Putin just recognized the Taliban — and it changes the board in Afghanistan.

Russia didn’t “engage.” Russia didn’t “keep channels open.” Putin accepted the Taliban ambassador’s credentials in Moscow. That’s official recognition, and it sends a signal to every country still trying to pretend there’s a middle lane: no handshake, but business as usual.

In this episode, Ahmad Shah Mohibi breaks down why Putin did it, what Russia gains, and what the U.S. withdrawal in 2021 set in motion. We get into the uncomfortable reality of the current setup: the Taliban controls the system, the borders, the banks, the checkpoints — and that’s why language games don’t change outcomes.

We also look at China’s quiet approach: stability talk on the outside, resource strategy underneath — lithium, rare earths, copper — the materials that power modern technology and global leverage.

And while social media sells “calm Afghanistan” content for clicks, this episode focuses on what that camera frame leaves out: a country where fear sets the rules, education is blocked for girls, women are erased from public life, and silence becomes survival.

Chapters:

00:00 Monologue

00:35 Putin recognizes the Taliban (what recognition actually means)

02:20 The 2021 exit and the vacuum effect

03:50 How power moves when the U.S. leaves

05:05 The money and access problem inside Taliban control

06:25 China’s play: mines, contracts, and leverage

07:40 Influencer tours vs reality on the ground

08:30 What cameras don’t show: women, girls, and fear as policy

09:25 What real stability would require

09:55 Closing

Host: Ahmad Shah Mohibi

#WarGuyShow #AhmadShahMohibi #Afghanistan #Taliban #Putin #Russia #China #Geopolitics #ForeignPolicy #HumanRights #Security #News #Podcast

Protests are happening across America right now, after two incidents involving federal immigration agents — one in Minneapolis and one in Portland. The Minneapolis case is at the center of it: an American citizen, Renée Nicole Good, was killed during an ICE encounter. People want answers. They should.

But here’s what most people miss: the moment something tragic happens, politics moves fast. Some leaders show up to demand accountability. Others treat the moment like a card to play — to attack the whole immigration crackdown, shift the narrative, and in places like Minnesota, change the subject from uncomfortable local issues.

Minnesota matters here because it already had tension before this tragedy — including intense public debate around alleged fraud tied to public programs, and the viral attention brought by YouTuber Nick Shirley. That story pulled national attention, and the political pressure grew. Now the ICE incident is being used as fuel in a bigger fight.

This video breaks down:

Why ICE power feels different than local policing

How fear/anger spreads fast when federal enforcement ramps up

How the story is being politicized — and why Minnesota is a flashpoint

Why accountability matters even when enforcement is needed

Chapters / Timestamps

00:00 Protests across America — what triggered this

00:35 Minneapolis: Renée Nicole Good

01:10 Politics jumps in

01:45 Minnesota: fraud + viral pressure

02:35 Enforcement vs force

03:20 The narrative war

Episode 4 — ICE, Minnesota Fraud, and the Politics Game

Host: Ahmad Shah Mohibi

#ICE #Immigration #USPolitics #Trump #BorderCrisis #Deportation #Minnesota #IlhanOmar #Protests #BreakingNews #FederalPower #PoliticalSpin #Accountability #America #Viral #Trending #Commentary #WarGuy #USA=

Iran is being squeezed from every direction — economy, sanctions, protests, censorship, and a shrinking regional footprint. But the loudest phrase online right now is “regime change.” Here’s my straight take: Iran isn’t Venezuela, and if it breaks the wrong way, it can spiral into Iraq/Syria-style chaos. In this episode, I break down what’s driving the unrest, why the regime cuts the internet, how divided the country really is, and how the U.S., Russia, and China change the whole calculation.

What You’ll Hear in This Episode

• Why Iran looks weak — but collapse isn’t automatic
• Why the Venezuela comparison misses key realities
• What’s fueling protests: currency collapse, poverty, sanctions
• How the regime responds: censorship + internet/telecom shutdowns
• The split inside Iran: stability/pride vs freedom/control
• My warning: removing leaders can create chaos fast
• The military/nuclear escalation risk
• Iran’s regional footprint shrinking as proxies weaken
• Quick context on 1979 and how the Islamic Republic functions
• The gap between diaspora talk and ground realities
• Why Russia/China don’t want Iran to fall
• What “change” could look like — and why timing is unknowable

Episode Timeline

00:00 — Iran is weakened, but regime change isn’t guaranteed

01:00 — Venezuela comparison: why some people think anything is possible

02:00 — Trump + regime-change talk: diplomacy is different now

03:00 — Why protests are happening: currency collapse, poverty, sanctions

04:00 — How the regime responds: censorship + internet/telecom cuts

05:00 — Iran is divided: pride + stability vs freedom + no control

06:00 — My warning: removing leaders can create chaos (Iraq/Syria lessons)

07:00 — Military/nuclear angle: how fast escalation can happen

08:00 — Iran’s “empire” shrinking: proxies/allies weakened across the region

09:00 — Context: 1979 revolution and how the Islamic Republic system works

10:00 — Opposition talk: diaspora noise vs realities on the ground

11:00 — Geopolitics: why Russia/China don’t want Iran to fall

12:00 — Khamenei and what change could look like (and why timing is unknown)

#Iran #MiddleEast #Geopolitics #Protests #Sanctions

Hosted by: Ahmad Shah Mohibi

I'm the WarGuy. What’s your story?

