X's and Joe's

[23] Is There Really Such A Thing as ‘Program Momentum’?


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Hosts Bob Moats and Mike Wiemuth explore the concept of momentum in college basketball programs - what it really means, how it manifests, and what drives it in both positive and negative directions.

Segment 1

After briefly discussing recent football playoffs, they dive into defining program momentum and how it differs from game-level momentum. They explore how momentum is more about perception and emotional reactions from various stakeholders (fans, recruits, media, etc.) than purely on-court performance.

Key points:

  1. Momentum is easier to identify than define - it's like "knowing it when you see it"
  2. Social media acts as an accelerator of momentum, both positive and negative
  3. Momentum involves multiple actors including coaches, players, fans, administration, and media all reacting to events and each other

Segment 2

The hosts examine specific examples of program momentum, both positive and negative:

  1. Penn State under Mike Rhoades showing positive momentum despite coaching change
  2. Michigan's transition from Juwan Howard to Dusty May
  3. North Carolina's gradual decline under Hubert Davis
  4. Villanova's struggles under Kyle Neptune

They discuss how momentum can be affected by:

  • Coaching changes
  • Recruiting success/failure
  • Fan engagement
  • Media coverage
  • Regional rivalries
  • Program expectations

Segment 3

The conversation shifts to Indiana basketball's current momentum situation, examining:

  1. Recent recruiting setbacks
  2. Early season performance concerns
  3. Program expectations vs reality
  4. The challenges of rebuilding momentum at a historically prominent program

The episode concludes with a tribute to Dick Van Arsdale, former Indiana University basketball great who recently passed away.

Throughout the discussion, Bob and Mike emphasize how momentum is about long-term patterns rather than individual events, and how it's often easier to lose momentum than to gain it, especially after a program's "honeymoon period" ends.

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