Wall Street Truthbombs Podcast

While financial media debated stock market gyrations, the United States Treasury quietly tripled its secondary bond buyback operation to an emergency $6 Billion. In today's Wall Street Truthbomb, Chief Investment Officer Mark Malek looks inside the engine room of primary dealer desks to reveal what actually happened when the 30-year Treasury bond closed at 5.37%—its highest level since February 2002.

Mark dismantles the myth that this operation represents stealth Quantitative Easing, explaining why retiring 30-year paper by issuing floating short-term T-bills is a high-risk debt maturity swap. Uncover the shadow data inside the Treasury's auction disclosure, where the offer-to-max ratio exploded past 7-to-1 as primary dealers desperately attempted to offload underwater, illiquid low-coupon paper issued in 2020 and 2021. Discover how this duration squeeze pushes municipal borrowing costs to 7%—triggering property tax surcharges nationwide—and why rolling over $9 Trillion in federal debt threatens to push annual interest costs to $1.3 Trillion.

CHAPTERS
00:00 — The Pawn Shop Window: The Treasury Steps In to Buy Its Own Debt
02:02 — The 24-Year Yield Milestone: 30-Year Treasury Closes at 5.37%
03:18 — Demolishing the QE Myth: Why This Is a Maturity Swap, Not Money Printing
04:48 — Shadow Data: The 7-to-1 Offer-to-Max Ratio on Long-End Paper
06:17 — The Off-the-Run Orphan Crisis: Underwater 1% and 2% Pandemic Debt Clogs Dealers
07:13 — The Capital Squeeze: How Basel III Rules Force Washington to Bail Out Inventory
09:04 — Municipal Fallout: Why 5.37% Long Bonds Become Property Tax Hikes Next Spring
10:55 — The $9T Rollover Cliff: Exploding Federal Interest Expense Toward $1.3 Trillion
13:39 — Today's Wall Street Truthbomb: Retiring 30-Year Bonds With 3-Month Bills 

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Truthbombs videos are for informational and educational purposes only. The views expressed by Mark Malek or guests are their own and do not necessarily reflect those of Siebert Financial. These videos do not constitute investment advice, an offer to sell, or a solicitation to buy any securities. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Listeners and viewers should consult a qualified financial professional before making any investment decisions.

#TreasuryBonds #NationalDebt #BondMarket #InterestRates #PropertyTaxes #ScottBessent #KevinWarsh #Macro #Economy #MarkMalek #WallStreetTruthbombs #Investing #PersonalFinance

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Two completely different markets lived in the same building this week: equities celebrated their first winning week in three as Meta launched its runaway AI agent Muse, while the bond market sounded severe alarms as the benchmark 10-year Treasury yield surged to 5.18%—its highest level since 2007. In this comprehensive Weekly Market Recap sponsored by Siebert Financial, Chief Investment Officer Mark Malek breaks down how consumer-facing AI agents just rewrote Wall Street's playbook while the bond market decoupled from energy.

Mark analyzes the big macro disconnect: West Texas Intermediate crude dropping 7.87% to $92.41 while bond yields climbed relentlessly after the S&P Flash PMI showed business input costs surging at their fastest clip since 2022. Plus, deep dives into the week's top 3 moving stocks: Meta Platforms (META) surging 11.3% as its autonomous agent Muse topped the App Store, Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) crossing $1 Trillion in market cap on a 10% price hike for AI accelerators, and Planet Fitness (PLNT) tumbling 13.8% as automated AI subscription cancellations threatened inertia-based business models. Finally, get the full forward preview for PCE inflation week, Q2 GDP revisions, Micron earnings, and the September Jobs Report.

