Story #1 - Business Travel's $17 Billion Weather Problem:

Survey: Business Travelers Battling Unprecedented Weather-Related Disruptions | AOL

Weather-related disruption rises - TravelPerk survey | Business Travel News Europe

Almost 90% of Business Travelers Face Disruptions, Says Report | Business Travel Executive

Main Story #2 - When Amazon's Cloud Goes Down:

How AWS outage disrupted the sports industry | SportsPro

The AWS Outage Wreaked Havoc in Sports | Front Office Sports

AWS outage affects Ticketmaster for pivotal playoff game | GeekWire

Quick-Fire Stories:

Microsoft Azure outage ahead of quarterly earnings | CNBC

DoorDash SNAP shutdown announcement | DoorDash

Baden Bower cuts PR fallout costs by 22% | TechTimes

UK car output hit by disruption, SMMT warns on tax plans | Business Motoring

AWS Outage a 'Moderate Incident' for Insurance Industry | Insurance Journal

🔗 Links

👉 Read the full episode article on Unbreakable Ventures

🎧 Subscribe to the podcast

🧠 About Fixinc

🤝 Meet our sponsor, F24

This is a public episode. If you would like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unbreakableventures.com

🔍 What's inside this episode

In this week's risk update: researchers expose how half the world's satellite communications broadcast unencrypted—intercepted with $800 of basic equipment, the pharmaceutical industry faces a perfect storm of supply chain fragility and regulatory upheaval threatening patient access to critical medicines, and five other emerging threats including Japan's ransomware-crippled beer industry and the "dead internet" theory.

🧠 Main Threats Covered

1. Satellites Are Leaking the World's Secrets

UC San Diego and University of Maryland researchers used $800 of off-the-shelf equipment to intercept unencrypted satellite communications—capturing T-Mobile calls and texts from 2,700+ users, U.S. and Mexican military transmissions, critical infrastructure data from power utilities and oil platforms, and corporate traffic from Walmart, Santander, and major airlines, exposing a massive global cybersecurity blind spot.

2. Life Sciences Convergence Crisis

Aon's Global Risk Management Survey reveals the pharmaceutical industry under siege from interconnected threats: 91% of U.S. generic drug ingredients have no domestic source, patent cliffs are eroding billions in revenue, regulatory divergence across FDA and EMA complicates global launches, and cyber attacks on manufacturers like Cencora are disrupting operations across entire supply chains—forcing a fundamental rethink of resilience strategy.

⚡ Quick-Fire Threats

Japan's Asahi brewery ransomware attack by Qilin gang paralyzes 40% of beer market, stealing 27GB of data

Reddit cofounder declares internet "dead" as bots and AI-generated content overtake human interaction

Windows legacy fax driver exploited in the wild since 2006, Microsoft removes entirely rather than patch

Australia power outages hit Origin Energy with infrastructure failures and reliability concerns

UK sick leave crisis as burnout and mental health pressures drive productivity losses across major firms

📚 Sources

Main Story #1 - Satellites Are Leaking the World's Secrets:

Satellites Are Leaking the World's Secrets | WIRED

SATCOM Security Research Project | UC San Diego

T-Mobile customer call and text data captured from satellite comms | 9to5Mac

Gear ordered online can intercept secret satellite data | Cybernews

Main Story #2 - Life Sciences Convergence Crisis:

Navigating Risk in Life Sciences: Building Resilience to Support Growth | Aon

2025 Supply Chain Challenges for the Life Sciences Industry | MedMarc

Building a more resilient biopharma supply chain in 2025 | Pharma Manufacturing

Four ways pharma companies can make their supply chains more resilient | McKinsey

Quick-Fire Stories:

Hack on Japan's popular Asahi beer firm renews concerns over cyberattack readiness | CNN Business

Japan days away from running out of Asahi Super Dry after cyber attack | Financial Times

Reddit cofounder Alexis Ohanian says 'much of the internet is now dead' | Business Insider

Windows users hacked due to legacy fax modem driver | The Stack

Australia Power Outage – Origin Energy Scrutiny | Meyka

Vast majority of UK plc concerned about long and short-term sick leave | Healthcare & Protection

🔗 Links

👉 Read the full episode article on Unbreakable Ventures

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🤝 Meet our sponsor, F24

This is a public episode. If you would like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unbreakableventures.com

Sonali Chandratilake, a seasoned crisis management expert and Emergency Management & Business Continuity Manager at the University of Canterbury, shares insights from 15+ years on the front lines of NZ's major crises (Canterbury Earthquakes, Christchurch Mosque Attack, COVID-19). Her unique perspective combines professional roles with personal advocacy (Cleft New Zealand). Discover her pragmatic approach to crisis leadership, emphasizing community connection and emotional intelligence.

