Brian Szytel recaps a mixed market day with the Dow down 280 while the Nasdaq and S&P 500 were flat, as blue chips lagged and tech was positive. Treasury yields rose (10-year up 7 bps to 4.42%; 30-year briefly above 5%) alongside higher oil prices (WTI up ~8%, Brent up ~1%) amid Middle East tensions. He highlights three crosscurrents: the UAE leaving OPEC and its implications for oil-price control and potential benefits to U.S. shale; the FOMC holding rates with Powell signaling no cuts this year, inflation risks, unusual four dissents, and Kevin Walsh set to lead the Fed starting May 16; and “Mag Seven” earnings (Amazon, Google, Microsoft, Meta) shaping sentiment as overall earnings growth runs ~15.1% YoY. He also addresses real estate divergence (Class A diversified vs weaker markets), notes strong durable goods orders and steady housing starts, and says the S&P is up ~5% YTD with a modest upside bias despite volatility.|

00:00 Market Close Recap

00:32 Oil Surge and Rising Rates

00:54 UAE Exits OPEC

02:31 Fed Decision and Dissents

03:34 Mag Seven Earnings and AI Spend

04:25 Real Estate Divergence Explained

05:14 Durables and Housing Data

05:44 Rangebound Outlook and Signoff

Links mentioned in this episode:

TheBahnsenGroup.com