CHAPTERS:
00:00 — The Tale of Two Markets: S&P Up 1.2% While 10-Year Treasury Yields Hit 5.18%
00:55 — The Muse Shockwave: Meta's AI Agent Triggers Runaway Productivity and Disruption
02:47 — Macro Paradox: WTI Oil Drops to $92.41 as Bond Yields March to 2007 Highs
04:19 — Stock #3: Planet Fitness (PLNT) — Down 13.8% as AI Agents Kill Ghost Memberships
05:30 — Stock #2: AMD — Crosses $1 Trillion Market Cap on 10% AI Chip Price Hikes
06:27 — Stock #1: Meta Platforms (META) — Up 11.3% as Autonomous Agents Monetize Attention
02:19 — The $11.6B Infrastructure Deal: Akamai and Anthropic Pivot Toward Enterprise CPUs
09:15 — Economic Data Breakdown: Flash PMI Input Costs Surge vs. Michigan Sentiment at 48.1
11:23 — The Week Ahead: August Core PCE Print, Q2 GDP Final Read & September Jobs Report
13:40 — Weekly Truthbomb: When AI Cancels Subscriptions, Customer Inertia Dies

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Sponsored by Siebert Financial Corp. (NASDAQ: SIEB) — Where investing is for everyone. Member FINRA/SIPC.

Truthbombs videos are for informational and educational purposes only. The views expressed by Mark Malek or guests are their own and do not necessarily reflect those of Siebert Financial. These videos do not constitute investment advice, an offer to sell, or a solicitation to buy any securities. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Listeners and viewers should consult a qualified financial professional before making any investment decisions.

#StockMarket #WeeklyRecap #Meta #ArtificialIntelligence #TreasuryYields #InterestRates #AMD #Economy #Inflation #MarkMalek #WallStreetTruthbombs #SiebertFinancial

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Homebuilders across the country are plastering 3.99% mortgage offers on entrance monument signs, but the fine print tells an entirely different financial story. In today's Wall Street Truthbomb, Chief Investment Officer Mark Malek tears apart the promotional teaser rates to show why a builder rate buydown is worth far less than advertised and reveals how the housing subsidy quietly shifted from financing directly to the home's sticker price.

Mark breaks down the shadow data inside Lennar's third-quarter earnings report, where net earnings plummeted 52% to $284 Million and gross margins compressed to 15.8%. Discover why permanent 30-year buydowns cost over 7% of a home's sale price—consuming nearly half of a builder's entire gross margin—and learn why a promotional 3.99% teaser rate actually carries a 6.854% APR that is barely 34 basis points below market. Plus, find out what a permanent price cut means for appraisals and street comps compared to temporary rate relief.

CHAPTERS:
00:00 — The Billboard Mirage: Why a 3.99% Teaser Mortgage Carries a 6.854% APR
03:44 — Deconstructing the APR: A 34-Basis-Point Spread Masked by a Big Sign
01:23 — The Lennar Earnings Reality: Net Profits Plunge 52% and Margins Compress to 15.8%
05:36 — The Brutal Math of Buydowns: Why Buying Down 220 bps Eats 45% of Builder Margins
07:18 — Shadow Data: Lennar Shifts $10,000 from Financing Incentives Directly to Price Cuts
08:48 — The Comp Threat: Why Permanent Price Drops Damage Neighborhood Appraisals
10:50 — Supply vs. Demand: 9.6 Months of Unsold New Homes Sits on the Market
12:44 — Today's Wall Street Truthbomb: How Builders Hide the Real Value of Your Subsidy

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Truthbombs videos are for informational and educational purposes only. The views expressed by Mark Malek or guests are their own and do not necessarily reflect those of Siebert Financial. These videos do not constitute investment advice, an offer to sell, or a solicitation to buy any securities. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Listeners and viewers should consult a qualified financial professional before making any investment decisions.

#MortgageRates #HousingMarket #Homebuilders #Lennar #RealEstate #InterestRates #PersonalFinance #Economy #MarkMalek #WallStreetTruthbombs #Investing #FederalReserve

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While cable news hypes an escalating global trade war, a quiet motorcade pulled up to JPMorgan Chase’s global headquarters on Park Avenue for an unpublicized summit that rewrote the playbook. In today's Wall Street Truthbomb, Chief Investment Officer Mark Malek reveals what Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, USTR Jamieson Greer, and Chinese Vice Premier He Lifeng actually put on the table just days before President Trump meets Xi Jinping at the White House.

