Weather Insights

🌴 Tropical Update | July 19, 2026 🌴

The National Hurricane Center continues to monitor Invest AL91 over the northeastern Gulf of America. Satellite data indicate the area of low pressure is becoming better organized, and a tropical depression could form during the next couple of days as it moves slowly north or northwest.

🌀 Development Chances:

🌧️ Primary Impacts

📍 What About Texas?

✈️ An Air Force Hurricane Hunter aircraft is scheduled to investigate the disturbance later today if necessary. While confidence is increasing that some tropical development will occur, there is still uncertainty regarding the exact track and intensity.

If you have travel plans anywhere along the northern Gulf Coast this week, stay informed and monitor the latest forecasts. Weather Insights will continue providing updates as new information becomes available.

#WeatherInsights #TropicalUpdate #InvestAL91 #HurricaneSeason #GulfCoast #TexasWeather #SoutheastTexas #HoustonWeather #LouisianaWeather #FloridaWeather #MississippiWeather #AlabamaWeather #StayWeatherAware

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An unsettled weather pattern will bring increasing chances for showers and thunderstorms Sunday through Tuesday across Southeast Texas. Periods of heavy rainfall may lead to localized street flooding, especially in low-lying and poor drainage areas where storms repeatedly move over the same locations.

If you have outdoor plans, including travel or summer activities, stay weather aware and be prepared for changing conditions. Never drive through flooded roadways—Turn Around, Don’t Drown®.

We’ll continue to monitor rainfall trends and provide updates as confidence in the forecast increases.

#SoutheastTexas #HoustonWeather #TexasWeather #TXwx #FloodSafety #HeavyRain #StayWeatherAware #WeatherInsights

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If you’re heading to the Texas coast today, be sure to check beach conditions before getting in the water. An elevated rip current risk is in place for much of the Texas coastline, creating dangerous swimming conditions.

A rip current is a powerful, narrow channel of water flowing away from the beach. These currents can quickly pull even experienced swimmers away from shore. They don’t pull you underwater—they carry you away from the beach.

Persistent onshore winds and building waves are creating stronger and more frequent rip currents along Texas beaches. Even if the weather looks great, dangerous surf conditions can still be present.

Stay calm. Don’t fight the current by swimming straight back to shore. Instead, swim parallel to the shoreline until you’re free of the current, then angle back toward the beach. If you can’t escape, float or tread water and wave for help.

With many people visiting the coast this weekend and attending FIFA-related activities across Texas, beach safety should be part of your plans. Before heading to the beach, check the latest forecast and surf conditions.

A little preparation can help ensure a safe and enjoyable day along the Texas coast.

#TexasWeather #TXwx #TexasCoast #RipCurrent #BeachSafety #GulfCoast #BeachForecast #StaySafe #WeatherInsights #FIFA2026

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The post 🌦️ Southeast Texas Weather Outlook This Week 🌦️ appeared first on Weather Insights.

 Increasing signal for heavy rainfall late Sunday-Tuesday

A tropical wave and associated large plume of moisture has moved over the Bay of Campeche this morning. Satellite images show a burst of deeper convection but there is no indication of any surface low IR Satellite Loop for Gulf of Mexico | Tropical Tidbits . Upper level conditions are only marginally favorable for any development of this system given westerly and southwesterly wind shear in place over the southern and western Gulf. This feature and associated moisture will spread NW toward the northern Mexican coast and south Texas coast over the weekend and then northward along the TX coast early next week.

Sunday-Tuesday:

As the feature in the southern Gulf moves toward the NE MX and lower TX coast over the weekend and plume of tropical moisture will spread NW into the TX coast. At the same time an usually strong trough of low pressure over the central plains will push a cold front southward into the region. This front looks to stall over the area Monday and Tuesday. The combination of the stalling front and tropical moisture will surge rain chances late Sunday into Tuesday. With the stalled front in the area the potential for cell training within a moisture rich environment will be increased. WPC has already outlooked portions of the area for Sunday and Monday for excessive rainfall.

It will be important over the next few days to monitor forecasted rainfall amounts and any potential flooding concerns early next week.

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🌦️ Southeast Texas Weekly Weather Outlook 🌦️

An active weather pattern is setting up across Southeast Texas this week with increasing humidity, daily storm chances, and the potential for heavy rainfall at times.

⛈️ Scattered storms begin increasing Monday

Now is a good time to stay weather aware as we head deeper into the week. We’ll continue refining rainfall totals and storm timing over the next several days.

#WeatherInsights #TXwx #SoutheastTexas #HoustonWeather

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For Mother’s Day, Sunday the next cool front will enter into N TX during the day and thunderstorms are likely to form along this boundary. Could see some sort of line or complex of storms form Sunday afternoon along the front and move into the area Sunday evening into Monday morning.

Severe:

Overall the severe threat is not overly high through the period, but it is also not zero. “Marginal” or level 1 out of 5 risk is in place for northern and northeast areas today and for much of the region on Saturday. Isolated instances of large hail or damaging winds will be the primary threats.

Will need to keep an eye on Sunday evening as the next front approaches as it looks like we will have better instability to work with and severe thunderstorms could move into the area from the northwest.

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Heavy rainfall is ongoing this morning, primarily north of US-59, where a Flood Watch remains in effect. Early impacts are already being observed, including areas of street flooding and rising water levels along creeks and bayous—especially across the شمال and northwest portions of the Houston metro.

Overnight, thunderstorms produced pockets of large hail from Sugar Land to Pearland. While storm intensity has briefly decreased, the overall pattern remains active, and multiple rounds of showers and thunderstorms are expected to continue through the day. The axis of heaviest rainfall is currently aligned from Columbus through Sealy, Cypress, Kingwood, and Liberty. Additional rainfall totals of 1 to 3 inches are likely, with isolated areas potentially receiving 4 to 5 inches where storms repeatedly move over the same locations.

As rainfall continues and soils become increasingly saturated, runoff will intensify, leading to ongoing rises in creeks, bayous, and rivers. Although storm motions are relatively fast, the potential for training storms raises concern for localized flooding, particularly in more vulnerable watersheds.

There is also a limited severe weather risk. A few stronger storms today could produce large hail or gusty winds, especially if the coastal boundary shifts farther inland and enhances instability.

A strong cold front is expected to move through later today, bringing an end to the rain from north to south by this evening. In its wake, a much cooler and drier air mass will settle into the region, setting up a more pleasant and stable weather pattern for the weekend.

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