This is your Beijing Bytes: US-China Tech War Updates podcast.
Hey there, I'm Ting, and welcome to Beijing Bytes, your go-to source for the latest on the US-China tech war. Let's dive right in.
Over the past two weeks, we've seen some major developments that are heating up the tech competition between these two superpowers. First off, cybersecurity incidents are on the rise. Just yesterday, the US Treasury Department sanctioned Beijing-based Integrity Technology Group, Incorporated, for its role in multiple computer intrusion incidents against US victims. These incidents have been linked to Flax Typhoon, a Chinese malicious state-sponsored cyber group that's been active since at least 2021, targeting organizations within US critical infrastructure sectors[1].
But that's not all. The Biden administration has been pushing for more mandatory cybersecurity protocols, especially after the recent breach of nine US telecommunications providers by the Salt Typhoon group, which has given the Chinese government broad access to Americans' data. Outgoing FBI Director Christopher Wray called it the "most significant cyber espionage campaign in history"[4].
Now, let's talk about new tech restrictions. The incoming Trump administration is expected to intensify the US's "tough on China" technology policy approach, expanding the scope of controlled technologies. This could create revenue risks for manufacturers exporting to China, especially in the semiconductor industry. Capstone analyst Ian Tang predicts that the Trump administration will implement stricter and more expansive controls, driving a harder line with allies on enforcement[2].
These policy changes are already having industry impacts. The Treasury Department's Outbound Investment Program, which went into effect on January 2, 2025, restricts US capital investments in certain advanced technologies linked to China. This could affect firms like SMIC, which have benefited from lax application of US export controls in the past[5].
So, what does this mean for both nations? Well, experts like David Sedney, former deputy assistant secretary of defense, believe that things are going to get much worse before they get any better. The Chinese government is likely to restrict access to US consumer electronics, primarily smartphones, within China's border to reduce foreign technology dependence. This could threaten technology companies like Apple and Microsoft that are reliant on Chinese end markets[2].
In conclusion, the US-China tech war is heating up, with cybersecurity incidents on the rise, new tech restrictions in place, and policy changes that are having significant industry impacts. As we move forward, it's clear that both nations are taking a more aggressive stance, and it's anyone's guess what the future holds. Stay tuned for more updates on Beijing Bytes.
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