Mark uncovers the shadow data behind a $30 Billion reciprocal carveout list on non-strategic goods—including agricultural exports, energy shipments, and commercial plastics—designed to prevent an autumn supply chain shock from breaking an American consumer already squeezed by $100 crude oil, $4.48 gasoline, and 4% interest rates. Discover how Friday’s signing of H.R. 5334 (the Lindsey Graham Act) handed Washington a statutory hammer of up to 100% secondary tariffs on buyers of Russian and Iranian oil, why both nations hammered out an emergency bilateral notification mechanism for frontier artificial intelligence models, and what this secret détente means for tech supply chains, retail margins, and the November 10th trade truce deadline.

CHAPTERS:
00:00 — The Park Avenue Motorcade: Why Sovereign Deals Happen in Bank Towers, Not Embassies
01:20 — The Closed-Door Roster: Scott Bessent, Jamieson Greer & Vice Premier He Lifeng
02:34 — The Secret $30 Billion List: Reciprocal Carveouts on Agriculture, Energy & Plastics
03:31 — The Consumer Breaking Point: 3.4% Inflation, $100 Oil, and 4% Fed Funds Collide
04:45 — Shadow Data: H.R. 5334 Signed Into Law With 100% Secondary Energy Tariffs
06:24 — The Red Telephone for AI: Establishing Bilateral Warning Channels for Frontier Models
07:15 — Counter-Risks: Oval Office Volatility, Beijing's Rare Earth Moat & the Nov 10 Deadline
08:56 — Market Transmission: Why Wall Street Rallied on Secret Détente Over Public Tough Talk
09:36 — Today's Wall Street Truthbomb: Offering a Tariff Retreat Because Consumers Can't Pay the Bill

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Truthbombs videos are for informational and educational purposes only. The views expressed by Mark Malek or guests are their own and do not necessarily reflect those of Siebert Financial. These videos do not constitute investment advice, an offer to sell, or a solicitation to buy any securities. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Listeners and viewers should consult a qualified financial professional before making any investment decisions.

#Tariffs #TradeWar #ScottBessent #China #XiJinping #Economy #Inflation #CrudeOil #ArtificialIntelligence #MarkMalek #WallStreetTruthbombs #Investing

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The Federal Reserve just executed its first interest rate hike in over three years—raising the target range to 3.75%-4.00% in a unanimous 12-0 vote—yet the biggest story of the meeting is the document the Fed Chair refused to sign. In today's Wall Street Truthbomb, Chief Investment Officer Mark Malek looks behind the podium to explain why Kevin Warsh publicly disowned the Summary of Economic Projections and what that means for future rate guidance.

Mark examines the structural shift inside the central bank: 18 participants submitted forecasts for the Dot Plot, but the Chair opted out, declaring he is out of the forward guidance business. Discover why headlines claiming rate cuts were erased are mathematically backward—with the median path actually showing 92.5 basis points of total easing pushed into 2028—and learn why a 3.2% neutral rate does not mean 7% mortgage rates are permanent once Treasury spreads and term premiums normalize.

CHAPTERS:
00:00 — The Unanimous 12-0 Vote: First Rate Hike in Over Three Years Defies Washington
02:10 — Taking Down the Board: Why Forward Guidance Was Deliberately Dismantled
03:21 — The Missing Dot: Why Kevin Warsh Refused to Submit a Forecast to the SEP
04:20 — The Regressive Statement: Why Voter Names Were Omitted From the Formal Release
05:12 — The Math on Erased Cuts: The Fed Actually Projected More Total Easing, Not Less
09:37 — Neutral Rate Myth: Why a 3.2% Funds Rate Translates to 6% Mortgages, Not 7%
12:18 — Global Synchronization Crack: Bank of Japan Hikes to 1.25% as the Yen Weakens
13:37 — Today's Wall Street Truthbomb: A Central Bank That Left the Market Guessing

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Truthbombs videos are for informational and educational purposes only. The views expressed by Mark Malek or guests are their own and do not necessarily reflect those of Siebert Financial. These videos do not constitute investment advice, an offer to sell, or a solicitation to buy any securities. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Listeners and viewers should consult a qualified financial professional before making any investment decisions.

