In Japan, a stronger yen is set to emerge from this week’s gathering of central bankers in Jackson Hole after verbal intervention last week from US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent gave the currency traction amid what is widely expected to be a dovish period for the US dollar. Governor Ueda has so far balked at preparing markets for another BOJ hike, wary of political blowback at home. But with the US Treasury Secretary now cast as the external foil, there’s still a month to prime investors for a live September meeting. For more, we speak to Bloomberg's Paul Dobson, Executive Editor for Asia Markets.

Plus - Investors will be looking to Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s remarks at Jackson Hole for confirmation that US rate cuts are coming sooner rather than later. A September move is nearly fully priced, and looser US financial conditions have been a key driver of gains for risk assets across the globe. The suspense ahead of this week’s gathering will likely keep investors cautious. We heard from Skyler Weinand, Founder and Chief Investment Officer at Regan Capital.

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US President Donald Trump called his meeting with Russian counterpart Vladimir Putin “extremely productive” but indicated that a deal to end the war had still not been finalized, adding that he would speak to NATO allies and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy.

“There’s no deal until there’s a deal,” Trump said Friday in Anchorage, Alaska as he stood alongside Putin for a joint event. 

Putin spoke first at the event, casting the conversations as useful and said they were held “in a constructive atmosphere.” He talked of unspecified agreements with Trump, and suggested that Ukraine was only one of multiple issues discussed, pointing to the potential for increased trade and business cooperation as well as work in the Arctic and in space exploration.

The event followed the longest ever face-to-face meeting between the two leaders.

On this special edition of Bloomberg Balance of Power, we hear instant reaction to and analysis of the summit and the press conference. Host Joe Mathieu speaks with:

• Bloomberg Politics Contributors Rick Davis and Jeanne Sheehan Zaino.
• Bloomberg Managing Editor Kevin Whitelaw. 
• Bloomberg Chief Political Correspondent Annmarie Hordern.

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Bloomberg Daybreak Weekend with Host Tom Busby take a look at some of the stories we'll be tracking in the coming week.

• In the US – a look ahead to housing data and retail earnings.
• In the UK – a look at challenges facing European banking consolidation ahead of an upcoming shareholder vote in Italy.
• In Asia – a look at Japan CPI, PMI, and trade.

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Asian shares edged higher at the open, led by Japanese equities after the country's gross domestic product beat estimates. MSCI's gauge of Asian shares rose 0.2% as the Topix Index in Japan gained 0.8%. The country's economy expanded faster than expected last quarter, avoiding a recession. Stateside, bonds held their losses after higher inflation data caused traders to pare Federal Reserve interest-rates cuts, sending two-year Treasury yields higher by six basis points to 3.73%. A gauge of the dollar was little changed after gaining 0.4% in the prior session. Risk sentiment had been buoyed in previous days by expectations of monetary easing in the US, with traders fully pricing in a quarter-point reduction. But with US wholesale inflation accelerating in July by the most in three years, traders trimmed the odds of a September rate cut to about 90% from near certainty. We get reaction from Mark Luschini, Chief Investment Strategist at Janney Montgomery Scott.

Plus - traders in Asia will also focus on China's monthly data, which will help gauge the health of the economy as it battles a US trade war and the longest deflation streak since at least the 1990s. Worries of a deepening downturn are mounting, with expectations retail sales growth and industrial production slowed in July from the month prior, according to Bloomberg surveys. We check on the state of consumption in the Asia-Pacific with Matthew Driver, Executive Vice President of Services, APAC at Mastercard.

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The Trump administration is in talks with Intel Corp. to have the US government potentially take a stake in the beleaguered chipmaker, according to people familiar with the plan, in the latest sign of the White House’s willingness to blur the lines between state and industry. The deal would help shore up Intel’s planned factory hub in Ohio, said the people, who asked not to be identified because the deliberations are private. The company had once promised to turn that site into the world’s largest chipmaking facility, though it’s been repeatedly delayed. The size of the potential stake isn’t clear.

The plans stem from a meeting this week between President Donald Trump and Intel Chief Executive Officer Lip-Bu Tan, the people said. While the details are still being sorted, the idea is for the US government to pay for the stake, one of the people said. Another cautioned that the plans remain fluid. Shares of Intel climbed as much as 8.9% on Thursday.

