Is the 18-year property cycle about to signal the start of the next UK boom?

In this episode, I break down the 18-year cycle, where it comes from, how its four phases work, and whether it still maps onto real house price data.

We cover:

• The origins of the cycle and how it’s been used historically
• Whether the UK has already had a “silent crash” in real (inflation-adjusted) house prices
• Current price trends and where we might be in the cycle now
• How interest rates and inflation interact with cycle phases

Some believe the 18-year cycle reveals deep market patterns. Others dismiss it. I explore both and explain why long-term fundamentals still matter more than trying to time the perfect entry.

Resources,

👉 Get a free copy of my book, The Expat Property Playbook:
https://www.calwilliamson.com/

Read the Savills research on inflation-adjusted UK house prices here: https://www.savills.co.uk/research_articles/229130/382247-0

Read Average UK home passes £300,000 for first time here: https://www.theguardian.com/business/2026/feb/06/price-of-average-uk-home-passes-300000-for-first-time-halifax-says#:~:text=The%20average%20cost%20of%20a,was%20recorded%20in%20November%202024.

Read Latest from Bank of England here:
https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/the-interest-rate-bank-rate