Interview with Nic Earner, Managing Director of Alkane Resources Ltd.

Our previous interview: https://www.cruxinvestor.com/posts/alkane-resources-asxalk-gold-production-growth-exploration-upside-in-top-mining-jurisdiction-5395

Recording date: 28th June 2024

Alkane Resources (ASX:ALK), an established Australian gold producer, is embarking on an ambitious expansion of its Tomingley Gold Operations in New South Wales. The company aims to increase annual gold production from its current level of 60,000 ounces to 100,000 ounces by 2026, representing a significant 67% boost in output.

The expansion plan, outlined by Managing Director Nic Earner, involves a comprehensive A$132 million investment program. This includes underground development of newly discovered deposits south of the existing mine, new open pit operations, and upgrades to processing facilities. A key component of the expansion is the relocation of a national highway, highlighting the scale and complexity of the project.

Financially, Alkane is well-positioned to execute this growth strategy. The company has secured a A$60 million debt facility, which it plans to upsize to A$110 million. Importantly, Alkane expects to fund a significant portion of the expansion through operating cash flows. Earner projects potential free cash flow generation over the next five years at current gold prices, after accounting for expansion costs.

From a cost perspective, Alkane anticipates all-in sustaining costs (AISC) to average around A$2,000 per ounce (US$1,300-1,350) over the next five years. While costs are expected to be higher in the initial years due to increased development activities, they are projected to decrease below this average in later years, potentially enhancing profit margins.

The current resource base supports a mine life extending to 2032, but Alkane sees potential for further extensions. The company is actively exploring both near-mine and regional targets, allocating A$10 million annually to these efforts. Several opportunities for resource growth have been identified, including depth extensions at existing deposits and potential new underground developments.

As Alkane approaches the 100,000-ounce annual production milestone, it may attract increased attention from institutional investors. Many fund managers have minimum production thresholds for gold mining investments, often around this level. This transition could potentially lead to a re-rating of Alkane's stock as it enters the investment universe of larger funds.

While the growth prospects are promising, investors should be aware of potential risks. These include execution risks associated with the complex expansion project, gold price volatility, regulatory and environmental factors, and the inherent uncertainties in resource development.
In the broader macroeconomic context, gold producers like Alkane are operating in a complex environment. Factors such as inflation concerns, geopolitical tensions, and currency fluctuations continue to influence gold prices. Additionally, industry-wide challenges in replacing reserves and increasing focus on ESG factors are shaping the competitive landscape.

Alkane's expansion strategy aligns well with these industry trends. By growing production and maintaining competitive costs, the company is positioning itself to capitalize on potential upside in gold prices while building resilience against market volatility.

For investors, Alkane Resources presents an opportunity to gain exposure to a growth-oriented gold producer with a clear expansion plan, potential for increased cash flow generation, and possible re-rating as it reaches a more substantial production profile. However, as with any mining investment, careful consideration should be given to the associated risks and the investor's own risk tolerance and investment objectives.

View Alkane Resources' company profile: https://www.cruxinvestor.com/companies/alkane-resources

Sign up for Crux Investor: https://cruxinvestor.com