Stock-index futures climbed after the European Union struck a deal with President Donald Trump that will see the bloc face 15% tariffs on most exports, averting a potentially damaging trade war. S&P 500 contracts rose 0.4% and those for European stocks jumped 1%. The euro was slightly stronger against the dollar after the US-EU deal. Asian shares fluctuated at the open as Japanese equities declined 0.4%. Treasuries dipped slightly with yields on the 10-year gaining one basis point to 4.4%. Gold edged lower and oil was marginally higher. Investors are bracing for a busy week of data - including meetings of the Federal Reserve and the Bank of Japan - and earnings from megacap companies that could set the tone for the rest of the year in markets and the economy. Stocks have risen from their slump in April as investors speculate the US will strike trade deals with countries and that will help avoid significant damage to company earnings and the global economy. We preview the trading week ahead with Clark Geranen, Chief Market Strategist at CalBay Investments.

Plus - Australia and the UK signed a landmark 50-year defense treaty on Saturday to underpin the construction of nuclear-powered submarines, senior ministers from both nations said. Both sides stressed that the treaty doesn't impact the AUKUS security partnership between Australia, the UK and the US - currently under review by the Trump administration. For a closer look, we speak with Paul Allen, Australia Correspondent for Bloomberg Television.

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Bloomberg Daybreak Weekend with Tom Busby takes a look at some of the stories we'll be tracking in the coming week.

• In the US – a look ahead to a monetary policy decision from the Fed and earnings from some of the “Magnificent Seven” tech companies.
• In the UK – a look at President Trump’s trip to Scotland.
• In Asia – a look at ahead to China PMI data and a conversation on Asia tech investing.

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The US and Japan this week reached what President Donald Trump called the largest trade deal in history after Tokyo pledged to set up a $550 billion fund for investment into the US, details of which remain obscure.  The lack of clarity about how the fund will work adds to questions about the viability of the agreement, which imposes 15% tariffs on Japanese cars and other goods. While the start date and other basic elements are still unknown, Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent warned this week that the US would monitor implementation and bump the rate up to 25% if Trump isn't satisfied. In his latest column, Bloomberg Opinion's Gearoid Reidy writes that after three months, Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba finally has his trade deal. Gearoid joins us to explain why it may be Ishiba's final act.

Plus - the S&P 500 inched to a new record Thursday - its 10th in 19 days - driven by tech gains that papered over a broader weakness as most stocks in the benchmark dropped. The S&P 500 has surged 28% from its April lows as investors grew optimistic that President Donald Trump's tariff war won't hurt the economy and corporate earnings as initially feared. Meantime, South Korea's trade ministry said Friday that Industry Minister Kim Jung-kwan and US Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick reaffirmed their will to reach a mutually beneficial trade agreement before August 1st deadline. For more on the economic impact of ongoing negotiations, we heard from Janet Henry, Global Chief Economist at HSBC. She speaks with Bloomberg's Shery Ahn and Haidi Stroud-Watts on The Asia Trade.

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Asian equities climbed for a sixth consecutive day as signs the US will do more trade deals after striking a pact with Japan injected fresh vigor into stocks. Megacap tech is in focus after a number of key earnings reports. SK Hynix outlined plans to quicken spending on advanced memory chip capacity after reporting record earnings, reflecting surging AI demand and a drive to stay ahead of rivals. The South Korean company notched a bigger-than-expected 68% jump in operating income in the June quarter. Stateside, shares of Google parent Alphabet climbed in after-hours trading on better-than-expected revenue. Meantime, CEO Elon Musk warned of a hard year ahead for Tesla, adding to the automaker's woes after reporting one of its worst quarters of the last decade. We get reaction to the Tesla story from Michael Dunne, CEO at Dunne Insights. He speaks with Bloomberg's Shery Ahn and Haidi Stroud-Watts on The Asia Trade.

Plus - in her latest column, Bloomberg Opinion's Karishma Vaswani says hearsay about the inner workings of the Politburo has a long tradition of being wholly inaccurate. With that, intrigue over Chinese President Xi Jinping's future is no less than speculative, and the result of a succession crisis of his own making. She joins us to dissect the coded signals coming out of Beijing, and why the obsession with Xi's fate reflects the West's blind spots about Chinese politics.

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The record-breaking run in global stocks got fresh fuel to power the rally after the US reached a trade deal with Japan, an agreement with a key trading partner that eases concerns about the tariff war. MSCI's benchmark gauges for global equities and Asian shares both rose Wednesday. Contracts for the S&P 500 edged up on the tariff news after closing at its highest level Tuesday. Stocks in Japan jumped more than 2% with Toyota Motor Corp. and other automakers leading the gains. We break down the day's developments with David Aspell, Partner and Co-Chief Investment Officer at Mount Lucas Management.

