The next four years in British politics will be turbulent. Here is what the markets are predicting. And what I think will happen.

(00:00) intro

(00:15) What are the odds?

(04:15) Is the betting market wrong?

(06:20) Trend to populist right

(07:49) Labour’s position

(09:05) Will Keir Starmer be replaced?

(09:42) Labour will rebrand

(11:35) How Labour could win

(13:35) Labour and immigration

(14:23) Can the Conservatives win?

(16:39) The Liberal Democrats

(17:18) The Greens and Zack Polanski

(20:50) How Reform could be defeated

(26:35) Centrists: my message to you

(28:03) The left: how you can win

(32:28) What will happen if Farage wins

(36:28) The slide towards extremism

(38:28) Reform voters: my message to you