Betsperts Golf Betting and DFS Preview

0:00 - Solo Pod, John Deere Classic Week Recap

0:02:00 - Field Strength Compared to Last Year's Travelers

0:04:00 - Driver Usage Jumped From 63 to 75 Percent

0:08:00 - Why Pure Bombers Don't Separate at Deere Run

0:11:00 - Odds Board: Koivin Favorite Ahead of Griffin and Gotterup

0:12:00 - Andy's Model: Easy Conditions and Inside 15 Feet Filter

0:14:00 - Pierceson Coody at the Top of the Card

0:15:30 - Jackson Suber, Blades Brown, and Johnny Keefer Breakdown

0:18:00 - Why First Time Winners Define This Tournament

0:26:00 - First Round Leader Card and Lucas Glover Watch

0:29:00 - Five Man Card: Suber, Brennan, Keefer, Coody, Blades Brown

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Full models, picks, and DFS breakdowns live in the Rabbit Hole. Use code *BSG26* for 25% off any Betsperts Golf plan: https://bit.ly/40MZdaD

0:00 - Victor Hovland Beats Scottie in a Playoff

0:02:00 - John Deere Classic Field and Why It Could Be the Last Great One

0:03:00 - Odds Board: Gotterup, Ben Griffin, Keith Mitchell at the Top

0:04:30 - TPC Deere Run Course Profile and What Makes It Unique

0:07:00 - Why Accuracy Beats Distance at Deere Run

0:09:00 - Par Five Scoring and Birdie Opportunity Breakdown

0:13:00 - Rabbit Hole Walkthrough: Easy Scoring and Birdie or Better Filter

0:16:00 - Jackson Coivin's Pro Debut and Why People Are Clicking Him

0:19:00 - Blades Brown at 66-1 and Thorbjørn Olesen at 35

0:22:00 - Young Guns Angle: Under 24 and Why They Dominate Here

0:28:00 - Luke Clanton, Preston Stout, and Other Rookie Watch Names

0:33:00 - Common Links Across Filters and Final Model Names

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0:00 - Wyndham Clark Wins the US Open Again

0:01:00 - New PGA Tour Structure and Relegation Breakdown

0:04:00 - East Lake Playoff Problems and Tour Scheduling Issues

0:09:00 - Crowd Behavior at Shinnecock and the Wyndham Dynamic

0:14:00 - Travelers Field and TPC River Highlands Overview

0:20:00 - Scotty at Four to One and the Without Market

0:22:00 - Morikawa at 30-1 and Why He Fits River Highlands

0:25:00 - Odds Board: Crowded 20-30 Range and How to Pick

0:29:00 - JJ Spaun at 55-1: Six Straight Top 25s Outside Majors

0:33:00 - Rabbit Hole Walkthrough: Less Than Driver Ball Striking Filter

0:38:00 - Justin Thomas at 33-1: Three Straight Top Tens Here

0:43:00 - Keegan Bradley Defending but Stats Are Down Year Over Year

0:47:00 - Andy's Card: Morikawa, Akshay Bhatia, Harman, Hoge, Glover

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Full models, picks, and DFS breakdowns live in the Rabbit Hole. Use code BSG26 for 25% off any Betsperts Golf plan: https://bit.ly/40MZdaD

0:00 - Wyndham Clark Wins the US Open Again

0:04:00 - The Strange Vibes and Crowd Dynamic at Shinnecock

0:10:00 - Travelers Championship Field and No-Cut Signature Format

0:14:00 - TPC River Highlands Course Profile and History

0:22:00 - Less Than Driver and Positional Golf at River Highlands

0:24:00 - Comp Courses: Harbortown, Sawgrass, Colonial, Innisbrook

0:27:00 - Course History and Why Form Matters More Than Fit Here

0:33:00 - Scotty, Henley, Si Woo, and Cantlay Rise to the Top

0:38:00 - Keegan Bradley's Home Course Advantage and History Here

0:42:00 - Rory, Cam Young, and Fitzpatrick Course Fit Discussion

0:45:00 - Rabbit Hole Walkthrough: Easy Scoring and Short Course Filter

0:47:00 - JT Thomas at 33-1 and His River Highlands Course History

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0:00 - US Open Betting Guide Intro and Shinnecock Overview

0:01:00 - Pay Attention to Player Interviews This Week

0:03:00 - Wind Forecast and Wave Advantage Considerations

0:05:00 - Scottie's Grand Slam Narrative and Whether to Bet Him

0:08:00 - 2004 and 2018 Rewatch Value and USGA Setup Notes

0:16:00 - Why Rory Fits Shinnecock and Andy's Course Fit Case

0:20:00 - Patrick Reed and the Courses He Shouldn't Model Well At

0:24:00 - Rory vs. the Field: Tier Comparisons at Current Price

0:29:00 - Cam Young and the Case for Him

0:31:00 - Fitzpatrick, Xander, and Tommy as Near Misses

0:38:00 - Brooks Fade and the Nerve Issue Playing a Factor

0:42:00 - JJ Spaun at 60-1 and the Defending Champion Angle

0:53:00 - Shane Lowry at 85-1 as Andy's Long Shot Play

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0:00 - US Open First Look at Shinnecock Hills

