Alternative Visions

Alternative Visions_072222_ US Recession: Latest Indicators Show ‘Technical’ Recession Already Here


Listen Later

Dr. Rasmus reviews the latest data and economic indicators this past week which show a ‘technical’ recession is likely already here. ‘Technical’ refers to two consecutive quarter declines in US GDP. First quarter 2022 already declined at -1.6%. 2nd Quarter predictions by Fed show another -1.5% fall. Rasmus reviews other indicators: recent retail sales adjusted for inflation, consumer sentiment, business activity contraction in the important benchmark region of the mid-Atlantic states, and today the latest release of Purchasing Managers’ Indices for manufacturing and services, both of which now contracting, with forecasts in some regions worse to come.  Rasmus notes the recent McKinsey Consultants report on ‘The Great Attrition’, contrasted to his own ‘Great Strike’ prediction of last fall. Important union negotiations and possible strikes in railroads, west coast ports, and Teamsters next year are discussed, in relation to the anti-union 1947 Taft-Hartley Act designed to enable US government to intervene and stop strikes. Global slowdown in China and Europe and Japan now sliding into recession as well. Rasmus predicts Fed ‘demand destruction’ rapid rate hikes will ensure even non-technical definition of recession before year end 2022. But destroying demand forces contributing to inflation won’t abate supply forces also contributing. Thus recession will take down half of current inflation rate but inflation will continue into the recession period.
...more
View all episodesView all episodes
Download on the App Store

Alternative VisionsBy Progressive Radio Network

  • 4.8
  • 4.8
  • 4.8
  • 4.8
  • 4.8

4.8

25 ratings


More shows like Alternative Visions

View all
Economic Update with Richard D. Wolff by Democracy at Work, Richard D. Wolff

Economic Update with Richard D. Wolff

1,983 Listeners

The Corbett Report Podcast by The Corbett Report

The Corbett Report Podcast

904 Listeners

Progressive Commentary Hour by Progressive Radio Network

Progressive Commentary Hour

116 Listeners

Ralph Nader Radio Hour by Ralph Nader

Ralph Nader Radio Hour

1,197 Listeners

The Katie Halper Show by Katie Halper

The Katie Halper Show

1,482 Listeners

The Duran Podcast by The Duran

The Duran Podcast

596 Listeners

Gerald Celente - Trends in the News by Gerald Celente

Gerald Celente - Trends in the News

251 Listeners

Bannon`s War Room by WarRoom.org

Bannon`s War Room

17,038 Listeners

Book Club with Jeffrey Sachs by Jeffrey Sachs

Book Club with Jeffrey Sachs

150 Listeners

Judging Freedom by Judge Napolitano

Judging Freedom

891 Listeners

System Update with Glenn Greenwald by Rumble

System Update with Glenn Greenwald

1,171 Listeners

Geopolitical Economy Report by Ben Norton

Geopolitical Economy Report

300 Listeners

Multipolarity by Multipolarity

Multipolarity

36 Listeners

The Chris Hedges Report by Chris Hedges

The Chris Hedges Report

337 Listeners

Daniel Davis Deep Dive by Daniel Davis

Daniel Davis Deep Dive

63 Listeners