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A lot of tech right now feels like people acting out the shape of innovation without the substance underneath it. You can see the same pattern across AI branding, strange product launches, and giant partnerships that sound important before you ask what problem they're actually solving.
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A lot of tech stories right now ask you to trust the scale before you understand the product. Billions in GPUs, endless token burn, weird hardware demos, and growth metrics that sound huge until you ask what actually got better.
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There are two stories around AI right now. One is that the future is arriving at godlike speed. The other is that a lot of this depends on accounting, incentives, and people being too emotionally invested to ask basic questions.
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A $38.5 billion loss sounds like catastrophe until you ask what kind of loss it actually was. With OpenAI's 2025 numbers, the most important question isn't whether the figure is big. It's what inside that figure reflects the business, and what reflects a one-time accounting shock.
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One story here looks like safety theater colliding with geopolitics. The other looks like a business model colliding with arithmetic.
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An OpenAI IPO sounds like a simple milestone story until you put the financing next to the spending. Then it stops looking like a normal growth company and starts looking like a test of how much strain the market will absorb for AI.
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The core question here isn't whether AI is useful. It's whether the industry's spending plans make any economic sense at the scale being promised. And once you look at the debt, the token billing, and the revenue assumptions together, the stress points start to line up.
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The loudest AI story says inevitability: massive demand, massive disruption, massive value. The quieter story is about losses, subsidies, weird billing, concentrated customers, and a lot of people treating demos like proof.
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A lot of the AI argument right now comes down to a weird mismatch. The public story is abundance, efficiency, and inevitability. The financial story looks a lot murkier once you ask who pays, what gets measured, and whether any of it actually holds up without subsidies.
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A trillion dollars in GPUs sounds like inevitability until you ask who is actually using them, where they’re going, and how any of this gets paid back. The interesting question isn’t whether AI is real. It’s whether the current scale story survives contact with construction timelines, customer concentration, and basic unit economics.
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From the publisher's feed
Ed Zitron's worst enemy, an AI summarization of his anti-AI content. Get the squeeze of the Where's Your Ed At newsletter.
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