0:04:00 - Odds Board: Scottie at 6-1, Rory, Rahm, and the Second Tier

0:06:00 - Scottie's Grand Slam Bid and Father's Day Birthday Storyline

0:07:00 - Thursday Wind Forecast and How USGA Will Set Up the Course

0:08:00 - Wider Fairways in 2026 and What That Changes Off the Tee

0:12:00 - Two-Foot Fescue Rough and Why Missing Fairways Is Death

0:19:00 - Brian Harman Accuracy Angle vs. Minwoo Lee Bomber Risk

0:21:00 - Par Four Scoring Is the Key Filter at Shinnecock

0:25:00 - Bogey and Double Bogey Avoidance on Impossible Conditions

0:30:00 - Comp Courses: Pinehurst, Links Style, and Open Championship Data

0:34:00 - Very Difficult Scoring Filter in the Rabbit Hole

0:36:00 - Model Output: Scottie, Rahm, Xander, Henley on Top

0:53:00 - Cam Smith, Tommy Fleetwood, and Ty Hatton as Live Plays

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0:00 - JT Poston's Memorial Win and What It Means

0:02:00 - TPC Toronto: Why Form Matters More Than Stats Here

0:06:00 - DFS Strategy: Fading the Bomber Narrative in GPPs

0:08:00 - Andy's Five-Man Card and How He Built It

0:14:00 - Burns at 16-1: The Only Short Price Andy Can Back

0:22:00 - Wyndham Clark at 46-1: Birthday Bonus Bet

0:25:00 - Kristoff Reiten: Wedge Work and Tee to Green Form

0:27:00 - Bobby Mac Rolling the Wrong Way at the Same Price

0:34:00 - Nikolai Hojgaard: Six Top Tens in Last Seven Starts

0:36:00 - Is Scottie's Dip the Kids Factor? The Spieth Comparison

0:38:00 - Alex Fitzpatrick Inside 15 Feet Data Deep Dive

0:47:00 - DFS Targets: Burns, Wyndham, Eric Cole, and Alex Fitz

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0:00 - Memorial Recap, JT Poston Wins, Golf's Longest Day

0:01:30 - RBC Canadian Open: Year Two at TPC Toronto

0:02:00 - Why Bombers Win Here and How to Approach the Wedge Edge

0:05:44 - Odds Board Overview: Fleetwood, Fitzpatrick, Burns, Clark

0:07:00 - Morikawa Health Watch and What to Make of His Price

0:08:00 - Nikolai Hojgaard, Wyndham Clark, Brooks Koepka Value Case

0:10:00 - TPC Toronto Course Profile and What Last Year Taught Us

0:14:00 - Why Driving Distance Is the Primary Handicapping Filter

0:18:00 - Last Year's Leaderboard Deep Dive: Fox, Burns, Cam Young

0:20:00 - When the Bomber Narrative Gets Over Leveraged in DFS

0:22:00 - Rolling Form: Wyndham, Eric Cole, Aaron Rai, Sam Burns

0:28:00 - Model Breakdown and Who Separates at the Top

0:36:00 - Where the Model Bunches and Finding Value Lower Down

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0:00 - Colonial Recap and Russell Henley Wins

0:02:00 - JJ Spaun in the Mix and JJ Spaun Recap

0:05:00 - Memorial Field and the Signature Event Format

0:07:00 - Why Muirfield Village Is One of Golf's Hardest Tests

0:14:00 - Scotty at Even Money: Bet Him or Fade Him?

0:20:00 - How to Think About Probability on Short Prices

0:21:00 - Andy's Card: Matt Fitzpatrick as the Primary Bet

0:25:00 - US Open Prep Factor and Who This Week Favors

0:32:00 - Model Breakdown: Scotty, Si Woo, Fitz on Top

0:37:00 - Patrick Cantlay Course History and Why Andy Won't Click

0:38:00 - Nick Taylor: DFS Value but Hard to Win Outright

0:40:00 - Kurt Kitayama at 80-1 and Ryan Gerard at 110-1

0:51:00 - Cam Young Without Scotty and the Double Winner Discussion

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0:00 - Colonial Recap and JJ Spaun Hopes

0:01:45 - Memorial Tournament Field and Signature Event Format

0:02:00 - Muirfield Village Course Overview and 2020 Renovation

0:04:20 - Why Finding the Fairway Is Paramount Here

0:05:00 - Small Greens, Thick Rough, and Around the Green Importance

0:07:00 - Comp Courses: Augusta, Innisbrook, Bay Hill, Oakmont

0:08:00 - Scoring Conditions: Playing Over Par Is the Norm

0:14:00 - Course History and Why Experience Here Matters

0:20:00 - Recent Leaderboards: Hovland, Cantlay, Scottie's Back-to-Back

0:22:00 - Henley and Sepp Straka as Stylistic Fits

0:35:00 - Rabbit Hole Walkthrough and Difficult Ball Striking Filter

0:42:00 - Spahn, Rory, Cam Young, Xander Rise to the Top

0:44:00 - Scottie's Recent Form Drop and What It Means

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