Betsperts Golf Betting and DFS Preview

0:00 - CJ Cup Byron Nelson Recap and Craig Ranch Beatdown

0:02:00 - Could Byron Nelson Become a Fall Event?

0:03:00 - Colonial Course Breakdown and Two Years of Data

0:05:00 - Inside 15 Feet: Most Predictive Stat at Colonial

0:08:00 - Ludvig Åberg at 10-1: Too Short to Bet?

0:13:00 - JT Back in Play: Has He Fixed the Putter?

0:20:00 - JJ Spaun at 33-1

0:24:00 - Bobby Mac and Ben Griffin as Fades

0:27:00 - Rickie Fowler in Pencil at 27-1

0:28:00 - Ryo at 40-1 and the Course Fit Case

0:37:00 - Max Greyserman at 66-1: Tee to Green Sleeper

0:38:00 - Tony Finau at 70-1: Big Tone is Back

0:45:00 - Gary Woodland, Pierceson Coody, and Tom Hoge Longshots

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0:00 - CJ Cup Byron Nelson Recap and Wyndham Clark Wins

0:02:10 - Charles Schwab Challenge Field and Odds Board Overview

0:04:25 - Ludvig Åberg as the Prohibitive Favorite at Colonial

0:05:00 - Colonial Country Club History and Course Profile

0:07:00 - How the Renovation Changed the Way Colonial Plays

0:09:00 - Small Greens, Narrow Fairways, and Bermuda Rough

0:13:00 - Why Iron Play Is the Key Handicapping Filter This Week

0:18:00 - Course History vs. Course Fit: Which One to Trust

0:20:00 - Rabbit Hole Walkthrough and Comp Course Data

0:28:00 - Model Output: JJ Spaun Rises to the Top

0:33:00 - Alex Smalley Value Spot vs. the Odds Board

0:36:00 - Final Model Rankings and Early Betting Angles

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0:00 - PGA Championship Recap and Andy's Tough Week

0:07:00 - Craig Ranch vs. Aronimink: Night and Day Handicap

0:09:00 - Scottie at Even Money: Bet Him or Fade Him?

0:13:00 - Andy's Model and Scottie Separating From Everyone

0:18:00 - Weak Field Scoring Filter and Who Pops Up

0:20:00 - Inside 15 Feet Rankings: Si Woo, Spieth, Davis Thompson

0:23:00 - Brooks and Si Woo as Fades at Their Current Price

0:25:00 - Andy's Top Bet: Rico Hoey at 30-1 Without Scottie

0:27:00 - Keith Mitchell Number One in the Model

0:33:00 - Beau Hossler at 80-1 and the Puerto Rico Corollary

0:35:00 - Karl Vilips as the Bomber Longshot Play

0:36:00 - Chandler Blanchet at 150-1 Without Scottie

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0:00 - PGA Championship Recap and Aaron Rai Wins

0:03:00 - Why Small Field No-Cut Events Need to Go

0:07:00 - Aaron Rai's Back Nine Run That Closed It Out

0:09:00 - Craig Ranch Course Overview and New Setup

0:12:00 - How the Renovation Changes the Handicap

0:17:00 - Scotty Scheffler: Without Market vs. Each Way

0:19:00 - Scheffler's Byron Nelson Connection and Motivation

0:22:00 - Modeling Craig Ranch: Easy Scoring Conditions Filter

0:25:00 - Strokes Gained Rankings: Rye, Si Woo, Thor Lead

0:30:00 - Gary Higgo Tee Time Incident Breakdown

0:33:00 - Approach Shot Distribution at Craig Ranch

0:38:00 - Tee to Green Ceiling Plays and Birdie Opportunity Names

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0:00 - PGA Championship Intro and Course Overview

0:02:00 - Why 2018 BMW Data at Aronimink Is Useless

0:04:00 - Rory's Presser: Driver Heavy Despite Course Setup

0:07:00 - Three Types of Courses and Where Aronimink Fits

0:13:00 - Green Complex Difficulty and Putting Strategy

0:18:00 - Morikawa Health Watch and Whether to Bet Him

0:22:00 - Truist Recap and Cam Young's Scrambling on Friday

0:24:00 - Odds Board: Scotty 5, Rory 9, Cam 12, Rahm 15

0:28:00 - Why Andy Is Chasing the Cam Young Dragon Again

0:33:00 - Henley and Hatton as Mid-Range Value Plays

0:37:00 - Andy's Card

0:38:00 - JJ Spaun and Sepp Straka as Long Shot Plays

0:55:00 - DFS Strategy: Fading Bryson and JT at Their Price

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0:00 - Truist Result, PGA Championship Preview

