The past week saw markets and economies grappling with ongoing trade tensions, slowing economic data, and uncertainty around central bank policy.
In short:
- No Breakthrough in Trade Talks: U.S.-China negotiations in London concluded without resolution, maintaining existing tariffs and contributing to an uncertain global growth outlook.
- Mixed Economic Signals: U.S. services data softened, China’s exports to the U.S. declined sharply, and Europe saw varied results across labour and industrial indicators.
- Central Banks Remain Data-Dependent: While the ECB cut rates and signalled a pause, the Fed held steady, citing the need for more data. In Australia, the RBA faces a more complicated path, with slowing growth and persistent cost pressures adding nuance to future rate decisions.
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