We predict that the impact of superhuman AI over the next decade will be enormous, exceeding that of the Industrial Revolution.We wrote a scenario that represents our best guess about what that might look like. It’s informed by trend extrapolations, wargames, expert feedback, experience at OpenAI, and previous forecasting successes.(This is the short version without footnotes or expandable boxes.)

We predict that the impact of superhuman AI over the next decade will be enormous, exceeding that of the Industrial Revolution. We wrote a scenario that represents our best guess about what that might look like. It’s informed by trend extrapolations, wargames, expert feedback, experience at OpenAI, and previous forecasting successes. (This is the short version without footnotes or expandable boxes.)

AI 2027

The AI Futures Project is a 501(c)(3) nonprofit research organization. We have developed a scenario forecast detailing the development of artificial general intelligence (AGI) and artificial superintelligence (ASI). Based on our research, we’ve come to believe that we might cross the thresholds to AGI and ASI within just a few years—and that plausible outcomes include unprecedented concentration of power, global catastrophe, or progress and flourishing. The world is not ready for such a radical transformation. We hope to help policymakers, AI companies, AI entrepreneurs, AI safety researchers, and the general public to make sense of what’s coming, so they can take action and steer us in a better direction. In addition to our scenario forecast, we are developing <a href="https://time.com/collection/time100-voices/7086285/ai-transparency-measures/">policy recommendations</a> and tabletop exercises (wargames) for decisionmakers.

Science

Technology

The AI Futures Project is a 501(c)(3) nonprofit research organization. We have developed a scenario forecast detailing the development of artificial general intelligence (AGI) and artificial superintelligence (ASI). Based on our research, we’ve come to believe that we might cross the thresholds to AGI and ASI within just a few years—and that plausible outcomes include unprecedented concentration of power, global catastrophe, or progress and flourishing. The world is not ready for such a radical transformation. We hope to help policymakers, AI companies, AI entrepreneurs, AI safety researchers, and the general public to make sense of what’s coming, so they can take action and steer us in a better direction. In addition to our scenario forecast, we are developing policy recommendations and tabletop exercises (wargames) for decisionmakers.

The AI Futures Project is a 501(c)(3) nonprofit research organization. We have developed a scenario forecast detailing the development of artificial general intelligence (AGI) and artificial superintelligence (ASI). Based on our research, we’ve come to believe that we might cross the thresholds to AGI and ASI within just a few years—and that plausible outcomes include unprecedented concentration of power, global catastrophe, or progress and flourishing. The world is not ready for such a radical transformation. We hope to help policymakers, AI companies, AI entrepreneurs, AI safety researchers, and the general public to make sense of what’s coming, so they can take action and steer us in a better direction. In addition to our scenario forecast, we are developing <a href="https://time.com/collection/time100-voices/7086285/ai-transparency-measures/" rel="noopener noreferrer">policy recommendations</a> and tabletop exercises (wargames) for decisionmakers.

Share AI 2027

Sign up to save your podcasts

AI 2027

AI 2027

More shows like AI Futures Project

Radiolab

Hidden Brain

Making Sense with Sam Harris

Pod Save America

The Daily

The Diary Of A CEO with Steven Bartlett

Die sogenannte Gegenwart

Hard Fork

Huberman Lab

The Ezra Klein Show

Search Engine

AI in Business