President Donald Trump announced Israel and Iran had agreed to what he called a “complete and total” ceasefire, easing fears that a conflict between the two adversaries might escalate. Trump, who made the surprise announcement on his Truth Social platform days after ordering airstrikes on Iran’s nuclear facilities, said the accord would begin around midnight US time and is aimed at a lasting end to the fighting. Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi said in a tweet afterward that while there is no ceasefire agreement, his country had no intention to keep responding to Israeli attacks after 4:00 a.m. Tehran time. We break down the headlines with Joe Mathieu, co-host of Bloomberg Radio and Television’s Balance of Power. 

Oil slumped and stocks rallied after Trump announced the ceasefire, spurring optimism the worst of the Middle East conflict is over. Global benchmark Brent crude tumbled almost 5% in early Asian trading after the surprise comment. S&P 500 futures rose 0.5%, while key stock indexes advanced in Japan, Hong Kong and Australia. The news damped demand for haven assets with the dollar weakening against all its Group-of-10 peers and gold dropping. Bloomberg’s Jill Disis speaks with our TV colleagues, Yvonne Man and David Ingles, in Hong Kong. 

Plus - we look at how all the day’s news may play into the Federal Reserve’s inflation outlook. We get market insights from Ross Mayfield, Investment Strategist at Baird.

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Oil surged after the US struck Iran's three main nuclear sites and threatened further attacks, exacerbating a crisis in the Middle East and stoking concerns that energy supplies from the region could be disrupted. The US assault — which targeted sites at Fordow, Natanz, and Isfahan — dramatically raises the stakes in the confrontation by increasing the premium that traders are pricing into the global energy market. The extent of the gains will hinge on how Tehran opts to respond to the US moves. For more on the burgeoning conflict, we hear from former US Ambassador to the United Nations, John Bolton. He speaks with Bloomberg's Joe Mathieu and Kailey Leinz.

Plus - US stock index futures slid ahead of the Asia session following those weekend strikes in Iran. S&P 500 futures opened nearly 1% lower before paring their loss, while contracts on the Nasdaq 100 fell nearly 1.3%. We get market insights from Gene Goldman, Chief Investment Officer at Cetera Financial Group.

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American bombers struck Iran’s three main nuclear sites overnight, putting the US directly into Tehran’s war with Israel despite President Donald Trump’s longtime promises to avoid new conflicts.

Addressing the nation late on Saturday in Washington, Trump said Iran’s “key nuclear enrichment facilities have been completely and totally obliterated.” He threatened “far greater” attacks if Iran doesn’t make peace, raising the specter of even deeper US involvement in a Middle Eastern war that began with Israel’s strikes on the Islamic Republic nine days ago.

Trump earlier said US planes dropped bombs on Fordow, a uranium-enrichment site buried deep under a mountain and seen as vulnerable only to “bunker buster” munitions that the US possesses. Natanz and Isfahan, two other sites, were also struck.

“Our objective was the destruction of Iran’s nuclear enrichment capacity and a stop to the nuclear threat posed by the world’s No. 1 state sponsor of terror,” Trump said. “Iran, the bully of the Middle East, must now make peace. If they do not, future attacks will be far greater — and a lot easier.”
Iran’s foreign minister, Abbas Araghchi, said the US’s move “outrageous and will have everlasting consequences.”“Iran reserves all options to defend its sovereignty, interest, and people,” he said.
Tehran’s nuclear regulatory agency said there was no sign of radiation contamination at the sites and that it had take precautions in anticipation of an attack.

On this special edition of Bloomberg Surveillance, hosts Tom Keene and Paul Sweeney speak with:

- Ethan Bronner, Israel Bureau Chief for Bloomberg News
- Joe Mathieu, co-host of Bloomberg Balance of Power
- Gautam Mukunda, professor at Yale School of Management and Bloomberg Opinion columnist
- Dan Williams, Bloomberg News Jerusalem reporter
- Jennifer Lawless, professor at University of Virginia

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Bloomberg Daybreak Weekend with Tom Busby takes a look at some of the stories we'll be tracking in the coming week.

• In the US – a look ahead to U.S GDP and personal spending data and Nike earnings.
• In the UK – a look ahead to TheCityUK's annual conference.
• In Asia – a look ahead to Bloomberg’s China economic survey.
  
  
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  Guests:
  
  -Michael McKee, Bloomberg International Economics and Policy Correspondent, to preview next week's U.S GDP/personal spending data.
  
  - Poonam Goyal, Senior U.S. E-Commerce and Retail Analyst at Bloomberg Intelligence, to preview Nike earnings.           
  
  -Leo Kehnscherper, Bloomberg European Asset Management Reporter, looks ahead to TheCityUK's annual conference.
  
  -Julian Harris, UK Economics Editor, looks ahead to TheCityUK's annual conference. 
  
  - Eric Zhu, China Economist for Bloomberg Economics, discusses Bloomberg’s China Economic Survey.
  
  -Karishma Vaswani, Bloomberg Opinion Columnist in Singapore, discusses her column: “US Rethink on Australia Subs Is China’s Win.”