0:02:20 - Why the PGA Championship Delivers Elite Winners

0:02:55 - Aronimink: Donald Ross Design and Course Overview

0:05:00 - 176 Bunkers and What That Means for Accuracy

0:07:00 - Crowded Leaderboard Potential With Top Names In Form

0:13:00 - Par Seventy Comps and Approach Distance Ranges

0:19:00 - Par Four Scoring as the Key Handicapping Filter

0:24:00 - Major Performance Data and Who Shows Up

0:26:00 - Russell Henley and Morikawa as Wild Cards

0:33:30 - Scoring Proximity and Getting Inside Fifteen Feet

0:36:00 - Ron's Hole-by-Hole Approach Model Breakdown

0:50:00 - Top Names for the Week: Scheffler, Rory, Cam Young

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0:00 - Double Header Week: Truist and Myrtle Beach

0:02:30 - No-Cut Signature Events and Why They Fall Flat

0:04:10 - Rory and Xander Course History at Quail Hollow

0:06:00 - Using the Right Data: Avoiding the Potomac Trap

0:08:00 - Driver Heavy, Long Approach Shots Full Stop

0:14:00 - Cam Young: Why He's Still the Bet This Week

0:22:00 - Cam Young Caddy Change and What's Different Now

0:26:00 - Hojgaard, Min woo Lee, and the 40-50 Range

0:29:00 - Gotterup, Ben Griffin, and the Bomber Overlay

0:37:30 - Fitzpatrick, Denny McCarthy, and DFS Putters

0:40:15 - Andy's Final Bets: Cam, Minwoo, Gotterup, HOJ

0:51:00 - Myrtle Beach: ADDC and Why the Field Is Thin

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0:00 - Cam Young Win Recap and Cadillac Thoughts

0:02:00 - Signature Event Model Problems and Schedule Issues

0:05:00 - Scheffler, Henley, Morikawa Missing the Truist

0:08:00 - PGA Tour Schedule Needs a Closer Look

0:10:00 - Quail Hollow Course History and Event Background

0:14:00 - Course Profile: Driver Heavy and Long Approaches

0:21:00 - Approach Shot Distribution at Quail Hollow

0:25:00 - Comp Courses: Bay Hill, Memorial, Torrey South

0:31:00 - Modeling Philosophy: Form Over Fit Over History

0:35:00 - How to Use Sample Size in the Rabbit Hole

0:43:00 - Cam Young Separates at the Top of the Model

0:45:00 - Quail Hollow Course History Names to Know

0:49:00 - Myrtle Beach Alt Field Quick Look and PGA Championship Futures

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0:00 - One and Done Recap and Scheffler Discussion

0:03:00 - Why Five Top Players Skipped the Cadillac

0:07:30 - No-Cut Format and What It Changes in DFS

0:12:00 - Model Breakdown: Cam Young and Scheffler on Top

0:18:30 - Andy's Betting Filters: Distance, Bogey Avoidance

0:20:00 - Consensus Rankings and Cam Young at the Top

0:22:57 - Gotterup Bet and Why He Fits the Blue Monster

0:26:00 - Woodland and Hojgaard as Longer Shot Plays

0:28:00 - Sam Stevens and Kitayama as Near Misses

0:33:00 - One and Done Advice: Cantlay, Morikawa, Henley

0:35:00 - DFS Targets: Knapp, McNeely, Low-Owned Options 

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0:00 - Zurich Recap and Fitzpatrick Brothers Win

0:03:59 - Cadillac Championship Field With Key Withdrawals

0:05:08 - Doral Blue Monster History and Course Changes

0:07:30 - Why This Is One of the Toughest Tee Challenges All Year

0:15:00 - Long and Difficult Course Filter in the Rabbit Hole

0:19:00 - Key Names Rising: Henley, Tommy, Morikawa, Cam Young

0:21:36 - Driver vs Accuracy: How to Approach the Tee Stats

0:25:00 - Distance From Fairway Edge as the Key Off-Tee Metric

0:33:36 - Bermuda Short Game and Putting Filters That Matter

0:37:00 - Scheffler's Approach Struggles and What It Means

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