Bloomberg Daybreak: US Edition

Bloomberg Daybreak Weekend with Host Nathan Hager take a look at some of the stories we'll be tracking in the coming week.

• In the US – a look ahead to U.S Mortgage data, along with a focus on 3 stocks for the week ahead.
• In the UK – a look ahead to this year’s Nobel Prize decisions.
• In Asia – a look ahead to China’s Golden Week Holiday.

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The US added fewer jobs than expected in September and wage growth slowed, signaling some caution among employers amid rising costs.  

Nonfarm payrolls increased 29,000 last month after a downward revision to the prior two months, according to Bureau of Labor Statistics data out Friday. That missed all estimates in a Bloomberg survey of economists. 

The unemployment rate rose to 4.2%, partly reflecting a growing workforce. 

Bloomberg’s Tom Keene and Paul Sweeney get reaction from: 

• Claudia Sahm, Chief Economist at New Century Advisors 
• Rebecca Patterson, Senior Fellow at Council on Foreign Relations 
• Kristina Campmany, Senior Portfolio Manager at Invesco

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Today's top stories, with context, in just 15 minutes.

On today's podcast:

1) The Pentagon is deploying an additional aircraft carrier and 10,000 sailors and Marines to the Persian Gulf, giving American commanders more options if President Donald Trump chooses to escalate attacks on Iran. The USS Theodore Roosevelt carrier is headed to the Middle East, and when it arrives, the US could again have three carrier strike groups in the region. The US has sent two additional missile batteries to protect oil and gas facilities in Qatar and Saudi Arabia, and the USS Makin Island amphibious readiness group has set sail to the Middle East, giving Centcom additional options.

2) Broadcom's Wall Street syndicate are starting to gather $60 billion of fresh AI chip financing to benefit Anthropic PBC and other companies. Banks are poised to send out syndication letters for a $42 billion Class A senior-secured tranche, and Blackstone Inc. is leading an $18 billion tranche of Class B junior debt. The financing would help firms including Anthropic access chips and other key AI infrastructure, and adds to the hundreds of billions of dollars of debt already raised to build out AI infrastructure.

3) Stocks climbed and sovereign bonds were broadly firm in calmer trading after a week in which markets were lashed by sharp swings in yields. A decline in oil prices supported the upbeat sentiment, with Brent crude falling more than 2% below $100 a barrel. The US jobs report is a key economic release at a time when resilient data are supporting riskier assets while giving the Fed room to fight inflation.

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Today's top stories, with context, in just 15 minutes.   

On today's podcast:   

1) A FlyDubai aircraft was attacked by one of its pilots, who stabbed or hit the other pilot with an ax, before being overwhelmed by passengers. The plane made an emergency landing at a Saudi airport after taking a sudden steep dive, and the United Arab Emirates attorney-general has ordered an investigation into the incident. The investigation will examine the circumstances and motives behind the attack, including whether it was linked to any terrorist activity, and the airline has suspended flights to and from Israel while the investigation continues.   

2) President Trump said former Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell should resign from the central bank's Board of Governors over findings the central bank mismanaged the renovation of its headquarters. The Fed's internal watchdog found no evidence of criminal wrongdoing and didn't identify any "administrative misconduct" connected to the $2.4 billion project, but outlined a series of management missteps that caused the project's cost to balloon. Trump directed Attorney General Todd Blanche to study the inspector general's report "and make a determination as to what to do," and said Powell should be forced to resign or sued by the United States Government for "corruption or incompetence."   

3) The US benchmark yield climbed to the highest since 2002 as rising oil prices drove a renewed selloff in global bonds. Government debt has been flailing around the world as elevated oil prices ripple through the global economy, pushing investors to bet central banks will further raise interest rates. Investors will seek clues on the US economy's health and the next Federal Reserve steps from Friday's payroll numbers and a list of Fed speakers.

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Today's top stories, with context, in just 15 minutes.
On today's podcast:
1) President Trump endorsed using outside auditors to assess the safety of artificial intelligence systems through an accord with Silicon Valley leaders. The accord, which carries no legal weight, commits AI companies to regularly meet to set best practices for the industry and implement internal controls for risks related to cybersecurity and other threats. The document suggests that AI companies "should" implement four layers of controls and notes that "it may make sense to codify" its recommendations into law or regulation in the future.
2) OpenAI aims to raise at least $30 billion from investors in a new round of funding, according to people familiar with the matter, after pushing back its plans for an initial public offering. The company is seeking a valuation of around $1.4 trillion, not including the money raised, and the fundraising discussions are early and could change. OpenAI has seen strong revenue growth, with its revenue run rate accelerating over the summer and topping $40 billion, and the company's run rate revenue has grown by 70% since July.
3) Crude oil flows from the Middle East are returning toward pre-war levels despite continued risks to shipping, according to JPMorgan and Goldman Sachs. Shipments of crude oil have rebounded to 17.5 million barrels a day, or 98% of pre-war levels, while flows of products such as diesel and gasoline were at 3 million barrels a day, or 58%, according to JPMorgan. The global oil market is roughly balanced in September, according to Goldman Sachs, which estimates that oil exports from the Persian Gulf had recovered to 23.3 million barrels a day over the last week.