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US equity futures moderated declines early Friday as President Donald Trump weighs whether to back Israel militarily in its conflict with Iran. Contracts for the S&P 500 were down around 0.3% from Wednesday's close in early Asia hours, compared with a 0.9% drop on Thursday when US markets were closed for the Juneteenth holiday. While traders were offered some short-term clarity as the White House said Trump will decide within two weeks whether to strike Iran, the remarks did little to resolve broader uncertainty around potential US involvement and the risk of renewed energy-driven inflation. For more on what's ahead, we heard from Maria Rost Rublee, Professor of International Relations at the University of Melbourne. She speaks with Bloomberg's Shery Ahn and Haidi Stroud-Watts.

Markets were already on edge after the Federal Reserve downgraded its estimates for growth this year and projected higher inflation. As projected, Fed officials held rates steady at their policy meeting this week. We get some analysis from David Laut, Chief Investment Officer at Abound Financial.

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Senior US officials are preparing for the possibility of a strike on Iran in the coming days, according to people familiar with the matter, a sign that Washington is assembling the infrastructure to directly enter a conflict with Tehran.

Meantime, there are a lot of unknowns about the outlook for the economy and interest rates, but Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell signaled at least one thing seems certain: Higher prices are coming. Policymakers voted unanimously to hold interest rates steady for a fourth straight meeting Wednesday as they await clarity on whether tariffs will leave a one-time or more lasting mark on inflation. Powell said it’s still unclear how much of the bill will fall on the shoulders of consumers, but he expects to learn more about tariffs this summer. For more, we speak to Mark Cranfield, Bloomberg MLIV Strategist in Singapore.

Plus - for more on the Federal Reserve's latest decision, we heard from Betsey Stevenson. She is a Professor at the University of Michigan. Stevenson was also a former Chief Economist of the United States Department of Labor.

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Oil climbed and most stocks in Asia followed losses on Wall Street as concerns mounted that an escalation of tensions in the Middle East will trigger a more direct US involvement. West Texas Intermediate crude rose as much as 1.1% in early trading Wednesday after settling at the highest in almost five months the previous day. US equity futures slipped, as did Australia’s benchmark index and Hong Kong futures.

Staying with geopolitics, The White House's review of the Aukus pact — a security arrangement between the US, UK and Australia — is rattling one of Washington’s closest alliances, and playing right into China’s hands. It sends yet another signal that America First might just mean everyone else alone. First announced by former President Joe Biden in 2021, the multibillion-dollar deal commits Washington and London to help Canberra develop a fleet of nuclear-powered submarines over a 30-year period. It was designed to help counter Beijing’s growing influence in the Indo-Pacific. For more, we turn to Bloomberg Opinion columnist Karishma Vaswani.

Plus - Federal Reserve officials are widely expected to leave interest rates unchanged for a fourth straight meeting on Wednesday, reiterating they want more clarity on the economic impact of a wide array of government policy changes before adjusting borrowing costs. Policymakers have warned President Donald Trump’s tariffs could boost inflation and unemployment, but so far, steady hiring and cooling inflation have allowed Fed officials to keep rates unchanged this year. We speak to Bill Campbell, Global Bond Portfolio Manager at DoubleLine.

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President Donald Trump called for the evacuation of Iran’s capital Tehran on Monday, hours after he urged the country’s leadership to sign a deal to limit its nuclear program and Israel signaled strikes would continue. It wasn’t clear if Trump knew of a fresh round of attacks Israel may have planned for the city, which has a population of more than 9 million people. Israel had earlier warned one Tehran neighborhood to evacuate and video showed massive traffic jams as people sought to escape. Soon after Trump’s post, Iran’s Fars news agency reported several explosions east of the city. For more, we heard from Middle East Analyst and Author Rodger Shanahan. He spoke to Bloomberg's Paul Allen and Shery Ahn.

Plus- President Trump's comments on evacuating Tehran caused a jolt in global markets, with US futures falling and oil prices rising almost 2%. Despite earlier optimism that the conflict between Israel and Iran wouldn't escalate, Trump's comments contrasted with his earlier statement that Iran wanted to make a deal. For more, we turn to James Abate, Managing Director & Head of Fundamental Strategies at Horizon Investments.

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Oil climbed early Monday with investors squarely focused on escalating geopolitical tensions as Israel and Iran continue to bombard each other with no sign of a pause. Brent crude rose as much as 5.5% in early Asian trading after Israel and Iran continued attacks on one another's territories over the weekend. Israel launched an attack on the giant South Pars gas field in the Persian Gulf, forcing the shut down of a production platform, after air strikes on Iran's nuclear sites and military leadership last week. For more, we speak with Pavel Molchanov, Investment Strategy Analyst at Raymond James & Associates.

Plus - S&P 500 futures slipped, while Asian equity-index contracts pointed to declines in Hong Kong and Sydney, and a gain in Tokyo. The dollar saw modest gains against major peers in early trading. With Federal Reserve officials signaling an extended hold on interest rates, investors and economists will look to Chair Jerome Powell this week for clues on what might eventually prompt the central bank to make a move, and when. We take a look at the macro landscape with Patrick Kennedy, Founding Partner at AllSource Investment Management.

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Bloomberg Daybreak Weekend with Tom Busby takes a look at some of the stories we'll be tracking in the coming week.

• In the US – a look ahead to next week’s Fed decision.
• In the UK – a look ahead to next week’s Bank of England decision.
• In Asia – a look ahead to next week's Bank of Japan decision.

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