#FederalReserve #KevinWarsh #InterestRates #RateHike #DotPlot #MortgageRates #Inflation #Economy #Macro #MarkMalek #WallStreetTruthbombs #Investing

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The world spent forty years building a backup plan to bypass the Strait of Hormuz, and a single drone attack just took it offline. In today's Wall Street Truthbomb, Chief Investment Officer Mark Malek exposes why the initial selloff in crude oil was a complete misread and how Brent racing toward $108 a barrel leaves the Federal Reserve facing an uncontrollable energy shock.

Mark analyzes the shadow data inside shipping intelligence and the latest IEA report, revealing that Saudi Arabia's Petroline was already down to 2 million barrels a day before the strike due to Red Sea transit pressure. Discover why effective OPEC+ spare capacity is sitting at a razor-thin 220,000 barrels a day, why gasoline accounted for over one-third of August CPI, and what happens to Treasury yields when the central bank attempts to hike interest rates into a geopolitical supply crunch.

CHAPTERS:
00:00 — The Two Fire Escapes: Drone Strikes Knock Out Saudi Arabia's East-West Pipeline
01:51 — The Petroline By-Pass: Why 1,200km of Steel Exists Exclusively to Avoid Hormuz
02:46 — The Friday Misread: Why Futures Traded Down Before Spiking to $108
03:50 — Shadow Data: Kpler Tracking Proves Flows Were Halved Long Before the Strike
05:12 — The IEA Alert: Observed Inventories Plunge 507M Barrels and Spare Capacity Hits 220K
07:01 — The Curve Blowout: Prompt Month Spread Hits $5.39 as Physical Buyers Panic
09:31 — Consumer Fallout: 3.9% Gas Spike, Michigan Sentiment at 47.8, and Inflation Fears
14:04 — Today's Wall Street Truthbomb: Why Rate Hikes Cannot Reopen an Oil Pipeline

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Truthbombs videos are for informational and educational purposes only. The views expressed by Mark Malek or guests are their own and do not necessarily reflect those of Siebert Financial. These videos do not constitute investment advice, an offer to sell, or a solicitation to buy any securities. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Listeners and viewers should consult a qualified financial professional before making any investment decisions.

#CrudeOil #EnergyCrisis #SaudiArabia #GasPrices #FederalReserve #Inflation #Commodities #Petroline #MarkMalek #WallStreetTruthbombs #Economy #Investing

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The three most influential figures in artificial intelligence—Dario Amodei, Sam Altman, and Elon Musk—all publicly agreed this weekend that the industry must slow down frontier model capabilities, erasing nearly $1 Trillion in semiconductor market cap overnight. In today's Wall Street Truthbomb, Chief Investment Officer Mark Malek looks past the headlines to explain what the market actually sold and who actually wins.

Mark breaks down the violent sector rotation that saw chipmakers like Lam Research, Marvell, and ASML tumble 5% to 7% while cybersecurity leaders CrowdStrike and Palo Alto Networks surged double digits. Discover why a slower development frontier hurts chip demand while boosting security deployment, explore the shadow data behind CoreWeave's rural 20-year power contract exposure, and examine the math behind Anthropic's reported $2 Trillion IPO valuation following an $11.5 Billion quarterly revenue surge.

CHAPTERS:
00:00 The Consensus Post: Amodei's "Pace the Frontier" Essay Stuns Global Markets
02:16 Silicon Sinks Globally: From Tokyo and Seoul to ASML, Nvidia, and Lam Research
05:05 The Internal Rotation: Why Cybersecurity and Enterprise Software Surged 12% to 15%
06:39 The Infrastructure Bill: Steel, Copper, and the Power Cost Nobody Accounts For
07:03 Shadow Data: CoreWeave's 74% Contracted Power Exposure in Tier-3 & 4 Markets
07:57 The $2 Trillion Valuation Puzzle: Anthropic's $11.5B Revenue Quarter vs. Public Listing
10:56 Duration Collision: 5% Treasury Yields and $108 Crude Add to Tech Multiple Pressure
12:03 Today's Wall Street Truthbomb: Selling the Hardware, Not the Concept

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Truthbombs videos are for informational and educational purposes only. The views expressed by Mark Malek or guests are their own and do not necessarily reflect those of Siebert Financial. These videos do not constitute investment advice, an offer to sell, or a solicitation to buy any securities. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Listeners and viewers should consult a qualified financial professional before making any investment decisions.