Born in war. Built in America. At 16, I was chasing bad guys with U.S. forces. Now I sit down with guests from every world and ask the questions people avoid. WarGuy Show is raw conversations about life, pressure, faith, ambition, and the quiet battles in our heads—sometimes real wars too, when it actually matters.

Hosted by Ahmad Shah Mohibi.

In Episode 6 of The War Guy Show, Ahmad Shah Mohibi breaks down what the world feels like right now: waking up to 50 notifications and every single one of them being a crisis.

Syria. Ukraine and Russia. Gaza. Iran. Immigration. AI. It’s nonstop. And while people are being killed in trenches and bombed out of their homes, global leaders keep acting like their press teams are running foreign policy.

That’s where Davos comes in.

Davos has turned into the global headquarters of concern. A small ski town filled with private jets, motorcades, serious faces, and comfortable panels talking about war, climate, and AI—while real suffering stays far away from warm rooms and microphones. It’s business as usual, dressed up as leadership.

Ahmad Shah Mohibi breaks down the moment that dominated Davos this year: Donald Trump walking in and saying the quiet part out loud. The line that made everyone uncomfortable and killed the vibe. Whether you like Trump or not, this episode unpacks the history behind that statement—World War I, World War II, Europe left destroyed and broke, and the role the United States played in rebuilding Europe through the Marshall Plan. Not speeches. Money, infrastructure, and action.

The episode then turns inward, to what’s happening at home. Immigration enforcement, protests, and the growing pattern of escalation over restraint. Ahmad Shah Mohibi makes a clear distinction: you can support law enforcement and borders while still demanding competence, discipline, and accountability. Enforcement is not the problem. Doing it wrong is.

This is not commentary from a studio analyst. Ahmad Shah Mohibi speaks from lived experience—growing up around war, poverty, and regime change, and watching what happens when power stops caring about consequences.

The message is simple: war is not a toy. Authority is not a PR tool. And when leaders forget that, people die.

If you’re tired of fake experts, performative outrage, and global politics treated like a branding exercise, this episode is for you.

Subscribe to The War Guy Show for unfiltered conversations about power, conflict, and reality. WarGuy, the memoir by Ahmad Shah Mohibi, is available on Amazon, Apple Books, and Google Books.

#WarGuyShow #AhmadShahMohibi #Davos #WorldNews #Trump #Ukraine #Gaza #Immigration #Politics #MarshallPlan #WarIsNotAToy

Episode Notes — Iran: 3 Ways the Regime Could Collapse

In this episode, Ahmad Shah Mohibi breaks down Iran without fantasy or slogans. Iran has been weakened from multiple angles—its economy, internal stability, and its regional proxy network—but regime change is not automatic. Protests alone don’t equal collapse, and outside intervention can create chaos instead of a clean transition. Iran isn’t Venezuela, and the Middle East is full of examples where taking out a leader didn’t bring stability.

Shah explains what’s driving the unrest: currency collapse, poverty, and people struggling to get paid. He also explains why the state leans on censorship, intelligence services, and internet shutdowns—because controlling information is part of controlling the streets. At the same time, Iran is not a monolith: some Iranians support the current system out of ideology, pride, or fear of becoming another Iraq or Syria, while others want an end to censorship and tighter social control.

The key message: revolutions aren’t Uber Eats. You don’t “order” regime change from outside the country. Loud voices online aren’t a strategy. If real change happens, it rises from inside—through organization, sacrifice, and people willing to carry real risk.

The 3 ways Iran’s regime could collapse (as discussed)

1) Economic breakdown → protests become a movement When the currency loses value and daily life becomes unaffordable, unrest shifts from politics to survival. The question isn’t one protest—it’s whether economic pain turns into sustained participation, organization, and cracks inside state control.

2) Internal fractures inside the system Collapse becomes possible when the regime stops acting as one machine—when elites, factions, and security networks begin protecting themselves instead of the system. A divided top is more dangerous than a loud street.

3) External shock that breaks the image of control Leadership losses, sustained pressure on proxies, and attacks that show the regime can’t protect its “safe” zones damage the perception of strength. But Shah warns: shock doesn’t guarantee a better Iran—vacuums often produce chaos.

Sound bites

• “Revolutions don’t work like Uber Eats.”
• “If leaders rise, it rises from inside.”
• “Loud is not a strategy.”

Chapters

00:00 — The Consequences of Weakness in Iran 02:34 — The Unpredictability of U.S. Foreign Policy 05:29 — The Reality of Regime Change 06:05 — Conclusion: Why Realistic Strategies Matter