For instant reaction and analysis, Bloomberg Businessweek Daily hosts Carol Massar and Tim Stenovec speak with:

• Bloomberg senior executive editor for Global Tech Tom Giles
• Bloomberg News deals reporter Ryan Gould

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Asian stocks were poised for a mainly positive open Thursday as investors continued to ramp up bets that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates next month. Meantime, Bloomberg Economics says China's July activity data due Friday will likely show signs growth softened heading into the second half, echoing early indications in business surveys and tracking its full-year outlook. We get more on the state of China's economy from Helen Zhu, Managing Partner and Chief Investment Officer at NF Trinity.

Plus - stocks have soared to record levels and volatility has slumped to multi-year lows as traders now fully expect a quarter-point move by the Fed after an inflation print earlier this week was seen as benign. External pressure is also coming from President Donald Trump's administration with Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent making his most explicit demand yet for the central bank to execute a cycle of cuts. We discuss what the Fed's path ahead may look like with Ross Mayfield, Investment Strategist at Baird Private Wealth Management.

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Stocks climbed to a record after an in-line US inflation reading bolstered speculation the Federal Reserve will have room to cut rates in September. US inflation data bolstered expectations that the Fed can move toward rate cuts without reigniting price pressures. While underlying inflation accelerated to the strongest since the start of the year, the modest gain in goods prices eased fears that trade-related costs may feed into broader price pressures. We get reaction from Charles Lieberman, Co-Founder and Chief Investment Officer at Advisors Capital Management.

Plus - Bitcoin continues to flirt with an all-time high as demand from institutional investors and corporate treasury buyers lifts the wider market for digital assets. A recent executive order from US President Donald Trump clears the way for digital assets to be added to the mix of investments available in workplace retirement plans - and for ordinary investors dissatisfied with the returns from target-date funds or the traditional 60/40 portfolio to push their savings into riskier assets. We talk all things crypto with Peter Chung, Head of Research at quant trading firm Presto in Hong Kong.

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US President Donald Trump extended a pause of sky-high tariffs on Chinese goods for another 90 days into early November, stabilizing trade ties between the world's two largest economies. Trump signed an order extending the truce through November 10th, deferring a tariff hike set for Tuesday. The de-escalation first took effect when the US and China agreed to reduce tit-for-tat tariff hikes and ease export restrictions on rare earth magnets and certain technologies. China said it too would extend its own suspension for a further 90 days. Meanwhile, Nvidia and Advanced Micro Devices have agreed to pay 15% of their revenues from Chinese AI chip sales to the US government in an unusual, legally questionable deal that reflects the Trump administration's willingness to soften export controls in exchange for financial payouts. We discuss the day's developments with Derek Wallbank, Senior US Economy and Government Editor for Bloomberg News.

Plus - Wall Street refrained from making big bets ahead of a key inflation report, with stocks losing steam after climbing to the brink of all-time highs. With the earnings season almost done, investors are turning to economic data for clues on whether the Federal Reserve will be able cut rates in September. Data due Tuesday is forecast to show US consumers saw a slight pickup in inflation as retailers gradually raised prices on a variety of items subject to higher import duties. We break down the potential market implications with Joy Yang, Head of Product Management at MarketVector Indexes.

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Asian stocks were set for a cautious open ahead of key economic data and a looming deadline on the potential extension of US tariffs on Chinese exports. US stock futures were steady while the dollar was in a tight range against major peers in early Asian trading. Traders are looking ahead to critical economic data from the US which could shape interest-rate expectations. One key data point will be the US inflation print, which will provide more insight into the Federal Reserve's rates outlook, with fears the economy is teetering on the edge of stagflation. For more, we speak with Eric Sterner, Chief Investment Officer at Apollon Wealth Management.

Plus - Australia's central bank is poised to deliver its third interest-rate cut this year as inflationary pressures ebb, while Governor Michele Bullock is expected to stick with her cautious stance on the monetary policy outlook. Traders and most economists polled by Bloomberg anticipate the Reserve Bank of Australia will lower its cash rate by 25 basis points to 3.6% on Tuesday, bringing its cumulative easing in the current cycle to 75 basis points. For a closer look, we hear from Swati Pandey, Bloomberg Economy and Government Reporter in Sydney. She speaks with Bloomberg's Avril Hong and Paul Allen on The Asia Trade.

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Bloomberg Daybreak Weekend with Guest Host Amy Morris take a look at some of the stories we'll be tracking in the coming week.

• In the US – a look ahead to U.S CPI, PPI, and retail sales data, along with Cisco earnings.
• In the UK – a look at Europe’s renewable energy sector and Vestas earnings.
• In Asia – a look at ahead to the next RBA decision, and the impact of chip tariffs.

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