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Today's top stories, with context, in just 15 minutes.   

On today's podcast:   

1) Iranian officials have privately expressed pessimism about reaching a deal to end hostilities with Washington and reopen the Strait of Hormuz before US midterm elections in November, according to people familiar with the matter. Iran and the US made little progress during talks in New York on the sidelines of the United Nations General Assembly last week and the Islamic Republic believes there’s a high chance of the conflict escalating after the Nov. 3 vote, according to the people, some of whom were briefed by Iranian officials. They asked not to be named discussing sensitive matters.   

2) President Donald Trump criticized the release on bail of five men held over an alleged terror plot against a Royal Air Force base used by the US for strikes against Iran, as British police continue to investigate foreign links to the incident. “I’m surprised that they released them, I wouldn’t have done that,” Trump told reporters on Monday.The decision to release the suspects sowed confusion about an incident that authorities had only a day earlier described as a serious attempted attack disrupted at a late stage.   

3) The US Treasury Department took a big step toward curbing a Wall Street boom in investment strategies that help cut tax bills, with a notice signaling potential action on an array of tactics and a ruling that will limit the benefits of a popular ETF maneuver. The notice detailed a list of tax trades similar to those deemed “potentially abusive” and “too good to be true” by Treasury officials at an industry seminar in July. These include hedge-fund strategies that use swaps and currency derivatives to generate ordinary losses that can offset income tax — transactions which are at the heart of products such as AQR Capital Management’s Delphi Plus fund.

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Today's top stories, with context, in just 15 minutes.   

On today's podcast:   

1) The US and China detailed a plan to cut tariffs on about $30 billion of imports from each country, as the superpower rivals take steps to steady ties following a summit between leaders Donald Trump and Xi Jinping. The list for goods entering the US contains 77 entries, including fireworks, household products, sporting equipment and toys, according to documents published by both governments.   

2) Iran stuck to its seven-day proposal for reopening the crucial Strait of Hormuz, saying it won’t soften its conditions, while President Donald Trump sent mixed signals about his willingness to reach a deal. The conditions Iran wants are something Washington might have agreed to about a year ago, Trump told Axios in an interview on Sunday, saying that Tehran has overplayed its hand. The US president added that he expects negotiations to resume this week even though he rejected Iran’s latest proposal, Axios reported.   

3) UK police were investigating a potential terrorism incident after five men were arrested near an air base used in US strikes on Iran, with President Donald Trump saying the suspects were “looking to do big damage” to the facility. Trump credited British authorities with foiling the incident early Sunday at RAF Fairford, a key launching point for US strikes against Iran. Police were working to establish a motive for what they considered to be a serious attempted attack disrupted at a late stage, according to people familiar with the matter, who asked not to be named discussing an ongoing investigation.

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Stuck in her childhood home during the pandemic, Kayla is shocked to learn that photos of her, altered to make her look naked, are posted to a website where men swap violent fantasies about women. A conversation with police leaves Kayla discouraged.

For official transcripts and additional information on this series, go to bloomberg.com/levittown

See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Bloomberg Daybreak Weekend with Host Nathan Hager take a look at some of the stories we'll be tracking in the coming week.

• In the US – a look ahead to the September jobs report with a focus on 3 stocks for the week ahead.
• In the UK – a look ahead to UK Prime Minister Andy Burnham's plans ahead of his first conference as Labour Party leader.
• In Asia – a look ahead to the coming decision from the Reserve Bank of Australia.

See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Today's top stories, with context, in just 15 minutes.

On today's podcast:

1) Donald Trump’s fete for China’s Xi Jinping has been heavy on pageantry and platitudes but light on substantive announcements, with the events shadowed by the US president’s preoccupation with construction projects and personal grievances.Through Thursday evening in Washington, the most significant news tied to the gathering was announced before it even began, when Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said just as Xi’s plane landed that the two sides had extended a trade truce for another two months.

2) US and Iranian negotiators are exploring a phased deal that would see Tehran reopen the Strait of Hormuz and Washington lift its blockade of Iranian ports, according to a person familiar with the discussions.The two countries — which have both refused to make similar agreements in recent months — were making a push for a breakthrough Thursday on the sidelines of the United Nations General Assembly, the person said, declining to be named discussing private matters. Qatari officials are mediating the negotiations.

3) Kathy Hochul warned residents in low-lying areas of New York City and Long Island to prepare for flooding as a powerful storm is set to bring heavy rain and strong winds over the weekend.While New York Governor Hochul said she doesn’t expect widespread damage, even a slight shift in the Nor’easter’s track could worsen conditions, according to a statement late Wednesday. Raging surf will also make it dangerous for any late-season beachgoers, with waves offshore forecast to top 12 feet (3.7 meters) by Thursday.

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