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Wall St closed higher on Tuesday after Fed Chair Jerome Powell acknowledged progress on inflation but reiterated that the Fed was not quite ready to cut rates just yet. The Dow Jones rose 0.41%, while the the S&P500 gained 0.62% to close at a record 5509 points and the Nasdaq jumped 0.84% to a record close of 18,028.76 points.
Tesla shares rose 4% on Tuesday after the EV company reported better-than-expected deliveries for the second quarter, while Apple shares hit a new intra-day high over US$220/share on Tuesday as investors assess the company’s plans to introduce AI to its iPhones and other products.
In Europe overnight, markets closed lower following the release of key eurozone inflation data. The STOXX 600 fell 0.4% on Tuesday, while Germany’s DAX lost 0.69%, the French CAC declined 0.3% and, in the UK, the FTSE100 ended the day down 0.56%. Headline inflation in the euro area dipped to 2.5% in June which met economists’ expectations, however, core and services inflation remained stubbornly high which sparked the equity-sell off yesterday.
Across the Asia markets on Tuesday, it was a mostly green close across the region as Japan’s Nikkei rose 1.12% to close at a 3-month high while Japan’s broader Topix index rose 1.15%. Elsewhere, Hong Kong’s Hang Seng rose 0.33% while South Korea’s Kospi index fell 0.84% after South Korea’s inflation rate came in at 2.4% which missed economists’ expectations of 2.7%.
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Wall Street started the second half of the US financial year with a green close that saw the Nasdaq settle the day at a fresh record high as positive momentum from the first half extends into the second half. The Dow Jones rose 0.13%, the S&P500 added 0.27% and the tech heavy Nasdaq rose 0.83% to a fresh record close of 17,879.30. US Manufacturing PMI data out this morning showed a slight contraction in manufacturing output for June to 48.5 from 48.7 in May, with the reading falling short of economists’ expectations of 49.1 points indicating the US economy continues to ease under the high interest rate environment.
Across the European markets overnight, it was a sea of green as investors responded to the first round of France’s snap parliamentary election. The STOXX600 rose 0.44%, Germany’s DAX added 0.3%, and in the UK, the FTSE100 ended the day up 0.03%. The French CAC rallied 1.09% on Monday as investors digested the results of the first round of France’s legislative election where Marine Le Pen’s party won the first round by a smaller margin than expected. The rally comes as investors welcome to smaller margin win, as, if the party dominated to form a majority quickly, concerns are raised over the fast ability of their proposals in spending and tax to be pushed through quickly thus potentially tipping the region into a debt crisis.
Across Asia on Monday, it was a positive start to the second half of the year as investors assessed key economic data out in the region including China’s manufacturing activity and Japan’ consumer confidence readings. Japan’s Nikkei rose 0.12% on Monday while Japan’s broad index the Topix climbed 0.52% to a new 34-year high. China’s CSI index rose 0.48% on Monday and South Korea’s Kospi index ended the day up 0.23%. China’s Caixin manufacturing PMI figures rose to 51.8 points in June from 51.7 points in May, in a sign of ongoing recovery in the region, while Japan’s consumer confidence rose to 36.4 points in June from 36.2 points in May.
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Wall street ended the last trading day of the US first half in negative territory despite US inflation data indicating inflation is easing in the US alongside the release of better-than-expected consumer sentiment figures. The S&P500 fell 0.41%, the Nasdaq lost 0.71% and the Dow Jones ended the day down 0.12%. US inflation data for May slowed to its lowest rate in more than three years with the Fed’s preferred measure of inflation, the Personal Consumptions Expenditures price index rising just 0.1% on April and 2.6% from the prior year.
Over the first half of 2024, the tech-heavy Nasdaq soared 18.1% as the AI movement boosted investor appetite for the high growth tech sector. The S&P500 rose 14.5% over the first half to record territory, and the Dow Jones rose just 3.8% over the first 6-months.
Over in Europe, markets closed mostly lower on Friday as investors assessed the release of key inflation data in the region and around the world. The STOXX600 fell 0.24% on Friday, Germany’s DAX rose 0.14% while the French CAC fell 0.68%, and in the UK, the FTSE100 ended the day down 0.19%. On Friday, fresh economic data released showed French and Spanish inflation eased in June while the UK posted economic growth of 0.7% for the first three months of the year.
Asia markets closed modestly higher on Friday led by Japan’s Topix index rallying 0.57% to a 34-year high on upbeat economic data. Japan’s Nikkei rose 0.64% on Friday, Hong Kong’s Hang Seng rose 0.01% and South Korea’s Kospi index ended the day up 0.49%.
Headline inflation for Tokyo rose to 2.3% in June while the country’s industrial production rose 2.8% MoM in May which beat economists’ expectations. The readings provide Japan’s central bank room to tighten its monetary policy as its currency has plunged to a multi-decade low.
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This week, the market witnesses a sharp reversal in the artificial intelligence driven rally. Investors are re-evaluating their portfolios in light of the approaching end of FY24 and Australia’s recent inflation data. The Reserve Bank of Australia’s decision to hold rates at 4.35% was followed by hawkish comments, seemingly justified by higher-than-expected inflation figures.