In this episode, we talk about:

0:00 | Introduction and Guest Background

2:12 | Sonali's Unexpected Path to Emergency Management

9:00 | The SVA Experience as a Foundation

15:13 | Replicating Community Resilience in Organizations

20:08 | Inspiring Employees: Acknowledgment and Validation

26:59 | Transition to a Professional Career Path

32:17 | Balancing Professional Work with Volunteer Passions

36:41 | Challenging the "She'll Be Right" Attitude

41:51 | Real-World Community Preparedness Example

45:56 | Finding Champions and Leaders Setting the Scene

50:43 | The Evolving Role of Technology

59:51 | Social Media: Misinformation, Intelligence, and Trust

1:02:50 | Actionable Steps for Building Personal Resilience

1:03:49 | Book Recommendation

Key Takeaways:

Emergency management is deeply human. Community connection, built before crisis, forms the bedrock of resilience. While technology helps, analog backups are essential, and social media intelligence needs careful navigation. True leadership fosters self-sufficient teams. Emotional intelligence is key to effective crisis navigation and personal resilience.

Reference Links

Sonali on LinkedIn

Cleft New Zealand (donate here)

Student Volunteer Army, New Zealand

University of Canterbury, New Zealand

New Zealand ShakeOut

Book recommendation: The Seat of the Soul by Gary Zukav

www.unbreakableventures.com

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🔍 What's inside this episode

In this week's risk update: three climate disasters kill over 100 people in 14 days exposing compound environmental risks, U.S. tariffs trigger economic upheaval across Southeast Asia threatening entire export sectors, and five other emerging threats including Google's disruption of the SEO industry and warnings of a historic AI bubble.

🧠 Main Threats Covered

1. Asia-Pacific Climate Crisis Intensifies Super Typhoon Ragasa and Typhoon Bualoi struck one week apart killing 102 people across the Philippines, Taiwan, Vietnam and China, while Syria's worst drought in 36 years threatens 16 million with food insecurity—demonstrating the new reality of simultaneous, cascading climate disasters.

2. U.S. Tariffs Trigger ASEAN Economic Upheaval Tariffs ranging from 10-49% took effect August 7th, with Vietnam facing potential losses of $25 billion and Cambodia's exports projected to contract 23.9%, forcing Southeast Asian nations to reconsider their entire export-led economic model.

⚡ Quick-Fire Threats

Google removes &num=100 parameter disrupting SEO industry with 10x cost increases AI bubble warned to be 17 times larger than dot-com crash Smart home devices revealed as far from secure by default Munich Airport shut down twice from mysterious drone sightings U.S. Army flags Anduril/Palantir battlefield system as high risk

📚 Sources

Main Story #1 - Asia-Pacific Climate Crisis:

Ragasa: Powerful storm hurtles past Hong Kong, Macao and slams into southern China | CNN | September 24, 2025

Typhoon Bualoi kills dozens in Vietnam and Philippines | Al Jazeera | September 30, 2025

Syria's silent war: How a devastating drought threatens post-conflict recovery | The Week | September 14, 2025

Main Story #2 - U.S. Tariffs on ASEAN:

ASEAN economy under threat after Trump tariffs | GIS Reports | September 2025

Cambodia, Vietnam, and Thailand hit hardest in ASEAN by US tariff impacts | The Nation Thailand | September 2025

Vietnam at a Crossroads: Responding to the 2025 U.S. Tariff Shock | Modern Diplomacy | April 15, 2025

Quick-Fire Stories:

Google just removed &num=100. This is what it means for Organic teams | Embryo | September 2025

The AI bubble is 17 times the size of the dot-com frenzy | MarketWatch | October 3, 2025

Your Smart Home Might Not Be As Secure As You Think | Lifehacker Australia

Multiple drone sightings reported in Germany in past three days | Reuters | October 3, 2025

Anduril and Palantir battlefield communication system 'very high risk,' US Army memo says | Reuters | October 3, 2025

🔗 Links

👉 Read the full episode article

🎧 Subscribe to the podcast

🧠 About Fixinc

🤝 Meet our sponsor, F24

This is a public episode. If you would like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unbreakableventures.com