Morning Brief

Walmart cautious, futures lower, Iran tensions rise


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Futures point lower as investors weigh cautious guidance from Walmart and rising geopolitical risk tied to Iran. Dow futures fall about 166 points, with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 also in the red. Markets are watching consumer data and oil prices for the next signal.

Walmart modestly beat Q4 expectations, with revenue up 5.6% to $190.7B. But management guided fiscal 2027 net sales growth of 3.5% to 4.5%, citing an unstable macro backdrop and softer sentiment. The retailer now reports as a trillion-dollar company and faces new comparisons with Amazon, whose annual sales have surpassed Walmart’s.

Strategists call this a “weird market,” with money rotating out of tech into smaller sectors like energy and staples. Tech valuations have reset, but earnings growth remains strongest there. Oil near $60 limits consumer pressure for now, even as tensions with Iran lift uncertainty.

Trending Tickers: Deere lifts profit outlook on farm recovery; Occidental Petroleum beats on sales and capital expenditures; Etsy jumps after selling Depop to eBay for $1.2B.

Takeaways:

  • Futures fall on cautious guidance and Iran headlines

  • Walmart guides conservatively despite Q4 beat

  • Amazon sales now exceed Walmart annually

  • Sector rotation drives dispersion across the market

  • Oil remains contained, limiting inflation risk

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