#ArtificialIntelligence #Anthropic #Semiconductors #Nvidia #CrowdStrike #TechStocks #StockMarket #CoreWeave #MarkMalek #WallStreetTruthbombs #Investing #Nasdaq

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Viral social media posts are warning that automated algorithms are primed to dump $163 Billion of equities into the market this week. In today's Wall Street Truthbomb, Chief Investment Officer Mark Malek looks past the sensational headlines to examine the actual data behind Bank of America’s Systematic Flows Monitor and uncover what quantitative trading desks are really positioned to do.

Mark dismantles the panic, demonstrating why the widely circulated $163 Billion figure is outdated and exposing the exact mechanical trigger band buried in the latest report: S&P futures between 7349 and 7558. Discover the structural mechanics of Volatility Control and CTA trend-following funds, examine why Brian Moynihan's commentary on dropping investment banking fees hit bank shares by 5%, and see what Citadel Securities' positioning data and corporate buyback blackout studies actually say about systemic downside risk ahead of tomorrow's Federal Reserve rate decision.

CHAPTERS:
00:00 — The Viral Panic: Did Bank of America Predict a $163 Billion Algorithmic Dump?
01:23 — The Bank Stock Catalyst: Brian Moynihan's Fee Guidance Drops BofA 5.14%
02:41 — Demystifying the Monitor: How CTAs and Volatility Control Funds Actually Trade
03:35 — Debunking the $163B Number: Why the Latest Model Shows an Improved Imbalance
07:37 — The Real Danger Zone: S&P Futures 7349 to 7558 Published Trigger Band
08:26 — Mechanized Selling Explained: Risk Budgets and Trend Lines, Not Conspiracies
09:41 — Counter-Analysis: Citadel’s Positioning Check and State Street’s Buyback Blackout Study
12:29 — The Fed Test: What Happens When Markets Sell Off on Expected News
13:18 — Today's Wall Street Truthbomb: A Stop-Loss Ladder With the Rungs Printed Out Loud

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Truthbombs videos are for informational and educational purposes only. The views expressed by Mark Malek or guests are their own and do not necessarily reflect those of Siebert Financial. These videos do not constitute investment advice, an offer to sell, or a solicitation to buy any securities. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Listeners and viewers should consult a qualified financial professional before making any investment decisions.

#StockMarket #Algorithms #BankOfAmerica #CTA #Trading #FederalReserve #SP500 #Volatility #MarkMalek #WallStreetTruthbombs #Investing #technicalanalysis 
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Crude oil pushed past $100 a barrel, wholesale diesel surged 24.1%, and Treasury yields spiked across the curve as the cost of everything went up. In this comprehensive Weekly Market Recap, Chief Investment Officer Mark Malek breaks down how the bond market executed 26 basis points of tightening before the Federal Reserve even sat down—driving September rate hike odds to 85%.

Mark examines the macro fallout: 10-year Treasury yields reaching 4.96%, University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment plunging to 47.8, and 1-year inflation expectations jumping to 4.6%. Plus, a deep dive into the top 3 moving stocks of the week—Oracle (ORCL) falling despite a massive $664 Billion backlog due to negative free cash flow and $28.5B in quarterly capex, Hewlett Packard Enterprise (HPE) surging 19% on hardware AI buildout demand, and Amgen (AMGN) sliding 13% after Novartis's pelacarsen Phase 3 clinical miss. Finally, get the full forward preview for FOMC decision week: August Retail Sales, the new Fed Dot Plot, and the Bank of Japan rate decision.

