ENSO updateLatest model runs from NOAA and the Australian Bureau of Meteorology have backed off on the super strong El Nino forecast – as we expectedSouth America UpdateSouthwestern Argentina started getting rain overnightRain will be widespread in Argentina, Uruguay and Rio Grande do Sul in the coming week occurring in a couple of wavesSome areas will see the moisture profile saturate, but it should not last longDrier bias remains in interior southern Brazil for this first week of the outlook with some short-term relief in the second weekMato Grosso to Minas Gerais wet bias is misleading in the accumulative total rain map pagesOnly short-term bouts of greater rain are expectedNorth America UpdateThis week’s heatwave will add more stress to wheat areas in the Plains, but it will be mostly today and Saturday and again briefly during mid-week next weekProspects for rain in early April rain remain in the forecast today in portions of the Plains, Midwest, Delta and southeastern statesRelief is possible, but not necessarily in the western high Plains regionWest and South Texas and northeastern Mexico will all have opportunities for shower and thunderstorm activity in early April; though, the amounts will still be light and sporadic coverage in some areasDrought will remain in the southeastern corner of the U.S.Temperatures will be warmer than usual in much of the contiguous U.S. in week two, but the only excessive heat will be in western parts of the nation into Saturday and again briefly next weekRest of WorldFew theme changes noted overnightNorthern India gets some welcome rain ThursdayIndia has a milder than usual temperature regime in the next five days and then warms up again – no excessive heat, thoughIndia also gets a few random showers helping crops as they fillMiddle East flood potential still high in the coming week; although today’s outlook is not quite as intensive on the rain as advertised previouslyEurope weather will be tranquil for a whileCIS snow melt will continue to advance well without new rain/snow to aggravate the situationChina’s Yangtze River Basin will be wettestMost of east-central China’s wheat and rapeseed areas benefited from rain in the past weekEastern Australia dryness will favor maturing summer crops and their harvestSouth Africa will trend wetter World Weather, Inc. forecasts and comments pertaining to present, past and future weather conditions included in this report constitute the corporation's judgment as of the date of this report and are subject to change without notice. Comments regarding damage or the impact of weather on agricultural and energy as well comments made regarding the impact of weather on the commodity and financial markets are the explicit opinions of World Weather, Inc. World Weather, Inc. cannot be held responsible for decisions made by users of the Corporation's information in any business, trade or investment decision.
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