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After a tariff war and months of recriminations, Chinese and U.S.
officials are finalizing a trade deal. But uncertainty lingers. Bob Davis,
Senior Editor for the Wall Street Journal, explains whether Donald
Trump and Xi Jinping have reached a real agreement – or just a
temporary truce.
More at https://altamar.us/us-china-trade-is-this-the-real-deal/
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Mexico’s AMLO is wildly popular, but there are strains everywhere. His bromance with President Trump and his fragile relationship with the business community could sour quickly. Will AMLO’s personality-driven politics undermine his support? Former U.S. Ambassador to Mexico Roberta Jacobson explains why the country could be in for a bumpy ride.
More at https://altamar.us/amlos-mexico-100-days/
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Can a new form of Pax Americana ever emerge post-Trump? Ivo Daalder, President of the Chicago Council on Global Affairs and co-author of The Empty Throne: America's Abdication of Global Leadership, discusses the void left behind as the United States turns inwards and rebuffs multilateralism – and why an internationalist United States could ultimately re-emerge from this nationalist moment.
More at https://altamar.us/empty-throne-does-the-world-miss-us-global-leadership/
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The first signs of fracture are beginning to show in Benjamin “Bibi” Netanyahu’s once unassailable political coalition. Charismatic rivals from the left and the right are striking out on their own, emboldened by a potential indictment of the Israeli Prime Minister. But Gil Tamary, Washington bureau chief for Israel’s independent Reshet News, explains why “Bibi” might very well come out victorious on Election Day April 9.
More at https://altamar.us/israels-elections-bye-bye-bibi/
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The clock is ticking on Brexiting Britain’s withdrawal from the European Union. Prime Minister Theresa May’s EU deal was defeated in Parliament and time is running out on a formal exit plan to avoid catastrophe. Lord Mark Malloch Brown, former UK government minister and Chairman of Best for Britain, an organization pushing for a new Brexit vote, explains what happens next and why a new referendum could just be Britain’s saving grace.
More at https://altamar.us/ugly-brexit-whats-next/
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The EU says Italy is "sleepwalking into instability.” For the populist Lega and Five Star parties, a fight with Brussels is just what the doctor ordered. Italy isn’t going to Brexit anytime soon, but Italy’s support for the European project is under strain.
More at https://altamar.us/reconcilable-differences-italy-eu/
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From “Person of the Year” to the “Didn’t See This Coming” award, Peter and Muni hand out Altamar’s 2018 accolades. Turning towards 2019, Council of Foreign Relations president shares pointed views on why a Chinese takeover is far-fetched, multilateralism isn’t dead yet, and the threat of global “drift” is on the rise.
More at https://altamar.us/2019-year-drifting-dangerously/
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Canada has emerged as in independent voice and flagbearer of international liberalism. But concessions in the new US-Mexico-Canada agreement have sparked a backlash back home. The jury’s still out on the benefits of marijuana legalization. Will Canadians tire of Trudeau’s “yoga democracy”?
More at https://altamar.us/canada-cool-confident/
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Mauricio Macri was the darling of international investors after twelve years of radical Peronism. Now Argentina’s economy and center-right President are reeling. Economist Brad Setser of the Council on Foreign Relations predicts a massive and painful recession next year, a potential default after Argentina’s presidential elections, and a risk of global impact. But does economic meltdown have to spell political chaos too?
More at https://altamar.us/argentinas-looming-doomsday/
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After Jair Bolsonaro’s big win in Brazil, Altamar confronts the question everyone is asking: what’s next? Some of his most notorious campaign proposals may be stymied by Brazil’s powerful congress, but radical rhetoric combined with political gridlock can prove just as damaging.
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