Data on 2,355 married women from the 2006 China
Health and Nutrition Survey are used to study how female employment
affects fertility in China. China has deep concerns with both population
size and female employment, so the relationship between the two should
be better understood. Causality flows in both directions. A conceptual
model shows how employment prospects affect fertility. Then an
instrumental variable isolates this effects. Female employment reduces a
married woman's preferred number of children by 0.35 on average and her
actual number by 0.50. Ramifications for China's one-child policy are
discussed. Speaker: Karen Eggleston, Director, Asia Health Policy
Program, Stanford University