CHAPTERS:
0:00 - The Labor Day Hangover: Dow Loses 841 Points and Russell 2000 Drops 2.4%
1:13 - The $100 Oil Shock: Strait of Hormuz Disruptions and a 24.1% Diesel Spike
2:00 - The 26 bps Bond Revolt: 2-Year Yield Hits 4.63% and 10-Year Races Toward 5%
2:51 - The Consumer Squeeze: Sentiment Plunges to 47.8 as Inflation Fears Jump to 4.6%
6:01 - Stock #3: Amgen (AMGN) — Down 13% on Novartis Pelacarsen Phase 3 Read-Through
7:19 - Stock #2: Hewlett Packard Enterprise (HPE) — Up 19% as Hardware Cashes the AI Check
8:37 - Stock #1: Oracle (ORCL) — $664B Backlog Erased by $28.5B Capex and Negative Cash Flow
10:47 - Inflation Data Review: 5.4% Wholesale PPI Acceleration vs. 0.3% Core CPI Miss
13:29 - The Week Ahead: September 16 FOMC Decision, New Dot Plot, Retail Sales & BOJ Meeting
15:50 - Weekly Truthbomb: When the Bond Market Hikes Before the Fed


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Sponsored by Siebert Financial Corp. (NASDAQ: SIEB) — Where investing is for everyone. Member FINRA/SIPC.

Truthbombs videos are for informational and educational purposes only. The views expressed by Mark Malek or guests are their own and do not necessarily reflect those of Siebert Financial. These videos do not constitute investment advice, an offer to sell, or a solicitation to buy any securities. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Listeners and viewers should consult a qualified financial professional before making any investment decisions.

#StockMarket #WeeklyRecap #Inflation #OilPrices #FederalReserve #InterestRates #Oracle #Amgen #HPE #TreasuryYields #MarkMalek #WallStreetTruthbombs #SiebertFinancial

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The 10-year Treasury touched 5% for the first time since October 2023 before backing off, but Wall Street's relief rally is hiding a brutal mechanical reality. In today's Wall Street Truthbomb, Chief Investment Officer Mark Malek reveals why that bounce offers zero relief for homebuyers and why the shock absorber protecting your borrowing costs just wore down to the metal.

Mark breaks down the shadow data inside the Treasury-mortgage relationship, showing how 30-year mortgage rates surged to 7.12% while the spread between the 10-year and mortgage rates compressed to 1.92 percentage points. Discover why lenders ate the yield spike, what the Treasury's 20-year bond reopening means for duration demand ahead of the FOMC, and how homebuilders like Lennar and D.R. Horton are bleeding double-digit gross margins just to buy down your interest rate.

CHAPTERS:
00:00 The 5.01% Intraday Print: Relief Rally Mirage on the 10-Year Treasury
02:08 The 24-Year Benchmark High: Why the 30-Year Bond at 5.37% Dates Back to 2002
04:24 The Disappearing Cushion: Mortgage Spreads Compress to 1.92% as Rates Hit 7.12%
05:37 Shadow Data: Why Tomorrow's 20-Year Bond Reopening Is the True Tell
08:04 Bear Flattening Reality: Why Front-End Yields Prove This Is a Rate-Hike Repricing
09:48 The Kitchen Table Calculation: How 7.12% Mortgages Add $108,000 in Lifetime Interest
10:49 The Homebuilder Squeeze: Lennar and D.R. Horton Sacrifice Margins to Subsidize Rates
13:57 Today's Wall Street Truthbomb: When the Mortgage Shock Absorber Runs Out of Room

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Truthbombs videos are for informational and educational purposes only. The views expressed by Mark Malek or guests are their own and do not necessarily reflect those of Siebert Financial. These videos do not constitute investment advice, an offer to sell, or a solicitation to buy any securities. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Listeners and viewers should consult a qualified financial professional before making any investment decisions.

#TreasuryYields #MortgageRates #RealEstate #FederalReserve #InterestRates #HousingMarket #Economy #Bonds #MarkMalek #WallStreetTruthbombs #Investing #PersonalFinance

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