Plus - investors are also focused on megacap companies this week. Big Tech's strength will be on full display over the next few weeks as the group begins unveiling quarterly earnings. Tesla Inc. and Alphabet Inc. are reporting Wednesday. The so-called Magnificent Seven companies are expected to post a combined 14% rise in second-quarter profits, while earnings for the rest of the US equity benchmark are predicted to be relatively flat, according to Bloomberg Intelligence data. We discuss the role AI will play in those reports with Stephanie Leung, Chief Investment Officer at StashAway.

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The start of a busy week for Corporate America saw stocks giving up most of their gains, with traders looking for signs of resilience in earnings amid tariff risks. Treasury yields fell alongside the dollar. While the S&P 500 closed above 6,300 for the first time, the gauge rose just 0.1%. Energy shares joined a decline in oil. Chipmakers almost erased their advance as Nvidia Corp. slipped. Fellow megacaps Tesla Inc. and Alphabet Inc. will kick off the group's earnings season this week. The stakes will again be high as investors look for updates on artificial-intelligence spending. We break down the day's price action with Ed Butowsky, Managing Partner at Chapwood Investments.

Plus - shares in Tokyo gained 1% as trading resumed after a public holiday Monday. The MSCI regional stock gauge advanced 0.3% in early trading. Market participants are focused on the performance of Japanese markets as investors weigh policy uncertainty after the ruling Liberal Democratic Party's historic loss in Sunday's elections. For a closer look, we hear from Sean Darby, Managing Director at Mizuho Securities Asia. He speaks with Bloomberg's Shery Ahn and Paul Allen on The Asia Trade.

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The yen recouped some of last week's losses as investors weighed the extent of the defeat suffered by Japan's ruling coalition in the weekend's upper-house election. Asian stock markets edged down. Japan's currency had dropped for two weeks and bond yields spiked ahead of the vote on concern a poor showing by Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba would open the door to more spending and tax cuts. While the ruling Liberal Democratic Party and its partner lost their majority in the chamber, their final tally may be enough to keep Ishiba in the job. We get reaction from Shuntaro Takeuchi, Portfolio Manager at Matthews Asia.

Plus - Donald Trump is struggling to get the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates, but policymakers around the world won't need so much convincing. The US president's tariff onslaught is likely to force further measured easing in coming months by most of the 23 central banks featured in this quarterly guide on the global monetary outlook, according to Bloomberg Economics. Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller hinted he would dissent if his colleagues vote to hold interest rates steady at their July meeting, making his case for a rate cut to support the labor market. We take a look at the Fed's path ahead with Clayton Triick, Head of Portfolio Management, Public Strategies, at Angel Oak Capital.

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Bloomberg Daybreak Weekend with Tom Busby take a look at some of the stories we'll be tracking in the coming week.

• In the US – a look ahead to housing data and earnings from Tesla.
• In the UK – a look ahead to the next ECB monetary policy decision.
• In Asia – a look at ahead to Japan’s upper house election.

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Asian stocks made a modest gain at the open Friday as a global equity rally gained fresh vigor on strong economic data that eased concerns about the US economy. The MSCI Asia Pacific Index rose 0.2% at the open. Equity-index futures for US gained after the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 set closing highs Thursday. Tech stocks rose as a bullish outlook from Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. bolstered confidence in artificial-intelligence spending. Netflix Inc. also reported strong earnings and raised its forecast. We get market insights from Brian Vendig, Chief Investment Officer at MJP Wealth Advisors.

Plus - Japan's key price measure cooled a tad more than expected while remaining well above the Bank of Japan's target, keeping pressure on Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba to mollify voters as he heads into Sunday's national election. Consumer prices excluding fresh food rose 3.3% from a year earlier in June, slowing from a 3.7% gain - a two-year high - in the previous month, the Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications reported Friday. We get reaction from former BOJ board member Sayuri Shirai, now Professor of Economics at Keio University. She speaks with Bloomberg's Shery Ahn and Haidi Stroud-Watts on The Asia Trade.

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Asian stocks struggled for direction at the open after US markets had a volatile session amid speculation about the future of Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell. In tariff news, President Trump dialed down his confrontational tone with China in an effort to secure a summit with counterpart Xi Jinping and a trade deal. Trump also said he would send letters to more than 150 countries notifying them of tariff rates and that the levies imposed could be 10% or 15%. We unpack how trade policy is resonating in APAC markets with Ecaterina Bigos, CIO for Asia ex-Japan Core Investments at AXA Investment Managers.

Plus - the S&P 500 bounced as President Trump said he is "not planning" to remove Powell, after a White House official said the president was likely to seek the Fed Chair's ouster soon. Treasury two-year yields, which are more sensitive to imminent Fed moves, slid five basis points to 3.89%. The dollar halted a four-day advance. Softer-than-estimated inflation data also helped fuel the moves on Wednesday, reinforcing bets on Fed rate cuts in 2025. We get reaction to the day's market action from Rich Mullen, Founding Partner and CEO at Pallas Capital Advisors.

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