In this week’s wrap, Grady covers:
US equities closed in the green as investors await inflation data with the send of the second quarter approaching. The Dow Jones and the S&P500 both ended the session 0.09% higher, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq gained 0.3%, with AI companies gaining momentum. After hours, a big mover was Nike, its shares down more than 12% after the athletic retailer cut its full-year guidance.
Locally yesterday, information technology and healthcare sectors lead the market, while real estate and utilities declined the most. The ASX200 ended the trading session down 0.3%.
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Wall Street extended gains across the major averages on Wednesday as investors assessed their holdings in the final trading sessions of a very strong first half driven by AI and semiconductor stocks. The S&P500 rose 0.16% at the end of the midweek session, the Nasdaq rose just under half a percent and the Dow Jones ended the day up just 0.04%, recovering from a red start to the final trading week of June. Amazon shares rose 3.9% on Wednesday to reach a record high and tipped the tech giant’s market cap over US$2tn for the first time. Investors in the US now await the release of key PCE data out on Friday which will provide a key insight into how well the Fed’s rate strategy is working to achieve the target inflation of 2%.
European markets closed lower across the board on Wednesday, extending the negative trading sentiment of the week into another session. The STOXX600 fell 0.5% as auto and leisure stocks weighed on the index, while Germany’s DAX lost 0.12%, the French CAC fell 0.69% and, in the UK, the FTSE100 ended the day down 0.27%. Shares of German auto-making giant Volkswagen fell 1.64% after the company announced a $5bn investment in US-listed EV startup, Rivian.
Asia markets mostly rose on Wednesday, taking lead from the tech-rally in the US on Tuesday. Japan’s Nikkei gained 1.26% to close at a 2-month high, South Korea’s Kospi index rose 0.64% and China’s CSI index recovered some of this week’s losses to end the day up 0.65%. Singapore’s May factory output rose 2.9% in data out yesterday which beat economists’ expectations of a 2% rise, indicating strength in the Singaporean economy.
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Wall street closed mixed on Tuesday as the S&P and Nasdaq snapped 3-day losing streaks while the Dow Jones reversed gains to close lower as investors regain appetite for AI-stocks after some profit taking sessions. The Dow Jones fell 0.76% on Tuesday, while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq ended the day up 0.39% and 1.26% respectively, driven by Nvidia jumping 6.7%. In recent weeks we have seen investors in the region shift focus from rate-driven sentiment to a bull market driven purely by the AI movement.
In Europe overnight markets closed lower amid investor fears of rising geopolitical tensions in the region. The STOXX600 fell 0.3% weighed down by industrial stocks, while Germany’s DAX lost 0.81%, the French CAC declined 0.58% and, in the UK, the FTSE100 ended the session down 0.41%. Airbus shares fell 9.4% on Tuesday after the company announced aircraft delivery and earnings target cuts for 2024, while drug maker Novo Nordisk rose 4% after the company’s Wegovy weight loss treatment has been approved in China for long-term weight management.
Across the Asia markets on Tuesday, China’s CSI 300 closed at its lowest level since February despite the rest of the region rallying yesterday. Japan’s Nikkei rose 0.95% on Tuesday, Hong Kong’s Hang Seng added 0.25% and South Korea’s Kospi index ended the day up 0.35% on a clime in consumer confidence in the region.
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Wall Street started the new trading week mixed as investors sold out of big tech stocks in favour of the banks and energy stocks. The Dow Jones rose 0.6% on Monday while the S&P500 and Nasdaq posted declines of 0.31% and 1.09% respectively. The pullback in tech stocks is ahead of the U.S. PCE data released later this week which is the Fed’s preferred measure of inflation and is expected to be a 0.1% rise on April which would indicate a decline from April’s 0.2% rise and signal inflation is easing. With some key inflation drivers remaining sticky though, investors have been bracing for higher interest rates for longer.
Over in Europe markets closed higher on Monday ahead of key inflation data and central bank decisions out in the region this week. The STOXX600 rose 0.8% on Monday, Germany’s DAX added 0.89%, the French CAC climbed 1.03% and, in the UK, the FTSE100 ended the day up 0.53%.
Asia markets mostly slipped on Monday as investors in the APAC region brace for key inflation data out later this week in Japan and Australia. Hong Kong’s Hang Seng fell 0.88% on Monday while China’s CSI index fell 0.54% yesterday.
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Locally last week, the ASX200 advanced 0.93% Monday to Friday with the utilities, financials and healthcare sectors leading the market. Sigma Healthcare (ASX:SIG), Telix Pharmaceuticals (ASX:TLX) and Gold Road Resources (ASX:GOR) advanced the most last week, while Mineral Resources (ASX:MIN) and Liontown Resources (ASX:LTR) each declined more than 10%.
US equities closed mixed on Friday. The Dow Jones edged up 15.57 points, posting its best week since May. The S&P500 closed lower as Nvidia shares pulled back for a second day, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq closed down 0.18%.
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Signs from China were mixed this week, with steel demand on the rise, a positive sign for the world’s second-largest economy. However, other indicators like industrial production and house prices are lagging. Meanwhile, the ASX saw a modest gain this week, thanks to strong performances in utilities, financials, and consumer discretionary stocks.
In this week’s wrap, Grady covers:
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